Bellinger
TE · TEN @ CIN
Kickoff Sun 1:00 PM ET
Projected points2.9pts
Boerkircher
TE · JAX vs IND
Kickoff Sun 1:00 PM ET
Projected points3.0pts
Toss-up
Bench
Daniel Bellinger or Nate Boerkircher: Who Should I Start in Week 8?
Toss-up. Daniel Bellinger gets the nod over Nate Boerkircher.
- Confidence
- Lower
- Toss-up
Case for Boerkircher
The case for Boerkircher is an offense expected to score more (28.3 points to 17.0) and more upside (a ceiling of 5.3 to 4.6).
Flips if
Start Nate Boerkircher instead if you want an offense expected to score more (28.3 points to 17.0).
Risk
The risk: Bellinger has been held under 6 points in 7 straight games.
Highlights
BellingerToss-upTE · TEN @ CINUsually 1.3+1.6pts this week
Helps him
- +1.1pts2 linesCatches 1.5 (usual 0.9) and touchdowns 0.09 (usual 0.00) both sit above his usual.
- CINvs TEsEdgeCIN is the 4th softest defense for tight ends.
Hurts him
- 7games in a rowHe has been held under 6 points in 7 straight games.
BoerkircherFirst outTE · JAX vs INDUsually 2.9+0.2pts this week
Helps him
- +0.5ptscatchesHis lines put him at 1.5 catches, above his usual 1.0.
- 28.3team totalEdgeHis team is expected to score 28.3 points, a high scoring spot.
Hurts him
- 83%dud weeks83% of his games have been dud weeks.
- 0%big weeksHe hasn’t had a big week this season.
Points are what each line adds to or takes off his usual week. EdgeFrom the game around him.
Stat comparison
Every player you picked, stat by stat, most important first.
Stat
Scoring
ProjectionBellinger: 2.9Boerkircher: 3.0 (best)
TD pointsof the projectionBellinger: 0.5Boerkircher: 0.9 (best)
Expected TDsthis weekBellinger: 0.09Boerkircher: 0.15 (best)
Projected team pointsBellinger: 17.0Boerkircher: 28.3 (best)
Red zone targetsper gameBellinger: 0.1Boerkircher: 0.3 (best)
Role
Snap shareBellinger: 44%Boerkircher: 48% (best)
Usage worthptsBellinger: 2.5 (best)Boerkircher: 2.3
Target shareBellinger: 6% (best)Boerkircher: 5%
Targets / gameBellinger: 1.6 (best)Boerkircher: 1.3
Air yards shareBellinger: 3% (best)Boerkircher: 2%
Vacated targets this weekBellinger: 7.3 (best)Boerkircher: 0.0
RZ target shareBellinger: 4%Boerkircher: 6% (best)
Inside 10 target shareBellinger: 0%Boerkircher: 9% (best)
Catch rateBellinger: 55%Boerkircher: 75% (best)
Usage worth vs scoredBellinger: Earned by usage 2.5Scored 1.3Boerkircher: Earned by usage 2.3Scored 2.9
WOPRBellinger: 0.10 (best)Boerkircher: 0.09
Range
FloorBellinger: 1.8 (best)Boerkircher: 1.3
CeilingBellinger: 4.6Boerkircher: 5.3 (best)
Points from TDssteadier when lowerBellinger: 0%Boerkircher: 35%
Big weeks (15+ pts)Bellinger: 0%Boerkircher: 0%
Dud weeks (under 5 pts)lower is betterBellinger: 100%Boerkircher: 83% (best)
SteadinessBellinger: Volatile (best)±1.2 pts · 7 gamesBoerkircher: Volatile±3.3 pts · 6 games
Matchup
Matchup gradevs his positionBellinger: A- (best)2026, 6 gmBoerkircher: B-2026, 7 gm
Game scriptBellinger: Expected to trailBoerkircher: Expected to lead (best)
Opp takeaways / gamelower is betterBellinger: 1.5Boerkircher: 0.4 (best)
Defense funnelBellinger: NeutralBoerkircher: Neutral
Opp pass yds allowedBellinger: 26th (soft) (best)Boerkircher: 11th (average)
Starting QBBellinger: Ward (Active)Boerkircher: Lawrence (Active)
Opp defender outBellinger: None listedBoerkircher: Walley (CB)
Roof / surfaceBellinger: OpenturfBoerkircher: Opengrass
Rest / scheduleBellinger: NormalBoerkircher: Off a bye
Opp paceBellinger: 20th (average)Boerkircher: 7th (fast) (best)
Opp deep targets allowed / game23rd (soft)Bellinger: 0.7Boerkircher: 0.7
Opp catch rate allowedBellinger: 76% (best)24th (soft)Boerkircher: 68%7th (tough)
Form
Last 3 avgBellinger: 1.0Boerkircher: 5.1 (best)
Last 5 avgBellinger: 1.5Boerkircher: 3.1 (best)
vs seasonBellinger: −0.4 (Cooling)Boerkircher: +2.2 (Rising) (best)
Yards per route runBellinger: 0.67Boerkircher: 0.98 (best)
Receiving aDOTBellinger: 3.7Boerkircher: 4.3
Target share trendBellinger: SteadyBoerkircher: Steady
Crowd
Nuvela position ranklower is betterBellinger: TE47Boerkircher: TE45 (best)
Yards linereceivingBellinger: 9.0 (best)Boerkircher: 6.5
Deciding on someone else?
Choose 2 to 5 players for any week.