Bellinger
TE · TEN @ CIN
Kickoff Sun 1:00 PM ET
Projected points2.9pts
Sample
TE · CIN vs TEN
Kickoff Sun 1:00 PM ET
Projected points3.3pts
Toss-up
Bench
Daniel Bellinger or Drew Sample: Who Should I Start in Week 8?
Toss-up. Daniel Bellinger gets the nod over Drew Sample.
- Confidence
- Lower
- Toss-up
Case for Sample
The case for Sample is an offense expected to score more (29.5 points to 17.0) and more upside (a ceiling of 6.2 to 4.6).
Flips if
Start Drew Sample instead if you want an offense expected to score more (29.5 points to 17.0).
Risk
The risk: Bellinger has been held under 6 points in 7 straight games.
Highlights
BellingerToss-upTE · TEN @ CINUsually 1.3+1.6pts this week
Helps him
- +1.1pts2 linesCatches 1.5 (usual 0.9) and touchdowns 0.09 (usual 0.00) both sit above his usual.
- CINvs TEsEdgeCIN is the 4th softest defense for tight ends.
Hurts him
- 7games in a rowHe has been held under 6 points in 7 straight games.
SampleFirst outTE · CIN vs TENUsually 3.0+0.3pts this week
Helps him
- 29.5team totalEdgeHis team is expected to score 29.5 points, a high scoring spot.
Hurts him
- 4%targetsHe draws only 4% of his team’s targets.
- 1.3per gameHe sees only 1.3 targets a game.
Points are what each line adds to or takes off his usual week. EdgeFrom the game around him.
Stat comparison
Every player you picked, stat by stat, most important first.
Stat
Scoring
ProjectionBellinger: 2.9Sample: 3.3 (best)
TD pointsof the projectionBellinger: 0.5Sample: 1.0 (best)
Expected TDsthis weekBellinger: 0.09Sample: 0.16 (best)
Projected team pointsBellinger: 17.0Sample: 29.5 (best)
Red zone targetsper gameBellinger: 0.1Sample: 0.3 (best)
Role
Snap shareBellinger: 44%Sample: 52% (best)
Usage worthptsBellinger: 2.5 (best)Sample: 2.3
Target shareBellinger: 6% (best)Sample: 4%
Targets / gameBellinger: 1.6 (best)Sample: 1.3
Air yards shareBellinger: 3% (best)Sample: 0.4%
Vacated targets this weekBellinger: 7.3 (best)Sample: 6.8
RZ target shareBellinger: 4%Sample: 6% (best)
Inside 10 target shareBellinger: 0%Sample: 0%
Catch rateBellinger: 55%Sample: 88% (best)
Usage worth vs scoredBellinger: Earned by usage 2.5Scored 1.3Sample: Earned by usage 2.3Scored 3.0
WOPRBellinger: 0.10 (best)Sample: 0.07
Range
FloorBellinger: 1.8 (best)Sample: 1.2
CeilingBellinger: 4.6Sample: 6.2 (best)
Points from TDssteadier when lowerBellinger: 0%Sample: 34%
Big weeks (15+ pts)Bellinger: 0%Sample: 0%
Dud weeks (under 5 pts)lower is betterBellinger: 100%Sample: 83% (best)
SteadinessBellinger: Volatile (best)±1.2 pts · 7 gamesSample: Volatile±4.1 pts · 6 games
Matchup
Matchup gradevs his positionBellinger: A- (best)2026, 6 gmSample: D+2026, 7 gm
Game scriptBellinger: Expected to trailSample: Expected to lead (best)
Opp takeaways / gamelower is betterBellinger: 1.5Sample: 1.0 (best)
Defense funnelBellinger: NeutralSample: Neutral
Opp pass yds allowedBellinger: 26th (soft) (best)Sample: 23rd (soft)
Starting QBBellinger: Ward (Active)Sample: Burrow (Active)
Roof / surfaceturfBellinger: OpenSample: Open
Rest / scheduleBellinger: NormalSample: Normal
Opp paceBellinger: 20th (average) (best)Sample: 32nd (slow)
Opp deep targets allowed / gameBellinger: 0.7 (best)23rd (soft)Sample: 0.618th (average)
Opp catch rate allowedBellinger: 76% (best)24th (soft)Sample: 67%5th (tough)
Form
Last 3 avgBellinger: 1.0Sample: 4.0 (best)
Last 5 avgBellinger: 1.5Sample: 2.6 (best)
vs seasonBellinger: −0.4 (Cooling)Sample: +1.0 (Rising) (best)
Yards per route runBellinger: 0.67Sample: 0.74 (best)
Receiving aDOTBellinger: 3.7Sample: 0.9
Target share trendBellinger: SteadySample: Rising
Crowd
Nuvela position ranklower is betterBellinger: TE47Sample: TE42 (best)
Yards linereceivingBellinger: 9.0 (best)Sample: 8.5
Deciding on someone else?
Choose 2 to 5 players for any week.