New

Week8 · 2026

Starting1

Scoring

New comparison

Lean

Concepcion

WR · CLE @ PIT

Kickoff Sun 1:00 PM ET

Projected points11.1pts

First out

White

WR · LV @ NYJ

Kickoff Sun 1:00 PM ET

Projected points5.3ptsUsage estimate

Lean

Bench

Cody White or KC Concepcion: Who Should I Start in Week 8?

Lean KC Concepcion over Cody White.

Ahead by: +5.8pts; over White
Confidence: Moderate; The two projections come from different sources; one is a Nuvela estimate
Started: 58%; of leagues

White's number is our own estimate because his prop lines aren't posted yet, so this call is less sure than the gap looks.

Flips if

Start Cody White instead if you want an offense expected to score more (22.0 points to 18.0).

Risk

The risk: Concepcion plays in the lowest scoring game on the slate.

Highlights

Injuries as of Fri 2:00 PM ET

ConcepcionLeanWR · CLE @ PITUsually 10.2+0.8pts this week

Helps him

+1.5ptstouchdownsHis lines put him at 0.25 touchdowns, above his usual 0.00.

Hurts him

−0.6ptsrec yardsHis lines put him at 46.0 receiving yards, below his usual 51.7.
7th toughestper targetEdgePIT allows plenty of WR chances because receivers see plenty of targets on them; per target they’re tough (1.60 pts, 7th toughest).

WhiteFirst outWR · LV @ NYJUsually 5.6−0.3pts this week

Helps him

8.8ceilingHis best weeks reach about 8.8 points.

Hurts him

7%targetsHe draws only 7% of his team’s targets.
2.7per gameHe sees only 2.7 targets a game.

Points are what each line adds to or takes off his usual week. EdgeFrom the game around him.

Stat comparison

Every player you picked, stat by stat, most important first.

Scoring

Projection11.15.3

TD pointsof the projection1.5Our estimate

Expected TDsthis week0.25Our estimate

Projected team points18.022.0

Goal line carriesper game0.00.0

Red zone carriesper game0.30.0

Red zone targetsper game0.41.0

Role

Snap share70%31%

Usage worthpts11.05.2

Touch share12%2%

Target share22%7%

Touches / game5.61.1

Targets / game6.42.7

Air yards share22%9%

Receiving TDs vs RZ targetsBelowAbove

WOPR0.480.17

RZ target share17%15%

Catch rate67%42%

Separation3.2 yds1.5 yds

YAC over expected+1.3−0.04

Usage worth vs scoredEarned by usage 11.0Scored 9.0Earned by usage 5.2Scored 5.6

Rush yards / game4.90.0

Points from rushing5%0%

Vacated targets this week0.03.0

High value touches / game4.41.1

Goal line carry share0%0%

Red zone touches / game0.70.9

Rush success rate33%0 carries

Breakaway rate (20+ yd runs)0%0 carries

Inside 10 target share0%29%

Rushing points / game0.5 pts / game0.0 pts / game

Rushing floor0.0 pts / game0.0 pts / game

Range

Floor7.12.9

Ceiling17.18.8

Points from TDssteadier when lower0%46%

Big weeks (20+ pts)17%3 games

Dud weeks (under 7 pts)lower is better17%3 games

SteadinessUp & down±6.9 pts · 6 games3 games

Matchup

Matchup gradevs his position · 2026, 7 gmB-C

Game scriptExpected to trailExpected to trail

Opp takeaways / gamelower is better1.61.1

Defense funnelNeutralNeutral

Opp pass yds allowed13th (average)5th (tough)

Starting QBWatson (Active)Cousins (Active)

Opp defender outJoseph-Day (DT)None listed

Roof / surfaceOpengrassOpenturf

Rest / scheduleNormalNormal

Opp pace13th (average)28th (slow)

Opp deep targets allowed / game3.319th (average)2.37th (tough)

Opp catch rate allowed61%14th (average)61%16th (average)

Opp rush yds allowed7th (tough)24th (soft)

Opp stuff rate23%3rd (tough)14%27th (soft)

Opp yards per carry allowed3.64th (tough)4.112th (average)

Form

Last 3 avg10.92.6

Last 5 avg9.44.6

vs season+1.9 (Rising)−3.0 (Cooling)

Yards per carry3.80 carries

Carries / game1.30.0

Yards per route run1.911.45

Receiving aDOT7.69.5

Target share trendLeft Week 5 hurtSteady

Crowd

Started in leagues59%Not widely started

Nuvela position ranklower is betterWR26WR67

Yards linereceiving46.0Our estimate

Deciding on someone else?

Choose 2 to 5 players for any week.

Sit or start?