Knight
RB · ARI @ DAL
Kickoff Sun 1:00 PM ET
Projected points7.8ptsUsage estimate
Spears
RB · TEN @ CIN
Kickoff Sun 1:00 PM ETLatest report: DNP · Knee
Projected points2.4ptsUsage estimate
5.3 if he plays · 46% to play
Lean
Bench
Bam Knight or Tyjae Spears: Who Should I Start in Week 8?
Lean Bam Knight over Tyjae Spears.
- Ahead by
- +5.4pts
- over Spears
- Confidence
- Moderate
- Tyjae Spears may not play (about 46% to play)
Flips if
An injury tag on Bam Knight or a bigger role for Tyjae Spears.
Risk
Tyjae Spears missed practice (knee): check the inactives, posted about 90 minutes before kickoff. Tyjae Spears missed his last game (knee). The Week 8 injury report isn't out yet. As of Fri 2:00 PM ET
Highlights
KnightLeanRB · ARI @ DALUsually 3.5+4.4pts this week
Helps him
- +3.1ptsroleHe’s expected to play more snaps this week than he has lately.
- +0.8ptspaceMost players at his position produce more than he has, so we expect him to bounce back some.
- +0.6ptstrack recordHis projection also weighs his past seasons, which ran above this year’s pace.
- DALvs RBsEdgeDAL is the softest defense for running backs.
Hurts him
- +7.0spreadEdgeThe Cardinals are expected to trail.
SpearsFirst outRB · TEN @ CINUsually 4.5−2.1pts this week
Helps him
- +1.6ptstrack recordHis projection also weighs his past seasons, which ran above this year’s pace.
Hurts him
- −3.8ptsinjuryHis questionable tag takes 3.8 points off his projection.
- 14%touchesHe handles only 14% of his team’s touches, so the work is shared.
- 17.0team totalEdgeHis team is expected to score only 17.0 points.
Points are what each line adds to or takes off his usual week. EdgeFrom the game around him.
Stat comparison
Every player you picked, stat by stat, most important first.
Stat
Scoring
ProjectionKnight: 7.8 (best)Spears: 2.4
Projected team pointsKnight: 23.8 (best)Spears: 17.0
Goal line carriesper gameKnight: 0.3 (best)Spears: 0.0
Red zone carriesper gameKnight: 1.0 (best)Spears: 0.3
Red zone targetsper gameKnight: 0.1 (best)Spears: 0.0
Role
Snap shareKnight: 16%Spears: 41% (best)
Usage worthptsKnight: 4.1Spears: 5.4 (best)
Touch shareKnight: 8%Spears: 14% (best)
Target shareKnight: 2%Spears: 10% (best)
Touches / gameKnight: 4.3Spears: 5.5 (best)
Targets / gameKnight: 1.0Spears: 2.8 (best)
Air yards shareKnight: 1%Spears: Behind the line
Vacated touches this weekKnight: 0.0Spears: 0.0
High value touches / gameKnight: 1.4Spears: 2.5 (best)
Goal line carry shareKnight: 25% (best)Spears: 0%
Red zone touches / gameKnight: 1.1 (best)Spears: 0.3
Rush success rateKnight: 36% (best)Spears: 33%
Breakaway rate (20+ yd runs)Knight: 8.0% (best)Spears: 5.6%
Usage worth vs scoredKnight: Earned by usage 4.1Scored 3.5Spears: Earned by usage 5.4Scored 4.5
Rush yards / gameKnight: 22.9 (best)Spears: 11.0
Points from rushingKnight: 66%Spears: 24%
WOPRKnight: 0.04Spears: 0.13 (best)
RZ target shareKnight: 2% (best)Spears: 0%
Inside 10 target shareKnight: 0%Spears: 0%
Catch rateKnight: 71%Spears: 88% (best)
Rushing points / gameKnight: 2.3 pts / game (best)Spears: 1.1 pts / game
Rushing floorKnight: 0.8 pts / gameSpears: 1.1 pts / game (best)
Range
FloorKnight: 5.6 (best)Spears: 0.0
CeilingKnight: 11.2 (best)Spears: 3.5
Points from TDssteadier when lowerKnight: 0%Spears: 0%
Big weeks (20+ pts)Knight: 0%Spears: 4% (best)
Dud weeks (under 8 pts)lower is betterKnight: 25% (best)Spears: 54%
SteadinessKnight: Very steady (best)±3.8 ptsSpears: Up & down±5.2 pts
Matchup
Matchup gradevs his positionKnight: A+ (best)2026, 7 gmSpears: C2026, 6 gm
Game scriptKnight: Expected to trail (best)Spears: Expected to trail
Opp takeaways / gamelower is betterKnight: 0.6 (best)Spears: 1.5
Defense funnelKnight: NeutralSpears: Neutral
Opp rush yds allowedKnight: 31st (soft) (best)Spears: 19th (average)
Backfield roleKnight: CommitteeSpears: Backup
Opp defender outKnight: Bullard (DE)Spears: None listed
Roof / surfaceturfKnight: Retractable roofSpears: Open
Rest / scheduleKnight: NormalSpears: Normal
Opp paceKnight: 9th (fast) (best)Spears: 20th (average)
Opp stuff rateKnight: 16% (best)24th (soft)Spears: 25%1st (tough)
Opp yards per carry allowedKnight: 4.4 (best)25th (soft)Spears: 4.112th (average)
Opp pass yds allowedKnight: 15th (average)Spears: 26th (soft) (best)
Opp deep targets allowed / game1st (tough)Knight: 0.0Spears: 0.0
Opp catch rate allowedKnight: 80%18th (average)Spears: 86% (best)27th (soft)
Starting QBKnight: Brissett (Active)Spears: Ward (Active)
Form
Last 3 avgKnight: 7.3 (best)Spears: 4.4
Last 5 avgKnight: 4.4Spears: 4.5 (best)
vs seasonKnight: +3.8 (Rising) (best)Spears: −0.1 (Steady)
Yards per carryKnight: 6.4 (best)Spears: 3.7
Carries / gameKnight: 3.6 (best)Spears: 3.0
Yards per route runKnight: 1.00 (best)Spears: 0.99
Receiving aDOTKnight: 2.7Spears: −2.7
Touch share trendKnight: SteadySpears: Steady
Games since injuryKnight: None recentlySpears: 0
Crowd
Nuvela position ranklower is betterKnight: RB30 (best)Spears: RB67
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