Bellinger
TE · TEN @ CIN
Kickoff Sun 1:00 PM ET
Projected points3.0pts
Quitoriano
TE · ARI @ DAL
Kickoff Sun 1:00 PM ET
Projected points2.9ptsUsage estimate
Toss-up
Bench
Daniel Bellinger or Teagan Quitoriano: Who Should I Start in Week 8?
Toss-up. Need a safe week? Daniel Bellinger. Swinging for a big week? Teagan Quitoriano.
- Ahead by
- +0.1pts
- over Quitoriano
- Confidence
- Lower
- The two projections come from different sources; one is a Nuvela estimate
Quitoriano's number is our own estimate because his prop lines aren't posted yet, so this call is less sure than the gap looks.
Case for Quitoriano
Bellinger has the safer floor (1.8 to 1.4); Quitoriano has more upside (a ceiling of 4.9 to 4.7).
Flips if
Start Teagan Quitoriano instead if you want an offense expected to score more (23.8 points to 17.0).
Risk
Bellinger has the safer floor (1.8 to 1.4); Quitoriano has more upside (a ceiling of 4.9 to 4.7).
Highlights
BellingerToss-upTE · TEN @ CINUsually 1.3+1.6pts this week
Helps him
- +1.6pts3 linesCatches 1.5 (usual 0.9), receiving yards 9.5 (usual 4.9) and touchdowns 0.09 (usual 0.00) all sit above his usual.
- CINvs TEsEdgeCIN is the 4th softest defense for tight ends.
Hurts him
- 7games in a rowHe has been held under 6 points in 7 straight games.
QuitorianoFirst outTE · ARI @ DALUsually 5.2−2.3pts this week
Helps him
- OutBullardEdgeHe faces a Cowboys defense without defensive end Jonathan Bullard.
- 1sthighest totalEdgeHe plays in the highest scoring game on the slate.
Hurts him
- −2.6ptstrack recordHis projection also weighs his past seasons, which ran below this year’s pace.
- 1%targetsHe draws only 1% of his team’s targets.
- 0.7per gameHe sees only 0.7 targets a game.
Points are what each line adds to or takes off his usual week. EdgeFrom the game around him.
Stat comparison
Every player you picked, stat by stat, most important first.
Stat
Scoring
ProjectionBellinger: 3.0 (best)Quitoriano: 2.9
TD pointsof the projectionBellinger: 0.5Quitoriano: Our estimate
Expected TDsthis weekBellinger: 0.09Quitoriano: Our estimate
Projected team pointsBellinger: 17.0Quitoriano: 23.8 (best)
Red zone targetsper gameBellinger: 0.1Quitoriano: 0.7 (best)
Role
Snap shareBellinger: 44% (best)Quitoriano: 40%
Usage worthptsBellinger: 2.5 (best)Quitoriano: 1.8
Target shareBellinger: 6% (best)Quitoriano: 1%
Targets / gameBellinger: 1.6 (best)Quitoriano: 0.7
Air yards shareBellinger: 3% (best)Quitoriano: 2%
Vacated targets this weekBellinger: 7.3 (best)Quitoriano: 3.3
RZ target shareBellinger: 4%Quitoriano: 7% (best)
Inside 10 target shareBellinger: 0%Quitoriano: 6% (best)
Catch rateBellinger: 55%Quitoriano: 2 targets
Usage worth vs scoredBellinger: Earned by usage 2.5Scored 1.3Quitoriano: Earned by usage 1.8Scored 5.2
WOPRBellinger: 0.10 (best)Quitoriano: 0.03
Range
FloorBellinger: 1.8 (best)Quitoriano: 1.4
CeilingBellinger: 4.7Quitoriano: 4.9 (best)
Points from TDssteadier when lowerBellinger: 0%Quitoriano: 77%
Big weeks (15+ pts)Bellinger: 0%Quitoriano: 3 games
Dud weeks (under 5 pts)lower is betterBellinger: 100%Quitoriano: 3 games
SteadinessBellinger: Volatile±1.2 pts · 7 gamesQuitoriano: 3 games
Matchup
Matchup gradevs his positionBellinger: A- (best)2026, 6 gmQuitoriano: C+2026, 7 gm
Game scriptBellinger: Expected to trailQuitoriano: Expected to trail (best)
Opp takeaways / gamelower is betterBellinger: 1.5Quitoriano: 0.6 (best)
Defense funnelBellinger: NeutralQuitoriano: Neutral
Opp pass yds allowedBellinger: 26th (soft) (best)Quitoriano: 15th (average)
Starting QBBellinger: Ward (Active)Quitoriano: Brissett (Active)
Opp defender outBellinger: None listedQuitoriano: Bullard (DE)
Roof / surfaceturfBellinger: OpenQuitoriano: Retractable roof
Rest / scheduleBellinger: NormalQuitoriano: Normal
Opp paceBellinger: 20th (average)Quitoriano: 9th (fast) (best)
Opp deep targets allowed / gameBellinger: 0.7 (best)23rd (soft)Quitoriano: 0.14th (tough)
Opp catch rate allowedBellinger: 76%24th (soft)Quitoriano: 80% (best)30th (soft)
Form
Last 3 avgBellinger: 1.0Quitoriano: 5.2 (best)
Last 5 avgBellinger: 1.5Quitoriano: 5.2 (best)
vs seasonBellinger: −0.4 (Cooling)Quitoriano: Cooling (best)
Yards per route runBellinger: 0.67 (best)Quitoriano: 0.47
Receiving aDOTBellinger: 3.7Quitoriano: 2 targets
Target share trendBellinger: SteadyQuitoriano: Steady
Crowd
Nuvela position ranklower is betterBellinger: TE46 (best)Quitoriano: TE48
Yards linereceivingBellinger: 9.5Quitoriano: Our estimate
Deciding on someone else?
Choose 2 to 5 players for any week.