Washington
TE · PIT vs CLE
Final pts
11.7pts
6.2 proj · +5.5
Tremble
TE · CAR vs DET
Proj pts
5.8pts
market
Darnell Washington or Tommy Tremble: who should I start in Week 4?
Toss-up: lean Darnell Washington over Tommy Tremble by 0.4. Darnell Washington leads at 6.2. Tommy Tremble is the first one out, 0.4 short.
Highlights
Cons
- Low TE usage11% target share
- Thin volume3.3 targets/g
Cons
- Low TE usage9% target share
- Thin volume2.5 targets/g
Some recent form, opportunity and matchup figures still lean on the 2025 season (not enough games played this season yet).
Week 4 · Updated Tue 29 Sep, 6:00 AM ET
The widest gap between them, in proportion, is touchdown dependence: Washington 8%, Tremble 18%.
Why Darnell Washington
Start Darnell Washington — projects 6.2, a tough matchup vs CLE.
Darnell Washington projects 6.2 points on a 3.0–6.5 range. The matchup grades as tough against CLE. Usage: targets / game at 3.3. Net: start Darnell Washington this week.
Working against Washington: Low TE usage (11% target share), Thin volume (3.3 targets/g).
Where Washington leads the head-to-head: Projection (6.2 vs 5.8); Floor (3.0 vs 1.6); Target share (11% vs 9%); Last 3 avg (5.1 vs 4.7); Last 5 avg (5.1 vs 4.7); vs season (+0.7 vs +0.4); Consistency (51% vs 0%); Boom rate (25% vs 20%); Bust rate (25% vs 47%); Targets / game (3.3 vs 2.5); Red zone targets (9 vs 5).
Why Tommy Tremble
Sit Tommy Tremble — projects 5.8, an even matchup vs DET.
Tommy Tremble projects 5.8 points on a 1.6–7.0 range. The matchup grades as neutral against DET. Usage: targets / game at 2.5. Net: bench Tommy Tremble this week.
Working against Tremble: Low TE usage (9% target share), Thin volume (2.5 targets/g).
Where Tremble leads the head-to-head: Ceiling (7.0 vs 6.5); Matchup grade (recency weighted) (B- vs D+); Implied team total (23.5 vs 20.5); Touchdown dependence (18% vs 8%).
Recent form
Darnell Washington's last 3 games: PPR points 1.7, 3.8, 9.7 (low to high; the card does not say which came first).
Tommy Tremble's last 3 games: PPR points 1.4, 5.5, 7.1 (low to high; the card does not say which came first).
Washington has already beaten Tremble's 5.8 projection in 1 of his 3; Tremble has beaten Washington's 6.2 in 1 of his 3.
Matchup
Darnell Washington (PIT) played CLE (final: CLE 27 – 24 PIT). The matchup is rated tough. Betting line: implied team total 20.5, spread -2.5.
Tommy Tremble (CAR) faces DET, kickoff Sun, Oct 4, 8:20 PM ET. The matchup is rated neutral. Betting line: implied team total 23.5, spread +3.5.
What flips it
Washington's edge is 0.4 points (6.2 to 5.8). Tremble's ceiling (7) clears Washington's projection, so a big game from Tremble flips it. Washington's floor (3) sits under Tremble's projection, so a quiet game from Washington flips it too. Confidence in the call: lower.
More start/sit comparisons from this week's PPR projections. Open a pair for the call and the reasoning.
This week's toughest calls
- Brenton Strange or Colston Loveland11.5 · 11.4
- Mark Andrews or Tucker Kraft12.9 · 13.0
- Dalton Schultz or Kenyon Sadiq13.6 · 13.5
- Sam LaPorta or Travis Kelce14.9 · 15.1
- Harold Fannin Jr. or Tucker Kraft13.2 · 13.0
- AJ Barner or Hunter Henry11.0 · 11.2
- More TE start/sit calls (tight ends this week)