Allen
RB · NYJ vs LV
Kickoff Sun 1:00 PM ET
Projected points12.0ptsUsage estimate
Harvey
RB · DEN vs KC
Kickoff Sun 4:25 PM ETLatest report: Limited · Knee
Projected points7.7pts
if he plays · 80% to play
Lean
Bench
Braelon Allen or RJ Harvey: Who Should I Start in Week 8?
Lean Braelon Allen over RJ Harvey.
- Ahead by
- +5.8pts
- over Harvey
- Confidence
- Moderate
- RJ Harvey may not play (about 80% to play)
- Started
- 54%
- of leagues
Allen's number is our own estimate because his prop lines aren't posted yet, so this call is less sure than the gap looks.
Flips if
An injury tag on Braelon Allen or a bigger role for RJ Harvey.
Risk
RJ Harvey was limited in practice (knee): check the inactives, posted about 90 minutes before kickoff. As of Fri 2:00 PM ET
Highlights
AllenLeanRB · NYJ vs LVUsually 10.9+1.1pts this week
Helps him
- +3.6ptsroleHe’s expected to play more snaps this week than he has lately.
- LVvs RBsEdgeLV is the 6th softest defense for running backs.
- +5.9last 3 vs avgHis last three games run 5.9 points above his season average.
Hurts him
- −2.1ptstrack recordHis projection also weighs his past seasons, which ran below this year’s pace.
HarveyFirst outRB · DEN vs KCUsually 11.2−3.6pts this week
Helps him
- OutNorman-LottEdgeHe faces a Chiefs defense without defensive tackle Omarr Norman-Lott.
- 14.0last weekHe ran for 6 yards, caught 2 for 54 and scored last week (14.0 points).
Hurts him
- −2.1pts3 linesRushing yards 7.5 (usual 14.5), catches 3.5 (usual 4.2) and touchdowns 0.21 (usual 0.33) all sit below his usual.
- −1.5ptsrec yardsHis lines put him at 21.5 receiving yards, below his usual 36.2.
- 19%touchesHe handles only 19% of his team’s touches, so the work is shared.
- KCvs RBsEdgeKC is the 9th toughest defense for running backs.
Points are what each line adds to or takes off his usual week. EdgeFrom the game around him.
Stat comparison
Every player you picked, stat by stat, most important first.
Stat
Scoring
ProjectionAllen: 12.0 (best)Harvey: 7.7
TD pointsof the projectionAllen: Our estimateHarvey: 1.3
Expected TDsthis weekAllen: Our estimateHarvey: 0.21
Projected team pointsAllen: 23.5 (best)Harvey: 19.8
Goal line carriesper gameAllen: 0.3 (best)Harvey: 0.2
Red zone carriesper gameAllen: 1.3 (best)Harvey: 0.2
Red zone targetsper gameAllen: 0.7Harvey: 0.7
Role
Snap shareAllen: 67% (best)Harvey: 39%
Usage worthptsAllen: 11.7 (best)Harvey: 9.6
Touch shareAllen: 33% (best)Harvey: 19%
Target shareAllen: 10%Harvey: 16% (best)
Touches / gameAllen: 15.1 (best)Harvey: 8.2
Targets / gameAllen: 2.9Harvey: 4.7 (best)
Air yards shareAllen: 0.2%Harvey: Behind the line
Vacated touches this weekAllen: 0.0Harvey: 2.6 (best)
High value touches / gameAllen: 2.4Harvey: 4.3 (best)
Goal line carry shareAllen: 25% (best)Harvey: 11%
Red zone touches / gameAllen: 2.0 (best)Harvey: 0.8
Rush success rateAllen: 42%Harvey: 46% (best)
Breakaway rate (20+ yd runs)Allen: 2.2% (best)Harvey: 0%
Usage worth vs scoredAllen: Earned by usage 11.7Scored 10.9Harvey: Earned by usage 9.6Scored 11.2
Rush yards / gameAllen: 59.7 (best)Harvey: 14.5
Points from rushingAllen: 71%Harvey: 22%
Receiving TDs vs RZ targetsAllen: BelowHarvey: In line
WOPRAllen: 0.16Harvey: 0.16
RZ target shareAllen: 22% (best)Harvey: 19%
Inside 10 target shareAllen: 0%Harvey: 13% (best)
Catch rateAllen: 75%Harvey: 89% (best)
Rushing points / gameAllen: 7.7 pts / game (best)Harvey: 2.5 pts / game
Rushing floorAllen: 5.1 pts / game (best)Harvey: 1.9 pts / game
Range
FloorAllen: 7.8 (best)Harvey: 5.4
CeilingAllen: 19.6 (best)Harvey: 11.4
Points from TDssteadier when lowerAllen: 16%Harvey: 18%
Big weeks (20+ pts)Allen: 0%Harvey: 0%
Dud weeks (under 8 pts)lower is betterAllen: 29%Harvey: 17% (best)
SteadinessAllen: Steady (best)±6.2 pts · 7 gamesHarvey: Steady±6.4 pts · 6 games
Matchup
Matchup gradevs his positionAllen: B+ (best)2026, 7 gmHarvey: D+2026, 6 gm
Game scriptAllen: Expected to lead (best)Harvey: Expected to trail
Opp takeaways / gamelower is betterAllen: 1.7Harvey: 1.7
Defense funnelAllen: NeutralHarvey: Neutral
Opp rush yds allowedAllen: 30th (soft) (best)Harvey: 13th (average)
Backfield roleAllen: LeadHarvey: Backup
Opp defender outAllen: None listedHarvey: Norman-Lott (DT)
Roof / surfaceAllen: OpenturfHarvey: Opengrass
Rest / scheduleAllen: NormalHarvey: Normal
Opp paceAllen: 9th (fast) (best)Harvey: 24th (slow)
Opp stuff rateAllen: 13% (best)29th (soft)Harvey: 21%9th (tough)
Opp yards per carry allowedAllen: 5.2 (best)31st (soft)Harvey: 3.42nd (tough)
Opp pass yds allowedAllen: 22nd (soft) (best)Harvey: 12th (average)
Opp deep targets allowed / game1st (tough)Allen: 0.0Harvey: 0.0
Opp catch rate allowedAllen: 93% (best)32nd (soft)Harvey: 79%17th (average)
Starting QBAllen: Smith (Active)Harvey: Nix (Active)
Form
Last 3 avgAllen: 16.8 (best)Harvey: 9.8
Last 5 avgAllen: 12.8 (best)Harvey: 11.9
vs seasonAllen: +5.9 (Rising) (best)Harvey: −1.5 (Cooling)
Yards per carryAllen: 4.6 (best)Harvey: 3.6
Carries / gameAllen: 13.0 (best)Harvey: 4.0
Yards per route runAllen: 0.71Harvey: 2.89 (best)
Receiving aDOTAllen: 0.2Harvey: −2.8
Touch share trendAllen: SteadyHarvey: Steady
Crowd
Started in leaguesAllen: 55% (best)Harvey: 53%
Nuvela position ranklower is betterAllen: RB21 (best)Harvey: RB32
Yards linerushingAllen: Our estimateHarvey: 7.5
Deciding on someone else?
Choose 2 to 5 players for any week.