Allen
RB · NYJ vs LV
Kickoff Sun 1:00 PM ET
Projected points12.0ptsUsage estimate
Williams
WR · DET vs MIN
Kickoff Sun 1:00 PM ET
Projected points11.0pts
Toss-up
Bench
Braelon Allen or Jameson Williams: Who Should I Start in Week 8?
Toss-up. Braelon Allen gets the nod over Jameson Williams.
- Ahead by
- +1.0pts
- over Williams
- Confidence
- Lower
- The two projections come from different sources; one is a Nuvela estimate
- Started
- 54%
- of leagues
Allen's number is our own estimate because his prop lines aren't posted yet, so this call is less sure than the gap looks.
Flips if
Start Jameson Williams instead if you want an offense expected to score more (24.8 points to 23.5).
Risk
The risk: Williams caught 5 for 91 yards and two touchdowns last week (26.1 points).
Highlights
AllenToss-upRB · NYJ vs LVUsually 10.9+1.1pts this week
Helps him
- +3.6ptsroleHe’s expected to play more snaps this week than he has lately.
- LVvs RBsEdgeLV is the 6th softest defense for running backs.
Hurts him
- −2.1ptstrack recordHis projection also weighs his past seasons, which ran below this year’s pace.
WilliamsFirst outWR · DET vs MINUsually 14.0−2.9pts this week
Helps him
- 89%snapsHe is on the field for 89% of snaps.
Hurts him
- −1.7ptstouchdownsHis lines put him at 0.38 touchdowns, below his usual 0.67.
- −1.0ptsrec yardsHis lines put him at 51.5 receiving yards, below his usual 61.2.
- MINvs WRsEdgeMIN is the toughest defense for receivers.
Points are what each line adds to or takes off his usual week. EdgeFrom the game around him.
Stat comparison
Different positions: each stat is compared across the players you picked, except Nuvela position rank, which ranks each player within his own position.
Stat
Scoring
ProjectionAllen: 12.0 (best)Williams: 11.0
TD pointsof the projectionAllen: Our estimateWilliams: 2.3
Expected TDsthis weekAllen: Our estimateWilliams: 0.38
Projected team pointsAllen: 23.5Williams: 24.8 (best)
Goal line carriesper gameAllen: 0.3Williams: 0.0
Red zone carriesper gameAllen: 1.3Williams: 0.0
Red zone targetsper gameAllen: 0.7Williams: 1.2
Role
Snap shareAllen: 67%Williams: 89%
Usage worthptsAllen: 11.7Williams: 11.8
Touch shareAllen: 33%Williams: 7%
Target shareAllen: 10%Williams: 18%
Touches / gameAllen: 15.1Williams: 3.8
Targets / gameAllen: 2.9Williams: 6.3
Air yards shareAllen: 0.2%Williams: 32%
Vacated touches this weekAllen: 0.0Williams: —
High value touches / gameAllen: 2.4Williams: 3.8
Goal line carry shareAllen: 25%Williams: 0%
Red zone touches / gameAllen: 2.0Williams: 1.2
Rush success rateAllen: 42%Williams: 0 carries
Breakaway rate (20+ yd runs)Allen: 2.2%Williams: 0 carries
Usage worth vs scoredAllen: Earned by usage 11.7Scored 10.9Williams: Earned by usage 11.8Scored 14.0
Rush yards / gameAllen: 59.7Williams: 0.0
Points from rushingAllen: 71%Williams: 0%
Receiving TDs vs RZ targetsAllen: BelowWilliams: Above
WOPRAllen: 0.16Williams: 0.50
RZ target shareAllen: 22%Williams: 15%
Inside 10 target shareAllen: 0%Williams: 18%
Catch rateAllen: 75%Williams: 61%
SeparationAllen: —Williams: 2.7 yds
YAC over expectedAllen: —Williams: +0.5
Rushing points / gameAllen: 7.7 pts / gameWilliams: 0.0 pts / game
Rushing floorAllen: 5.1 pts / gameWilliams: 0.0 pts / game
Vacated targets this weekAllen: —Williams: 0.0
Range
FloorAllen: 7.8 (best)Williams: 6.4
CeilingAllen: 19.6 (best)Williams: 18.6
Points from TDssteadier when lowerAllen: 16%Williams: 29%
SteadinessAllen: Steady±6.2 pts · 7 gamesWilliams: Steady (best)±8.0 pts
Matchup
Matchup gradevs his positionAllen: B+ (best)2026, 7 gmWilliams: F2026, 6 gm
Game scriptAllen: Expected to leadWilliams: Expected to lead (best)
Opp takeaways / gamelower is betterAllen: 1.7 (best)Williams: 1.8
Defense funnelAllen: NeutralWilliams: Neutral
Opp rush yds allowedAllen: 30th (soft)Williams: 10th (tough)
Backfield roleAllen: LeadWilliams: —
Roof / surfaceturfAllen: OpenWilliams: Dome
Rest / scheduleAllen: NormalWilliams: Normal
Opp paceAllen: 9th (fast)Williams: 26th (slow)
Opp stuff rateAllen: 13%29th (soft)Williams: 19%11th (average)
Opp yards per carry allowedAllen: 5.231st (soft)Williams: 4.112th (average)
Opp pass yds allowedAllen: 22nd (soft)Williams: 2nd (tough)
Opp deep targets allowed / gameAllen: 0.01st (tough)Williams: 2.37th (tough)
Opp catch rate allowedAllen: 93%32nd (soft)Williams: 58%8th (tough)
Starting QBAllen: Smith (Active)Williams: Goff (Active)
Form
Last 3 avgAllen: 16.8Williams: 20.3 (best)
Last 5 avgAllen: 12.8Williams: 15.0 (best)
vs seasonAllen: +5.9 (Rising)Williams: +6.4 (Rising) (best)
Yards per carryAllen: 4.6Williams: 0 carries
Carries / gameAllen: 13.0Williams: 0.0
Yards per route runAllen: 0.71Williams: 1.79
Receiving aDOTAllen: 0.2Williams: 14.9
Usage trendAllen: SteadyWilliams: Steady
Crowd
Started in leaguesAllen: 55%Williams: 87% (best)
Nuvela position rankat his positionAllen: RB21Williams: WR27
Yards lineAllen: Our estimateWilliams: 51.5receiving
Deciding on someone else?
Choose 2 to 5 players for any week.