Pitts
TE · ATL @ TB
Kickoff Sun 1:00 PM ET
Projected points8.8pts
Barner
TE · SEA vs CHI
Kickoff Mon 8:15 PM ET
Projected points8.5pts
Toss-up
Bench
AJ Barner or Kyle Pitts: Who Should I Start in Week 8?
Toss-up. Kyle Pitts gets the nod over AJ Barner.
- Ahead by
- +0.3pts
- over Barner
- Confidence
- Lower
- Toss-up
- Started
- 80%
- of leagues
Case for Barner
The case for Barner is more targets (4.1 a game to 3.9) and an offense expected to score more (24.8 points to 20.5).
Flips if
If the weather in Kyle Pitts's game turns worse, start AJ Barner.
Risk
Weather in Kyle Pitts's game: Outdoor · 73F, 10 mph wind, 100% rain. Check it again before kickoff.
Highlights
PittsToss-upTE · ATL @ TBUsually 9.0−0.2pts this week
Helps him
- +1.4pts2 linesReceiving yards 35.5 (usual 27.3) and catches 3.5 (usual 2.9) both sit above his usual.
- TBvs TEsEdgeTB is the 8th softest defense for tight ends.
- 15.2ceilingHis best weeks reach about 15.2 points.
- +8.1last 3 vs avgHis last three games run 8.1 points above his season average.
Hurts him
- −1.7ptstouchdownsHis lines put him at 0.29 touchdowns, below his usual 0.57.
BarnerFirst outTE · SEA vs CHIUsually 6.2+2.3pts this week
Helps him
- +1.2ptstouchdownsHis lines put him at 0.34 touchdowns, above his usual 0.14.
- +0.8ptscatchesHis lines put him at 3.5 catches, above his usual 2.7.
Hurts him
- 5.0floorA quiet week could drop to about 5.0 points.
- 43%dud weeks43% of his games have been dud weeks.
Points are what each line adds to or takes off his usual week. EdgeFrom the game around him.
Stat comparison
Every player you picked, stat by stat, most important first.
Stat
Scoring
ProjectionPitts: 8.8 (best)Barner: 8.5
TD pointsof the projectionPitts: 1.7Barner: 2.0 (best)
Expected TDsthis weekPitts: 0.29Barner: 0.34 (best)
Projected team pointsPitts: 20.5Barner: 24.8 (best)
Red zone targetsper gamePitts: 0.9Barner: 1.0 (best)
Role
Snap sharePitts: 59%Barner: 88% (best)
Usage worthptsPitts: 6.7Barner: 7.6 (best)
Target sharePitts: 13%Barner: 13%
Targets / gamePitts: 3.9Barner: 4.1 (best)
Air yards sharePitts: 11% (best)Barner: 4%
Vacated targets this weekPitts: 0.0Barner: 1.0 (best)
RZ target sharePitts: 24%Barner: 24%
Inside 10 target sharePitts: 36% (best)Barner: 23%
Catch ratePitts: 74% (best)Barner: 66%
SeparationPitts: 2.7 ydsBarner: 4.0 yds (best)
YAC over expectedPitts: +2.0 (best)Barner: +0.9
Usage worth vs scoredPitts: Earned by usage 6.7Scored 9.0Barner: Earned by usage 7.6Scored 6.2
Receiving TDs vs RZ targetsPitts: AboveBarner: Below
WOPRPitts: 0.29 (best)Barner: 0.23
Range
FloorPitts: 3.4Barner: 5.0 (best)
CeilingPitts: 15.2 (best)Barner: 13.4
Points from TDssteadier when lowerPitts: 38%Barner: 14%
Big weeks (15+ pts)Pitts: 29% (best)Barner: 0%
Dud weeks (under 5 pts)lower is betterPitts: 43%Barner: 43%
SteadinessPitts: Volatile±8.5 pts · 7 gamesBarner: Steady (best)±3.4 pts · 7 games
Matchup
Matchup gradevs his position · 2026, 7 gmPitts: B (best)Barner: C
Game scriptPitts: Expected to trailBarner: Expected to lead (best)
Opp takeaways / gamelower is betterPitts: 1.7Barner: 1.4 (best)
Defense funnelPitts: NeutralBarner: Neutral
Opp pass yds allowedPitts: 14th (average)Barner: 20th (average) (best)
Starting QBPitts: Penix (Active)Barner: Darnold (Active)
WeatherPitts: Outdoor73F, 10 mph wind, 100% rainBarner: No concern
Roof / surfacePitts: OpengrassBarner: Openturf
Rest / schedulePitts: NormalBarner: Normal
Opp pacePitts: 14th (average)Barner: 1st (fast) (best)
Opp deep targets allowed / gamePitts: 0.6 (best)18th (average)Barner: 0.38th (tough)
Opp catch rate allowedPitts: 70%12th (average)Barner: 74% (best)22nd (soft)
Form
Last 3 avgPitts: 17.1 (best)Barner: 6.1
Last 5 avgPitts: 12.1 (best)Barner: 6.5
vs seasonPitts: +8.1 (Rising) (best)Barner: −0.1 (Steady)
Yards per route runPitts: 1.41 (best)Barner: 1.00
Receiving aDOTPitts: 5.0Barner: 2.1
Target share trendPitts: SteadyBarner: Steady
Crowd
Started in leaguesPitts: 80%Barner: Not widely started
Nuvela position ranklower is betterPitts: TE14 (best)Barner: TE17
Yards linereceivingPitts: 35.5 (best)Barner: 29.5
Deciding on someone else?
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