Loveland
TE · CHI vs NE
FinalCHI 30 – 24 NE
Final points19.9pts
projected 10.7
Gesicki
TE · CIN vs BAL
Kickoff Sun 1:00 PM ET
Projected points6.3pts
Colston Loveland or Mike Gesicki: who should I start in Week 7?
Highlights
LovelandTE · CHI vs NEUsually 7.1+3.6pts this week
Helps him
- +1.6ptstouchdownsHis lines put him at 0.44 touchdowns, above his usual 0.17.
- +1.5ptsrec yardsHis lines put him at 44.5 receiving yards, above his usual 29.2.
- +0.8ptscatchesHis lines put him at 4.0 catches, above his usual 3.2.
- 1.5red zoneHe gets 1.5 red zone targets a game, a real path to touchdowns.
Hurts him
- NEvs TEsEdgeNE is the 3rd toughest defense for tight ends.
- 4.9floorA quiet week could drop to about 4.9 points.
GesickiTE · CIN vs BALUsually 10.4−4.1pts this week
Helps him
- 4games in a rowHe has scored a touchdown in 4 straight games.
Hurts him
- −3.2ptstouchdownsHis lines put him at 0.26 touchdowns, below his usual 0.80.
- −0.9ptsrec yardsHis lines put him at 22.5 receiving yards, below his usual 31.8.
- 9%targetsHe draws only 9% of his team’s targets.
- 3.4per gameHe sees only 3.4 targets a game.
Points are what each line adds to or takes off his usual week. EdgeFrom the game around him.
Stat comparison
Every player you picked, stat by stat, most important first.
Stat
Scoring
ProjectionLoveland: 10.7 (best)Gesicki: 6.3
TD pointsof the projectionLoveland: 2.6 (best)Gesicki: 1.6
Expected TDsthis weekLoveland: 0.44 (best)Gesicki: 0.26
Projected team pointsLoveland: 26.8 (best)Gesicki: 24.5
Red zone targetsper gameLoveland: 1.5 (best)Gesicki: 0.8
Role
Snap shareLoveland: 85% (best)Gesicki: 45%
Usage worthptsLoveland: 9.1 (best)Gesicki: 6.3
Target shareLoveland: 16% (best)Gesicki: 9%
Targets / gameLoveland: 5.0 (best)Gesicki: 3.4
Air yards shareLoveland: 14% (best)Gesicki: 13%
Vacated targets this weekLoveland: 1.8Gesicki: 3.8 (best)
RZ target shareLoveland: 26% (best)Gesicki: 16%
Inside 10 target shareLoveland: 27% (best)Gesicki: 21%
Catch rateLoveland: 63%Gesicki: 71% (best)
SeparationLoveland: 3.0 yds (best)Gesicki: 2.4 yds
YAC over expectedLoveland: −0.02Gesicki: +0.1 (best)
Usage worth vs scoredLoveland: Earned by usage 9.1Scored 7.1Gesicki: Earned by usage 6.3Scored 10.4
Receiving TDs vs RZ targetsLoveland: BelowGesicki: Above
WOPRLoveland: 0.33 (best)Gesicki: 0.22
Range
FloorLoveland: 4.9 (best)Gesicki: 3.9
CeilingLoveland: 19.8 (best)Gesicki: 10.2
Points from TDssteadier when lowerLoveland: 14%Gesicki: 46%
Big weeks (15+ pts)Loveland: 17%Gesicki: 20% (best)
Dud weeks (under 5 pts)lower is betterLoveland: 50%Gesicki: 20% (best)
SteadinessLoveland: Volatile±7.0 pts · 6 gamesGesicki: Up & down (best)±7.1 pts · 5 games
Matchup
Matchup gradevs his position · 2026, 6 gmLoveland: DGesicki: C- (best)
Game scriptLoveland: Expected to leadGesicki: Expected to lead
Opp takeaways / gamelower is betterLoveland: 1.2Gesicki: 1.0 (best)
Defense funnelLoveland: NeutralGesicki: Pass
Opp pass yds allowedLoveland: 14th (average) (best)Gesicki: 10th (tough)
Starting QBLoveland: Williams (Active)Gesicki: Burrow (Active)
Opp defender outLoveland: None listedGesicki: Robinson (LB)
Roof / surfaceLoveland: OpenGesicki: Opengrass
Rest / scheduleLoveland: Short week (4d)Gesicki: Off a bye
Opp paceLoveland: 9th (fast) (best)Gesicki: 20th (average)
Opp deep targets allowed / gameLoveland: 0.7 (best)24th (soft)Gesicki: 0.01st (tough)
Opp catch rate allowedLoveland: 71%16th (average)Gesicki: 72% (best)18th (average)
Form
Last 3 avgLoveland: 11.4 (best)Gesicki: 11.0
Last 5 avgLoveland: 8.5Gesicki: 10.4 (best)
vs seasonLoveland: +4.3 (Rising) (best)Gesicki: +0.7 (Rising)
Yards per route runLoveland: 1.09Gesicki: 1.57 (best)
Receiving aDOTLoveland: 5.9Gesicki: 10.4
Target share trendLoveland: SteadyGesicki: Steady
Crowd
Started in leaguesLoveland: 81% (best)Gesicki: 42%
Nuvela position ranklower is betterLoveland: TE9 (best)Gesicki: TE25
Yards linereceivingLoveland: 44.5 (best)Gesicki: 22.5
Deciding on someone else?
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