Scoring
#1 Start

Sanders

RB · CLE vs PIT

Thu 8:15 PM

Proj pts

7pts

market

Lower Conf
Bench

Rodriguez

RB · JAX vs CIN

Sun 1:00 PM

Proj pts

6.7pts

market

Lower Conf

Chris Rodriguez Jr. or Raheim Sanders: who should I start in Week 4?

Toss-up: lean Raheim Sanders over Chris Rodriguez Jr by 0.3. Raheim Sanders leads at 7.0. Chris Rodriguez Jr. is the first one out, 0.2 short.

Availability & news

  • Raheim Sanders

    Sanders caught his sole target for seven yards, had two rushes for four yards and returned two kickoffs for 50 yards in Sunday's 23-19 win over the Buccaneers.(rotowire, Sep 22, 2026)

Highlights

Raheim SandersStart
RB · CLE vs PIT

Pros

  • Goal-line back1.0 GL carries/g
  • Reliable86% consistency

Cons

  • Committee back4% of touches
  • Low team total18.0 team total
Chris Rodriguez Jr.Bench
RB · JAX vs CIN

Pros

  • Goal-line back1.2 GL carries/g
  • Run-funnel matchupRun-funnel vs RB

Cons

  • Committee back15% of touches
  • Shaky floor4.3 floor

Some recent form, opportunity and matchup figures still lean on the 2025 season (not enough games played this season yet).

SandersStart
RodriguezBench
Projection7.06.7
Floor4.64.3
Ceiling7.014.0
Touch share4%15%
Opportunity score5.86.4
Matchup grade(recency weighted)DA+
Implied team total18.024.5

Week 4 · Updated Tue 29 Sep, 6:00 AM ET

The widest gap between them, in proportion, is red zone carries: Sanders 7, Rodriguez 33.

Sanders: “Sanders caught his sole target for seven yards, had two rushes for four yards and returned two kickoffs for 50 yards in Sunday's 23-19 win over the Buccaneers.” — RotoWire, Sep 22, 2026.

Latest game on the card: Sanders 9.1, Rodriguez 9.7 (PPR points).

Why Raheim Sanders

Start Raheim Sanders — projects 7.0, a tough matchup vs PIT.

Raheim Sanders projects 7.0 points on a 4.6–7.0 range. The matchup grades as tough against PIT. Usage: carries / game at 6.8. Net: start Raheim Sanders this week.

Working for Sanders: Goal-line back (1.0 GL carries/g), Reliable (86% consistency).

Working against Sanders: Committee back (4% of touches), Low team total (18.0 team total).

Where Sanders leads the head-to-head: Projection (7.0 vs 6.7); Floor (4.6 vs 4.3); Last 3 avg (5.6 vs 4.4); vs season (-0.3 vs -1.1); Consistency (86% vs 49%); Bust rate (0% vs 10%); Target share (4% vs 1%).

Why Chris Rodriguez Jr.

Sit Chris Rodriguez Jr. — projects 6.7, a run-funnel matchup vs CIN, but the role is cooling.

Chris Rodriguez Jr. projects 6.7 points on a 4.3–14.0 range. The matchup grades as run-funnel against CIN. Usage: carries / game at 9.3. Net: bench Chris Rodriguez Jr. this week.

Working for Rodriguez: Goal-line back (1.2 GL carries/g), Run-funnel matchup (Run-funnel vs RB).

Working against Rodriguez: Committee back (15% of touches), Shaky floor (4.3 floor).

Where Rodriguez leads the head-to-head: Ceiling (14.0 vs 7.0); Touch share (15% vs 4%); Opportunity score (6.4 vs 5.8); Matchup grade (recency weighted) (A+ vs D); Implied team total (24.5 vs 18.0); Last 5 avg (7.2 vs 5.0); Boom rate (20% vs 0%); Carries / game (9.3 vs 6.8); Touches / game (9.6 vs 7.5); Yards per carry (4.5 vs 3.4); Snap share (34% vs 26%); Goal line carries (14 vs 4); Red zone carries (33 vs 7).

Recent form

Raheim Sanders's last 5 games: PPR points 4.1, 4.3, 5.6, 2.1, 9.1 (oldest to newest).

Chris Rodriguez Jr.'s last 4 games: PPR points 15.3, 2.3, 1.3, 9.7 (oldest to newest).

Sanders has already beaten Rodriguez's 6.7 projection in 1 of his 5; Rodriguez has beaten Sanders's 7 in 2 of his 4.

At least 1 of these 5 games was played before the 2026 season.

Matchup

Raheim Sanders (CLE) faces PIT, kickoff Thu, Oct 1, 8:15 PM ET. The matchup is rated tough. Betting line: implied team total 18.0, spread +2.5.

Chris Rodriguez Jr. (JAX) faces CIN, kickoff Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET. The matchup is rated run-funnel. Betting line: implied team total 24.5, spread +2.5.

What flips it

Sanders's edge is 0.3 points (7 to 6.7). Rodriguez's ceiling (14) clears Sanders's projection, so a big game from Rodriguez flips it. Sanders's floor (4.6) sits under Rodriguez's projection, so a quiet game from Sanders flips it too. Confidence in the call: lower.

How to read these numbers →

More start/sit comparisons from this week's PPR projections. Open a pair for the call and the reasoning.