Bartholomew
TE · MIN @ DET
Kickoff Sun 1:00 PM ETLatest report: DNP
Projected points3.3ptsUsage estimate
Bellinger
TE · TEN @ CIN
Kickoff Sun 1:00 PM ET
Projected points2.9pts
Toss-up
Bench
Daniel Bellinger or Gavin Bartholomew: Who Should I Start in Week 8?
Toss-up. Gavin Bartholomew gets the nod over Daniel Bellinger.
- Ahead by
- +0.4pts
- over Bellinger
- Confidence
- Lower
- The two projections come from different sources; one is a Nuvela estimate
Bartholomew's number is our own estimate because his prop lines aren't posted yet, so this call is less sure than the gap looks.
Case for Bellinger
The case for Bellinger is more of the snaps (44% to 17%).
Flips if
If Gavin Bartholomew is ruled out or inactive, start Daniel Bellinger.
Risk
Gavin Bartholomew was DNP in practice: check the final injury report and the inactives, posted about 90 minutes before kickoff. As of Fri 10:00 PM ET
Highlights
BartholomewToss-upTE · MIN @ DETUsually 2.1+1.3pts this week
Helps him
- +1.0ptspaceMost players at his position produce more than he has, so we expect him to bounce back some.
Hurts him
- 5%targetsHe draws only 5% of his team’s targets.
- 1.3per gameHe sees only 1.3 targets a game.
BellingerFirst outTE · TEN @ CINUsually 1.3+1.6pts this week
Helps him
- +1.1pts2 linesCatches 1.5 (usual 0.9) and touchdowns 0.09 (usual 0.00) both sit above his usual.
Hurts him
- 7games in a rowHe has been held under 6 points in 7 straight games.
Points are what each line adds to or takes off his usual week.
Stat comparison
Every player you picked, stat by stat, most important first.
Stat
Scoring
ProjectionBartholomew: 3.3 (best)Bellinger: 2.9
TD pointsof the projectionBartholomew: Our estimateBellinger: 0.5
Expected TDsthis weekBartholomew: Our estimateBellinger: 0.09
Projected team pointsBartholomew: 21.3 (best)Bellinger: 17.0
Red zone targetsper gameBartholomew: 0.2 (best)Bellinger: 0.1
Role
Snap shareBartholomew: 17%Bellinger: 44% (best)
Usage worthptsBartholomew: 2.2Bellinger: 2.5 (best)
Target shareBartholomew: 5%Bellinger: 6% (best)
Targets / gameBartholomew: 1.3Bellinger: 1.6 (best)
Air yards shareBartholomew: 2%Bellinger: 3% (best)
Vacated targets this weekBartholomew: 1.7Bellinger: 7.3 (best)
RZ target shareBartholomew: 5% (best)Bellinger: 4%
Inside 10 target shareBartholomew: 20% (best)Bellinger: 0%
Catch rateBartholomew: 88% (best)Bellinger: 55%
SeparationBartholomew: 3.9 ydsBellinger: Not tracked
YAC over expectedBartholomew: −0.2Bellinger: Not tracked
Usage worth vs scoredBartholomew: Earned by usage 2.2Scored 2.1Bellinger: Earned by usage 2.5Scored 1.3
WOPRBartholomew: 0.09Bellinger: 0.10 (best)
Range
FloorBartholomew: 1.7Bellinger: 1.8 (best)
CeilingBartholomew: 5.7 (best)Bellinger: 4.6
Points from TDssteadier when lowerBartholomew: 0%Bellinger: 0%
Big weeks (15+ pts)Bartholomew: 1 gameBellinger: 0%
Dud weeks (under 5 pts)lower is betterBartholomew: 1 gameBellinger: 100%
SteadinessBartholomew: 1 gameBellinger: Volatile±1.2 pts · 7 games
Matchup
Matchup gradevs his position · 2026, 6 gmBartholomew: A+ (best)Bellinger: A-
Game scriptBartholomew: Expected to trail (best)Bellinger: Expected to trail
Opp takeaways / gamelower is betterBartholomew: 1.0 (best)Bellinger: 1.5
Defense funnelBartholomew: NeutralBellinger: Neutral
Opp pass yds allowedBartholomew: 32nd (soft) (best)Bellinger: 26th (soft)
Starting QBBartholomew: Murray (Active)Bellinger: Ward (Active)
Roof / surfaceturfBartholomew: DomeBellinger: Open
Rest / scheduleBartholomew: NormalBellinger: Normal
Opp paceBartholomew: 4th (fast) (best)Bellinger: 20th (average)
Opp deep targets allowed / gameBartholomew: 1.3 (best)32nd (soft)Bellinger: 0.723rd (soft)
Opp catch rate allowedBartholomew: 77% (best)27th (soft)Bellinger: 76%24th (soft)
Form
Last 3 avgBartholomew: 4.1 (best)Bellinger: 1.0
Last 5 avgBartholomew: 2.5 (best)Bellinger: 1.5
vs seasonBartholomew: +2.1 (Rising) (best)Bellinger: −0.4 (Cooling)
Yards per route runBartholomew: 2.35 (best)Bellinger: 0.67
Receiving aDOTBartholomew: 3.3Bellinger: 3.7
Target share trendBartholomew: SteadyBellinger: Steady
Crowd
Nuvela position ranklower is betterBartholomew: TE41 (best)Bellinger: TE47
Yards linereceivingBartholomew: Our estimateBellinger: 9.0
Deciding on someone else?
Choose 2 to 5 players for any week.