New

Week8 · 2026

Starting1

Scoring

New comparison

Toss-up

Coleman

RB · DEN vs KC

Kickoff Sun 4:25 PM ET

Projected points8.8pts

First out

Knight

RB · ARI @ DAL

Kickoff Sun 1:00 PM ET

Projected points7.8ptsUsage estimate

Toss-up

Bench

Bam Knight or Jonah Coleman: Who Should I Start in Week 8?

Toss-up. Jonah Coleman gets the nod over Bam Knight.

Ahead by: +1.0pts; over Knight
Confidence: Lower; The two projections come from different sources; one is a Nuvela estimate

Knight's number is our own estimate because his prop lines aren't posted yet, so this call is less sure than the gap looks.

Flips if

Start Bam Knight instead if you want the easier matchup (the softest defense for running backs, while Coleman faces the 9th toughest defense for running backs).

Risk

Jonah Coleman has played 1 game since missing time.

Highlights

Injuries as of Fri 2:00 PM ET

ColemanToss-upRB · DEN vs KCUsually 7.9+0.9pts this week

Helps him

+0.8ptsrush yardsHis lines put him at 39.0 rushing yards, above his usual 31.0.

Hurts him

KCvs RBsEdgeKC is the 9th toughest defense for running backs.

KnightFirst outRB · ARI @ DALUsually 3.5+4.4pts this week

Helps him

+3.1ptsroleHe’s expected to play more snaps this week than he has lately.
+0.8ptspaceMost players at his position produce more than he has, so we expect him to bounce back some.
+0.6ptstrack recordHis projection also weighs his past seasons, which ran above this year’s pace.
DALvs RBsEdgeDAL is the softest defense for running backs.

Hurts him

+7.0spreadEdgeThe Cardinals are expected to trail.

Points are what each line adds to or takes off his usual week. EdgeFrom the game around him.

Stat comparison

Every player you picked, stat by stat, most important first.

Scoring

Projection8.87.8

TD pointsof the projection2.2Our estimate

Expected TDsthis week0.37Our estimate

Projected team points19.823.8

Goal line carriesper game0.30.3

Red zone carriesper game1.01.0

Red zone targetsper game0.00.1

Role

Snap share32%16%

Usage worthpts6.24.1

Touch share20%8%

Target share6%2%

Touches / game8.04.3

Targets / game1.71.0

Air yards share0.5%1%

Vacated touches this week2.60.0

High value touches / game2.31.4

Goal line carry share20%25%

Red zone touches / game1.01.1

Rush success rate47%36%

Breakaway rate (20+ yd runs)0%8.0%

Usage worth vs scoredEarned by usage 6.2Scored 7.9Earned by usage 4.1Scored 3.5

Rush yards / game31.022.9

Points from rushing65%66%

WOPR0.100.04

RZ target share0%2%

Inside 10 target share0%0%

Catch rate100%71%

Rushing points / game5.1 pts / game2.3 pts / game

Rushing floor4.0 pts / game0.8 pts / game

Range

Floor5.35.6

Ceiling13.711.2

Points from TDssteadier when lower25%0%

Big weeks (20+ pts)2 games0%

Dud weeks (under 8 pts)lower is better2 games25%

Steadiness2 gamesVery steady±3.8 pts

Matchup

Matchup gradevs his positionD+2026, 6 gmA+2026, 7 gm

Game scriptExpected to trailExpected to trail

Opp takeaways / gamelower is better1.70.6

Defense funnelNeutralNeutral

Opp rush yds allowed13th (average)31st (soft)

Backfield roleBackupCommittee

Opp defender outNone listedBullard (DE)

Roof / surfaceOpengrassRetractable roofturf

Rest / scheduleNormalNormal

Opp pace24th (slow)9th (fast)

Opp stuff rate21%9th (tough)16%24th (soft)

Opp yards per carry allowed3.42nd (tough)4.425th (soft)

Opp pass yds allowed12th (average)15th (average)

Opp deep targets allowed / game1st (tough)0.00.0

Opp catch rate allowed79%17th (average)80%18th (average)

Starting QBNix (Active)Brissett (Active)

Form

Last 3 avg7.97.3

Last 5 avg7.94.4

vs seasonRising+3.8 (Rising)

Yards per carry4.96.4

Carries / game6.33.6

Yards per route run3.401.00

Receiving aDOT0.62.7

Touch share trendRisingSteady

Games since injury1None recently

Crowd

Nuvela position ranklower is betterRB27RB30

Yards linerushing39.0Our estimate

Deciding on someone else?

Choose 2 to 5 players for any week.

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