Dulcich
TE · MIA vs MIN
Proj pts
8.4pts
market
Otton
TE · TB vs GB
Proj pts
8.4pts
market
Cade Otton or Greg Dulcich: who should I start in Week 4?
Start Greg Dulcich. Bench Cade Otton. Greg Dulcich leads at 8.4. Cade Otton is the first one out, 0.0 short.
Dulcich and Otton are effectively tied on projection — Dulcich gets the start on the tie-break.
Highlights
Cons
- Thin volume3.7 targets/g
- Low team total14.0 team total
Cons
- Low team total18.0 team total
Some recent form, opportunity and matchup figures still lean on the 2025 season (not enough games played this season yet).
Week 4 · Updated Tue 29 Sep, 6:00 AM ET
The widest gap between them, in proportion, is bust rate: Dulcich 11%, Otton 27%.
Latest game on the card: Dulcich 10.5, Otton 8.6 (PPR points).
Why Greg Dulcich
Start Greg Dulcich — projects 8.4, a tough matchup vs MIN.
Greg Dulcich projects 8.4 points on a 4.9–9.8 range. The matchup grades as tough against MIN. Usage: targets / game at 3.7. Net: start Greg Dulcich this week.
Working against Dulcich: Thin volume (3.7 targets/g), Low team total (14.0 team total).
Where Dulcich leads the head-to-head: Ceiling (9.8 vs 9.2); Consistency (47% vs 31%); Bust rate (11% vs 27%); Touchdown dependence (9% vs 5%).
Why Cade Otton
Sit Cade Otton — projects 8.4, an even matchup vs GB.
Cade Otton projects 8.4 points on a 5.2–9.2 range. The matchup grades as neutral against GB. Usage: targets / game at 5.4. Net: bench Cade Otton this week.
Working against Otton: Low team total (18.0 team total).
Where Otton leads the head-to-head: Floor (5.2 vs 4.9); Target share (18% vs 15%); Matchup grade (recency weighted) (C- vs D); Implied team total (18.0 vs 14.0); Last 3 avg (7.7 vs 6.0); Last 5 avg (11.3 vs 6.3); vs season (+3.2 vs -0.9); Boom rate (20% vs 11%); Targets / game (5.4 vs 3.7); Snap share (94% vs 44%); Grade vs TE (recency weighted) (C- vs D); Implied total (18.0 vs 14.0).
Recent form
Greg Dulcich's last 4 games: PPR points 7.1, 3.8, 3.7, 10.5 (oldest to newest).
Cade Otton's last 4 games: PPR points 22.4, 5.6, 8.8, 8.6 (oldest to newest).
Dulcich has already beaten Otton's 8.4 projection in 1 of his 4; Otton has beaten Dulcich's 8.4 in 3 of his 4.
Matchup
Greg Dulcich (MIA) faces MIN, kickoff Sun 4:05 PM ET. The matchup is rated tough. Betting line: implied team total 14.0, spread +10.5.
Cade Otton (TB) faces GB, kickoff Sun 1:00 PM ET. The matchup is rated neutral. Betting line: implied team total 18.0, spread +3.5.
What flips it
Dulcich and Otton are level on projection (8.4). Otton's ceiling (9.2) clears Dulcich's projection, so a big game from Otton flips it. Dulcich's floor (4.9) sits under Otton's projection, so a quiet game from Dulcich flips it too. Confidence in the call: lower.
More start/sit comparisons from this week's PPR projections. Open a pair for the call and the reasoning.
This week's toughest calls
- Colston Loveland or Hunter Henry11.3 · 11.2
- Juwan Johnson or Tucker Kraft12.3 · 12.2
- Hunter Henry or AJ Barner11.2 · 11.2
- Tucker Kraft or Isaiah Likely12.2 · 12.2
- Brenton Strange or Colston Loveland11.4 · 11.3
- Colston Loveland or AJ Barner11.3 · 11.2
- More TE start/sit calls (tight ends this week)