Lamb
WR · DAL vs ARI
Kickoff Sun 1:00 PM ET
Projected points19.5pts
Watson
WR · GB vs CAR
FinalGB 27 – 19 CAR
Final points17.3pts
projected 14.8
CeeDee Lamb or Christian Watson: Who Should I Start in Week 8?
Highlights
LambWR · DAL vs ARIUsually 22.2−2.7pts this week
Helps him
- 31%targetsHe draws 31% of his team’s targets.
- 11.6per gameHe sees 11.6 targets a game.
- 2.3red zoneHe gets 2.3 red zone targets a game, a real path to touchdowns.
Hurts him
- −1.2ptsrec yardsHis lines put him at 80.5 receiving yards, below his usual 93.0.
- −1.1ptscatchesHis lines put him at 6.5 catches, below his usual 7.6.
- softestper targetEdgeARI allows few WR chances because few passes go to receivers against them; per target they’re soft (2.00 pts, softest).
- −7.8last 3 vs avgHis last three games run 7.8 points below his season average.
WatsonWR · GB vs CARUsually 18.5−3.7pts this week
Helps him
- 39%big weeks39% of his games have been big weeks.
- 26.6ceilingHis best weeks reach about 26.6 points.
Hurts him
- −2.0ptstouchdownsHis lines put him at 0.53 touchdowns, below his usual 0.86.
- −1.3ptsrec yardsHis lines put him at 72.0 receiving yards, below his usual 85.0.
- CARvs WRsEdgeCAR is the 6th toughest defense for receivers.
Points are what each line adds to or takes off his usual week. EdgeFrom the game around him.
Stat comparison
Every player you picked, stat by stat, most important first.
Stat
Scoring
ProjectionLamb: 19.5 (best)Watson: 14.8
TD pointsof the projectionLamb: 4.8 (best)Watson: 3.2
Expected TDsthis weekLamb: 0.80 (best)Watson: 0.53
Projected team pointsLamb: 30.8 (best)Watson: 25.5
Red zone targetsper gameLamb: 2.3 (best)Watson: 1.0
Role
Snap shareLamb: 79%Watson: 80% (best)
Usage worthptsLamb: 20.5 (best)Watson: 14.1
Target shareLamb: 31% (best)Watson: 22%
Targets / gameLamb: 11.6 (best)Watson: 8.0
Air yards shareLamb: 41% (best)Watson: 31%
Receiving TDs vs RZ targetsLamb: AboveWatson: Above
WOPRLamb: 0.75 (best)Watson: 0.54
RZ target shareLamb: 34% (best)Watson: 18%
Catch rateLamb: 65% (best)Watson: 61%
SeparationLamb: 2.6 yds (best)Watson: 2.5 yds
YAC over expectedLamb: −0.3Watson: +0.2 (best)
Usage worth vs scoredLamb: Earned by usage 20.5Scored 22.2Watson: Earned by usage 14.1Scored 18.5
Vacated targets this weekLamb: 0.0Watson: 8.8 (best)
Inside 10 target shareLamb: 33% (best)Watson: 22%
Range
FloorLamb: 14.0 (best)Watson: 8.4
CeilingLamb: 33.5 (best)Watson: 26.6
Points from TDssteadier when lowerLamb: 23%Watson: 28%
Big weeks (20+ pts)Lamb: 40% (best)Watson: 39%
Dud weeks (under 7 pts)lower is betterLamb: 13%Watson: 12% (best)
SteadinessLamb: Steady±11.4 ptsWatson: Steady (best)±9.8 pts
Matchup
Matchup gradevs his positionLamb: B- (best)2026, 7 gmWatson: D2026, 6 gm
Game scriptLamb: Expected to lead (best)Watson: Expected to lead
Opp takeaways / gamelower is betterLamb: 1.1 (best)Watson: 1.2
Defense funnelLamb: PassWatson: Neutral
Opp pass yds allowedLamb: 21st (average) (best)Watson: 6th (tough)
Starting QBLamb: Prescott (Active)Watson: Love (Active)
Opp defender outLamb: None listedWatson: Phillips (LB)
Roof / surfaceLamb: Retractable roofturfWatson: Opengrass
Rest / scheduleLamb: NormalWatson: Short week (4d)
Opp paceLamb: 2nd (fast) (best)Watson: 6th (fast)
Opp deep targets allowed / gameLamb: 3.1 (best)15th (average)Watson: 2.01st (tough)
Opp catch rate allowedLamb: 60%11th (average)Watson: 61% (best)15th (average)
Form
Last 3 avgLamb: 14.4Watson: 17.5 (best)
Last 5 avgLamb: 21.0 (best)Watson: 16.5
vs seasonLamb: −7.8 (Cooling)Watson: −1.0 (Steady) (best)
Yards per route runLamb: 2.93 (best)Watson: 2.63
Receiving aDOTLamb: 10.6Watson: 13.4
Target share trendLamb: RisingWatson: Cooling
Crowd
Started in leaguesLamb: 100% (best)Watson: 98%
Nuvela position ranklower is betterLamb: WR3 (best)Watson: WR13
Yards linereceivingLamb: 80.5 (best)Watson: 72.0
Deciding on someone else?
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