Knight
RB · ARI @ DAL
Kickoff Sun 1:00 PM ET
Projected points7.8ptsUsage estimate
Harvey
RB · DEN vs KC
Kickoff Sun 4:25 PM ETLatest report: Limited · Knee
Projected points7.7pts
if he plays · 80% to play
Toss-up
Bench
Bam Knight or RJ Harvey: Who Should I Start in Week 8?
Toss-up. Need a safe week? Bam Knight. Swinging for a big week? RJ Harvey.
- Ahead by
- +1.6pts
- over Harvey
- Confidence
- Lower
- RJ Harvey may not play (about 80% to play)
Knight's number is our own estimate because his prop lines aren't posted yet, so this call is less sure than the gap looks.
Case for Harvey
Knight has the safer floor (5.6 to 5.4); Harvey has more upside (a ceiling of 11.4 to 11.2).
Flips if
An injury tag on Bam Knight or a bigger role for RJ Harvey.
Risk
RJ Harvey was limited in practice (knee): check the inactives, posted about 90 minutes before kickoff. As of Fri 2:00 PM ET
Highlights
KnightToss-upRB · ARI @ DALUsually 3.5+4.4pts this week
Helps him
- +3.1ptsroleHe’s expected to play more snaps this week than he has lately.
- +0.8ptspaceMost players at his position produce more than he has, so we expect him to bounce back some.
- +0.6ptstrack recordHis projection also weighs his past seasons, which ran above this year’s pace.
- DALvs RBsEdgeDAL is the softest defense for running backs.
Hurts him
- +7.0spreadEdgeThe Cardinals are expected to trail.
HarveyFirst outRB · DEN vs KCUsually 11.2−3.6pts this week
Helps him
- 14.0last weekHe ran for 6 yards, caught 2 for 54 and scored last week (14.0 points).
Hurts him
- −2.1pts3 linesRushing yards 7.5 (usual 14.5), catches 3.5 (usual 4.2) and touchdowns 0.21 (usual 0.33) all sit below his usual.
- −1.5ptsrec yardsHis lines put him at 21.5 receiving yards, below his usual 36.2.
- 19%touchesHe handles only 19% of his team’s touches, so the work is shared.
- KCvs RBsEdgeKC is the 9th toughest defense for running backs.
Points are what each line adds to or takes off his usual week. EdgeFrom the game around him.
Stat comparison
Every player you picked, stat by stat, most important first.
Stat
Scoring
ProjectionKnight: 7.8 (best)Harvey: 7.7
TD pointsof the projectionKnight: Our estimateHarvey: 1.3
Expected TDsthis weekKnight: Our estimateHarvey: 0.21
Projected team pointsKnight: 23.8 (best)Harvey: 19.8
Goal line carriesper gameKnight: 0.3 (best)Harvey: 0.2
Red zone carriesper gameKnight: 1.0 (best)Harvey: 0.2
Red zone targetsper gameKnight: 0.1Harvey: 0.7 (best)
Role
Snap shareKnight: 16%Harvey: 39% (best)
Usage worthptsKnight: 4.1Harvey: 9.6 (best)
Touch shareKnight: 8%Harvey: 19% (best)
Target shareKnight: 2%Harvey: 16% (best)
Touches / gameKnight: 4.3Harvey: 8.2 (best)
Targets / gameKnight: 1.0Harvey: 4.7 (best)
Air yards shareKnight: 1%Harvey: Behind the line
Vacated touches this weekKnight: 0.0Harvey: 2.6 (best)
High value touches / gameKnight: 1.4Harvey: 4.3 (best)
Goal line carry shareKnight: 25% (best)Harvey: 11%
Red zone touches / gameKnight: 1.1 (best)Harvey: 0.8
Rush success rateKnight: 36%Harvey: 46% (best)
Breakaway rate (20+ yd runs)Knight: 8.0% (best)Harvey: 0%
Usage worth vs scoredKnight: Earned by usage 4.1Scored 3.5Harvey: Earned by usage 9.6Scored 11.2
Rush yards / gameKnight: 22.9 (best)Harvey: 14.5
Points from rushingKnight: 66%Harvey: 22%
Receiving TDs vs RZ targetsKnight: 1 RZ targetHarvey: In line
WOPRKnight: 0.04Harvey: 0.16 (best)
RZ target shareKnight: 2%Harvey: 19% (best)
Inside 10 target shareKnight: 0%Harvey: 13% (best)
Catch rateKnight: 71%Harvey: 89% (best)
Rushing points / gameKnight: 2.3 pts / gameHarvey: 2.5 pts / game (best)
Rushing floorKnight: 0.8 pts / gameHarvey: 1.9 pts / game (best)
Range
FloorKnight: 5.6 (best)Harvey: 5.4
CeilingKnight: 11.2Harvey: 11.4 (best)
Points from TDssteadier when lowerKnight: 0%Harvey: 18%
Big weeks (20+ pts)Knight: 0%Harvey: 0%
Dud weeks (under 8 pts)lower is betterKnight: 25%Harvey: 17% (best)
SteadinessKnight: Very steady (best)±3.8 ptsHarvey: Steady±6.4 pts · 6 games
Matchup
Matchup gradevs his positionKnight: A+ (best)2026, 7 gmHarvey: D+2026, 6 gm
Game scriptKnight: Expected to trailHarvey: Expected to trail (best)
Opp takeaways / gamelower is betterKnight: 0.6 (best)Harvey: 1.7
Defense funnelKnight: NeutralHarvey: Neutral
Opp rush yds allowedKnight: 31st (soft) (best)Harvey: 13th (average)
Backfield roleKnight: CommitteeHarvey: Backup
Opp defender outKnight: Bullard (DE)Harvey: None listed
Roof / surfaceKnight: Retractable roofturfHarvey: Opengrass
Rest / scheduleKnight: NormalHarvey: Normal
Opp paceKnight: 9th (fast) (best)Harvey: 24th (slow)
Opp stuff rateKnight: 16% (best)24th (soft)Harvey: 21%9th (tough)
Opp yards per carry allowedKnight: 4.4 (best)25th (soft)Harvey: 3.42nd (tough)
Opp pass yds allowedKnight: 15th (average) (best)Harvey: 12th (average)
Opp deep targets allowed / game1st (tough)Knight: 0.0Harvey: 0.0
Opp catch rate allowedKnight: 80% (best)18th (average)Harvey: 79%17th (average)
Starting QBKnight: Brissett (Active)Harvey: Nix (Active)
Form
Last 3 avgKnight: 7.3Harvey: 9.8 (best)
Last 5 avgKnight: 4.4Harvey: 11.9 (best)
vs seasonKnight: +3.8 (Rising) (best)Harvey: −1.5 (Cooling)
Yards per carryKnight: 6.4 (best)Harvey: 3.6
Carries / gameKnight: 3.6Harvey: 4.0 (best)
Yards per route runKnight: 1.00Harvey: 2.89 (best)
Receiving aDOTKnight: 2.7Harvey: −2.8
Touch share trendKnight: SteadyHarvey: Steady
Crowd
Started in leaguesKnight: Not widely startedHarvey: 53%
Nuvela position ranklower is betterKnight: RB30 (best)Harvey: RB32
Yards linerushingKnight: Our estimateHarvey: 7.5
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