Sadiq
TE · NYJ vs LV
Kickoff Sun 1:00 PM ET
Projected points4.2pts
Allen
TE · LA vs LAC
Kickoff Sun 4:05 PM ET
Projected points3.8ptsUsage estimate
Toss-up
Bench
Davis Allen or Kenyon Sadiq: Who Should I Start in Week 8?
Toss-up. Kenyon Sadiq gets the nod over Davis Allen.
- Ahead by
- +0.4pts
- over Allen
- Confidence
- Lower
- The two projections come from different sources; one is a Nuvela estimate
Allen's number is our own estimate because his prop lines aren't posted yet, so this call is less sure than the gap looks.
Case for Allen
The case for Allen is an offense expected to score more (25.8 points to 23.5) and more of the snaps (46% to 42%).
Flips if
Start Davis Allen instead if you want an offense expected to score more (25.8 points to 23.5).
Risk
The risk: Sadiq caught 1 for 6 yards last week (1.6 points).
Highlights
SadiqToss-upTE · NYJ vs LVUsually 6.1−1.9pts this week
Helps him
- LVvs TEsEdgeLV is the 5th softest defense for tight ends.
Hurts him
- −2.1pts3 linesCatches 1.5 (usual 2.3), receiving yards 16.5 (usual 23.4) and touchdowns 0.18 (usual 0.29) all sit below his usual.
- 3.6per gameHe sees only 3.6 targets a game.
- 42%snapsHe plays only 42% of snaps, so his work comes in rotation.
AllenFirst outTE · LA vs LACUsually 4.3−0.5pts this week
Helps him
- 18.0last weekHe caught 4 for 20 yards and two touchdowns last week (18.0 points).
Hurts him
- −0.8ptstrack recordHis projection also weighs his past seasons, which ran below this year’s pace.
- 5%targetsHe draws only 5% of his team’s targets.
- 2.0per gameHe sees only 2.0 targets a game.
Points are what each line adds to or takes off his usual week. EdgeFrom the game around him.
Stat comparison
Every player you picked, stat by stat, most important first.
Stat
Scoring
ProjectionSadiq: 4.2 (best)Allen: 3.8
TD pointsof the projectionSadiq: 1.1Allen: Our estimate
Expected TDsthis weekSadiq: 0.18Allen: Our estimate
Projected team pointsSadiq: 23.5Allen: 25.8 (best)
Red zone targetsper gameSadiq: 0.1Allen: 0.6 (best)
Role
Snap shareSadiq: 42%Allen: 46% (best)
Usage worthptsSadiq: 5.9 (best)Allen: 3.7
Target shareSadiq: 13% (best)Allen: 5%
Targets / gameSadiq: 3.6 (best)Allen: 2.0
Air yards shareSadiq: 10% (best)Allen: 4%
Vacated targets this weekSadiq: 0.5Allen: 12.2 (best)
RZ target shareSadiq: 4%Allen: 11% (best)
Inside 10 target shareSadiq: 0%Allen: 18% (best)
Catch rateSadiq: 64%Allen: 71% (best)
SeparationSadiq: 4.7 yds (best)Allen: 3.3 yds
YAC over expectedSadiq: +0.02Allen: +0.2 (best)
Usage worth vs scoredSadiq: Earned by usage 5.9Scored 6.1Allen: Earned by usage 3.7Scored 4.3
Receiving TDs vs RZ targetsSadiq: 1 RZ targetAllen: Above
WOPRSadiq: 0.26 (best)Allen: 0.11
Range
FloorSadiq: 1.7 (best)Allen: 1.6
CeilingSadiq: 7.8 (best)Allen: 5.8
Points from TDssteadier when lowerSadiq: 28%Allen: 40%
Big weeks (15+ pts)Sadiq: 17% (best)Allen: 14%
Dud weeks (under 5 pts)lower is betterSadiq: 67% (best)Allen: 86%
SteadinessSadiq: Volatile (best)±9.0 pts · 6 gamesAllen: Volatile±6.3 pts · 7 games
Matchup
Matchup gradevs his positionSadiq: A- (best)2026, 7 gmAllen: D-2026, 6 gm
Game scriptSadiq: Expected to leadAllen: Expected to lead (best)
Opp takeaways / gamelower is betterSadiq: 1.7Allen: 1.7
Defense funnelSadiq: NeutralAllen: Neutral
Opp pass yds allowedSadiq: 22nd (soft) (best)Allen: 7th (tough)
Starting QBSadiq: Smith (Active)Allen: Stafford (Active)
Opp defender outSadiq: Johnson (DE)Allen: None listed
Roof / surfaceturfSadiq: OpenAllen: Dome
Rest / scheduleSadiq: NormalAllen: Normal
Opp paceSadiq: 9th (fast) (best)Allen: 15th (average)
Opp deep targets allowed / gameSadiq: 0.411th (average)Allen: 0.5 (best)14th (average)
Opp catch rate allowedSadiq: 82% (best)31st (soft)Allen: 74%21st (average)
Form
Last 3 avgSadiq: 1.4Allen: 7.5 (best)
Last 5 avgSadiq: 5.5 (best)Allen: 5.3
vs seasonSadiq: −4.7 (Cooling)Allen: +3.1 (Rising) (best)
Yards per route runSadiq: 1.76 (best)Allen: 1.28
Receiving aDOTSadiq: 5.4Allen: 5.9
Target share trendSadiq: SteadyAllen: Steady
Crowd
Nuvela position ranklower is betterSadiq: TE35 (best)Allen: TE38
Yards linereceivingSadiq: 16.5Allen: Our estimate
Deciding on someone else?
Choose 2 to 5 players for any week.