Williams
RB · DAL vs ARI
Kickoff Sun 1:00 PM ET
Projected points17.1pts
Irving
RB · TB vs ATL
Kickoff Sun 1:00 PM ETLatest report: Rest day
Projected points15.4pts
Lean
Bench
Bucky Irving or Javonte Williams: Who Should I Start in Week 8?
Lean Javonte Williams over Bucky Irving.
- Ahead by
- +1.7pts
- over Irving
- Confidence
- Moderate
- Lean
- Started
- 98%
- of leagues
Flips if
Start Bucky Irving instead if you want the easier matchup (the 9th softest defense for running backs, while Williams faces the 12th toughest defense for running backs).
Risk
Weather in Bucky Irving's game: Outdoor · 73F, 10 mph wind, 100% rain. Check it again before kickoff.
Highlights
WilliamsLeanRB · DAL vs ARIUsually 18.6−1.5pts this week
Helps him
- +1.0ptsrush yardsHis lines put him at 77.5 rushing yards, above his usual 67.4.
- 2.4inside the 5He averages 2.4 carries a game inside the 5, so touchdowns stay in reach.
- 30.8team totalEdgeHis team is expected to score 30.8 points, a high scoring spot.
- 12.1floorA quiet week still projects to about 12.1 points.
Hurts him
- −1.2ptscatchesHis lines put him at 1.5 catches, below his usual 2.7.
- −1.0ptstouchdownsHis lines put him at 1.12 touchdowns, below his usual 1.29.
- ARIvs RBsEdgeARI is the 12th toughest defense for running backs.
IrvingFirst outRB · TB vs ATLUsually 15.7−0.2pts this week
Helps him
- ATLvs RBsEdgeATL is the 9th softest defense for running backs.
- 31%big weeks31% of his games have been big weeks.
Hurts him
- −0.9ptsrush yardsHis lines put him at 70.5 rushing yards, below his usual 79.7.
Points are what each line adds to or takes off his usual week. EdgeFrom the game around him.
Stat comparison
Every player you picked, stat by stat, most important first.
Stat
Scoring
ProjectionWilliams: 17.1 (best)Irving: 15.4
TD pointsof the projectionWilliams: 6.7 (best)Irving: 4.3
Expected TDsthis weekWilliams: 1.12 (best)Irving: 0.72
Projected team pointsWilliams: 30.8 (best)Irving: 23.0
Goal line carriesper gameWilliams: 2.4 (best)Irving: 0.6
Red zone carriesper gameWilliams: 4.4 (best)Irving: 3.0
Red zone targetsper gameWilliams: 0.4Irving: 0.9 (best)
Role
Snap shareWilliams: 75% (best)Irving: 64%
Usage worthptsWilliams: 17.7 (best)Irving: 15.3
Touch shareWilliams: 38%Irving: 41% (best)
Target shareWilliams: 9%Irving: 12% (best)
Touches / gameWilliams: 18.4Irving: 19.7 (best)
Targets / gameWilliams: 3.1Irving: 3.3 (best)
Vacated touches this weekWilliams: 0.0Irving: 0.0
High value touches / gameWilliams: 5.6 (best)Irving: 3.9
Goal line carry shareWilliams: 94% (best)Irving: 50%
Red zone touches / gameWilliams: 4.9 (best)Irving: 3.9
Rush success rateWilliams: 47% (best)Irving: 43%
Breakaway rate (20+ yd runs)Williams: 2.7% (best)Irving: 2.5%
Usage worth vs scoredWilliams: Earned by usage 17.7Scored 18.6Irving: Earned by usage 15.3Scored 15.7
Rush yards / gameWilliams: 67.4Irving: 79.7 (best)
Points from rushingWilliams: 73%Irving: 73%
Receiving TDs vs RZ targetsWilliams: AboveIrving: In line
WOPRWilliams: 0.12Irving: 0.15 (best)
RZ target shareWilliams: 7%Irving: 21% (best)
Inside 10 target shareWilliams: 0%Irving: 10% (best)
Catch rateWilliams: 86% (best)Irving: 78%
Rushing points / gameWilliams: 13.6 pts / game (best)Irving: 11.4 pts / game
Rushing floorWilliams: 8.1 pts / game (best)Irving: 7.0 pts / game
Range
FloorWilliams: 12.1 (best)Irving: 8.5
CeilingWilliams: 25.3 (best)Irving: 24.9
Points from TDssteadier when lowerWilliams: 41%Irving: 27%
Big weeks (20+ pts)Williams: 27%Irving: 31% (best)
Dud weeks (under 8 pts)lower is betterWilliams: 4% (best)Irving: 31%
SteadinessWilliams: Very steady (best)±7.0 ptsIrving: Steady±8.4 pts
Matchup
Matchup gradevs his position · 2026, 7 gmWilliams: C-Irving: B (best)
Game scriptWilliams: Expected to lead (best)Irving: Expected to lead
Opp takeaways / gamelower is betterWilliams: 1.1 (best)Irving: 1.3
Defense funnelWilliams: PassIrving: Neutral
Opp rush yds allowedWilliams: 23rd (soft) (best)Irving: 4th (tough)
Backfield roleWilliams: LeadIrving: Lead
WeatherWilliams: No concernIrving: Outdoor73F, 10 mph wind, 100% rain
Roof / surfaceWilliams: Retractable roofturfIrving: Opengrass
Rest / scheduleWilliams: NormalIrving: Normal
Opp paceWilliams: 2nd (fast) (best)Irving: 21st (average)
Opp stuff rateWilliams: 16% (best)23rd (soft)Irving: 20%10th (tough)
Opp yards per carry allowedWilliams: 4.3 (best)21st (average)Irving: 4.112th (average)
Opp pass yds allowedWilliams: 21st (average)Irving: 29th (soft) (best)
Opp deep targets allowed / game24th (soft)Williams: 0.1Irving: 0.1
Opp catch rate allowedWilliams: 71% (best)8th (tough)Irving: 70%4th (tough)
Starting QBWilliams: Prescott (Active)Irving: Mayfield (Active)
Form
Last 3 avgWilliams: 16.2Irving: 20.8 (best)
Last 5 avgWilliams: 19.7 (best)Irving: 15.3
vs seasonWilliams: −2.4 (Cooling)Irving: +5.1 (Rising) (best)
Yards per carryWilliams: 4.3Irving: 4.7 (best)
Carries / gameWilliams: 15.7Irving: 17.1 (best)
Yards per route runWilliams: 0.93 (best)Irving: 0.73
Receiving aDOTWilliams: −1.6Irving: −2.0
Touch share trendWilliams: SteadyIrving: Steady
Crowd
Started in leaguesWilliams: 99% (best)Irving: 96%
Nuvela position ranklower is betterWilliams: RB5 (best)Irving: RB12
Yards linerushingWilliams: 77.5 (best)Irving: 70.5
Deciding on someone else?
Choose 2 to 5 players for any week.