Hibner
TE · BAL @ BUF
Kickoff Sun 1:00 PM ETNo game status yet, practice Full
Projected points3.4ptsUsage estimate
Allen
TE · LA vs LAC
Kickoff Sun 4:05 PM ET
Projected points3.8ptsUsage estimate
Toss-up
Bench
Davis Allen or Matthew Hibner: Who Should I Start in Week 8?
Toss-up. Matthew Hibner gets the nod over Davis Allen.
- Confidence
- Lower
- Toss-up
Case for Allen
The case for Allen is a safer floor (1.6 to 1.0) and more big weeks (14% of his games to 0%).
Flips if
Start Davis Allen instead if you need a big week: he has more big weeks (14% of his games to 0%).
Risk
Matthew Hibner has played 1 game since missing time.
Highlights
HibnerToss-upTE · BAL @ BUFUsually 3.0+0.4pts this week
Helps him
- 1sthighest totalEdgeHe plays in the highest scoring game on the slate.
Hurts him
- 4%targetsHe draws only 4% of his team’s targets.
- 0.8per gameHe sees only 0.8 targets a game.
AllenFirst outTE · LA vs LACUsually 4.3−0.5pts this week
Helps him
- 18.0last weekHe caught 4 for 20 yards and two touchdowns last week (18.0 points).
Hurts him
- −0.8ptstrack recordHis projection also weighs his past seasons, which ran below this year’s pace.
- 5%targetsHe draws only 5% of his team’s targets.
- 2.0per gameHe sees only 2.0 targets a game.
Points are what each line adds to or takes off his usual week. EdgeFrom the game around him.
Stat comparison
Every player you picked, stat by stat, most important first.
Stat
Scoring
ProjectionHibner: 3.4Allen: 3.8 (best)
Projected team pointsHibner: 25.8Allen: 25.8
Red zone targetsper gameHibner: 0.2Allen: 0.6 (best)
Role
Snap shareHibner: 42%Allen: 46% (best)
Usage worthptsHibner: 1.5Allen: 3.7 (best)
Target shareHibner: 4%Allen: 5% (best)
Targets / gameHibner: 0.8Allen: 2.0 (best)
Air yards shareHibner: 2%Allen: 4% (best)
Vacated targets this weekHibner: 0.7Allen: 12.2 (best)
RZ target shareHibner: 4%Allen: 11% (best)
Inside 10 target shareHibner: 9%Allen: 18% (best)
Catch rateHibner: 100% (best)Allen: 71%
SeparationHibner: Not trackedAllen: 3.3 yds
YAC over expectedHibner: Not trackedAllen: +0.2
Usage worth vs scoredHibner: Earned by usage 1.5Scored 3.0Allen: Earned by usage 3.7Scored 4.3
Receiving TDs vs RZ targetsHibner: 1 RZ targetAllen: Above
WOPRHibner: 0.07Allen: 0.11 (best)
Range
FloorHibner: 1.0Allen: 1.6 (best)
CeilingHibner: 6.5 (best)Allen: 5.8
Points from TDssteadier when lowerHibner: 33%Allen: 40%
Big weeks (15+ pts)Hibner: 0%Allen: 14% (best)
Dud weeks (under 5 pts)lower is betterHibner: 67% (best)Allen: 86%
SteadinessHibner: Volatile (best)±4.2 pts · 6 gamesAllen: Volatile±6.3 pts · 7 games
Matchup
Matchup gradevs his position · 2026, 6 gmHibner: D+ (best)Allen: D-
Game scriptHibner: Expected to trailAllen: Expected to lead (best)
Opp takeaways / gamelower is betterHibner: 1.0 (best)Allen: 1.7
Defense funnelHibner: NeutralAllen: Neutral
Opp pass yds allowedHibner: 31st (soft) (best)Allen: 7th (tough)
Starting QBHibner: Huntley (Active)Allen: Stafford (Active)
Roof / surfaceturfHibner: OpenAllen: Dome
Rest / scheduleHibner: NormalAllen: Normal
Opp paceHibner: 24th (slow)Allen: 15th (average) (best)
Opp deep targets allowed / gameHibner: 0.7 (best)23rd (soft)Allen: 0.514th (average)
Opp catch rate allowedHibner: 68%8th (tough)Allen: 74% (best)21st (average)
Form
Last 3 avgHibner: 1.8Allen: 7.5 (best)
Last 5 avgHibner: 3.1Allen: 5.3 (best)
vs seasonHibner: −1.2 (Cooling)Allen: +3.1 (Rising) (best)
Yards per route runHibner: 1.79 (best)Allen: 1.28
Receiving aDOTHibner: 5.0Allen: 5.9
Target share trendHibner: SteadyAllen: Steady
Games since injuryHibner: 1Allen: None recently
Crowd
Nuvela position ranklower is betterHibner: TE40Allen: TE38 (best)
Deciding on someone else?
Choose 2 to 5 players for any week.