Week8 · 2026

Starting1

Scoring

New comparison

Toss-up

Woerner

TE · ATL @ TB

Kickoff Sun 1:00 PM ET

Projected points1.4ptsUsage estimate

First out

Kacmarek

TE · MIA vs NE

Kickoff Sun 4:25 PM ETLatest report: Limited · hamstring

Projected points1.0pts

Toss-up

Bench

Charlie Woerner or Will Kacmarek: Who Should I Start in Week 8?

Toss-up. Charlie Woerner gets the nod over Will Kacmarek.

Ahead by: +0.4pts; over Kacmarek
Confidence: Lower; The two projections come from different sources; one is a Nuvela estimate

Woerner's number is our own estimate because his prop lines aren't posted yet, so this call is less sure than the gap looks.

Case for Kacmarek

The case for Kacmarek is a defense that gives up more deep shots (0.9 a game to 0.6).

Flips if

Start Will Kacmarek instead if you want a defense that gives up more deep shots (0.9 a game to 0.6).

Risk

Weather in Charlie Woerner's game: Outdoor · 73F, 10 mph wind, 100% rain. Check it again before kickoff. Will Kacmarek was limited in practice: check the final injury report and the inactives, posted about 90 minutes before kickoff. Weather in Will Kacmarek's game: Outdoor · 73F, 6 mph wind, 100% rain. Check it again before kickoff. As of Fri 7:00 PM ET

Highlights

Injuries as of Fri 7:00 PM ET

WoernerToss-upTE · ATL @ TBUsually 0.6+0.8pts this week

Helps him

+0.6ptspaceMost players at his position produce more than he has, so we expect him to bounce back some.
TBvs TEsEdgeTB is the 8th softest defense for tight ends.

Hurts him

2%targetsHe draws only 2% of his team’s targets.
0.7per gameHe sees only 0.7 targets a game.

KacmarekFirst outTE · MIA vs NEUsually 0.9+0.1pts this week

Helps him

1.6ceilingHis best weeks reach about 1.6 points.

Hurts him

5%targetsHe draws only 5% of his team’s targets.
1.0per gameHe sees only 1.0 targets a game.

Points are what each line adds to or takes off his usual week. EdgeFrom the game around him.

Stat comparison

Every player you picked, stat by stat, most important first.

Scoring

Projection1.41.0

TD pointsof the projectionOur estimate0.4

Expected TDsthis weekOur estimate0.07

Projected team points20.518.0

Red zone targetsper game0.10.0

Role

Snap share57%43%

Usage worthpts1.31.5

Target share2%5%

Targets / game0.71.0

Air yards share1%2%

Vacated targets this week0.00.0

RZ target share4%0%

Inside 10 target share0%0%

Catch rate40%50%

Usage worth vs scoredEarned by usage 1.3Scored 0.6Earned by usage 1.5Scored 0.9

WOPR0.040.09

Range

Floor0.70.5

Ceiling2.41.6

Points from TDssteadier when lower0%0%

Big weeks (15+ pts)0%0%

Dud weeks (under 5 pts)lower is better96%100%

Matchup

Matchup gradevs his position · 2026, 7 gmBC-

Game scriptExpected to trailExpected to trail

Opp takeaways / gamelower is better1.71.0

Defense funnelNeutralNeutral

Opp pass yds allowed14th (average)19th (average)

Starting QBPenix (Active)Willis (Active)

WeatherOutdoor73F, 10 mph wind, 100% rainOutdoor73F, 6 mph wind, 100% rain

Roof / surfacegrassOpenOpen

Rest / scheduleNormalNormal

Opp pace14th (average)16th (average)

Opp deep targets allowed / game0.618th (average)0.930th (soft)

Opp catch rate allowed70%12th (average)70%10th (tough)

Form

Last 3 avg1.51.3

Last 5 avg0.91.1

vs season+0.9 (Rising)+0.4 (Rising)

Yards per route run0.390.67

Receiving aDOT2.84.3

Target share trendSteadyCooling

Crowd

Nuvela position ranklower is betterTE63TE80

Yards linereceivingOur estimate0.5

Deciding on someone else?

Choose 2 to 5 players for any week.

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