Allen
TE · LA vs LAC
Kickoff Sun 4:05 PM ET
Projected points3.8ptsUsage estimate
Gadsden
TE · LAC @ LA
Kickoff Sun 4:05 PM ET
Projected points4.0pts
Toss-up
Bench
Davis Allen or Oronde Gadsden II: Who Should I Start in Week 8?
Toss-up. Need a safe week? Davis Allen. Swinging for a big week? Oronde Gadsden II.
- Confidence
- Lower
- The two projections come from different sources; one is a Nuvela estimate
Allen's number is our own estimate because his prop lines aren't posted yet, so this call is less sure than the gap looks.
Case for Gadsden
Allen has the safer floor (1.6 to 1.5); Gadsden has more upside (a ceiling of 7.2 to 5.8).
Flips if
Start Oronde Gadsden II instead if you want a faster paced opponent.
Risk
Allen has the safer floor (1.6 to 1.5); Gadsden has more upside (a ceiling of 7.2 to 5.8).
Highlights
AllenToss-upTE · LA vs LACUsually 4.3−0.5pts this week
Helps him
- 18.0last weekHe caught 4 for 20 yards and two touchdowns last week (18.0 points).
Hurts him
- −0.8ptstrack recordHis projection also weighs his past seasons, which ran below this year’s pace.
- 5%targetsHe draws only 5% of his team’s targets.
- 2.0per gameHe sees only 2.0 targets a game.
GadsdenFirst outTE · LAC @ LAUsually 4.8−0.7pts this week
Helps him
- 7.2ceilingHis best weeks reach about 7.2 points.
Hurts him
- −0.5ptscatchesHis lines put him at 1.5 catches, below his usual 2.0.
- 12%targetsHe draws only 12% of his team’s targets.
- 3.5per gameHe sees only 3.5 targets a game.
Points are what each line adds to or takes off his usual week.
Stat comparison
Every player you picked, stat by stat, most important first.
Stat
Scoring
ProjectionAllen: 3.8Gadsden: 4.0 (best)
TD pointsof the projectionAllen: Our estimateGadsden: 1.0
Expected TDsthis weekAllen: Our estimateGadsden: 0.16
Projected team pointsAllen: 25.8 (best)Gadsden: 19.3
Red zone targetsper gameAllen: 0.6Gadsden: 1.0 (best)
Role
Snap shareAllen: 46%Gadsden: 47% (best)
Usage worthptsAllen: 3.7Gadsden: 6.5 (best)
Target shareAllen: 5%Gadsden: 12% (best)
Targets / gameAllen: 2.0Gadsden: 3.5 (best)
Air yards shareAllen: 4%Gadsden: 12% (best)
Vacated targets this weekAllen: 12.2 (best)Gadsden: 7.0
RZ target shareAllen: 11%Gadsden: 27% (best)
Inside 10 target shareAllen: 18%Gadsden: 25% (best)
Catch rateAllen: 71% (best)Gadsden: 57%
SeparationAllen: 3.3 yds (best)Gadsden: 2.7 yds
YAC over expectedAllen: +0.2 (best)Gadsden: −0.8
Usage worth vs scoredAllen: Earned by usage 3.7Scored 4.3Gadsden: Earned by usage 6.5Scored 4.8
Receiving TDs vs RZ targetsAllen: AboveGadsden: In line
WOPRAllen: 0.11Gadsden: 0.27 (best)
Range
FloorAllen: 1.6 (best)Gadsden: 1.5
CeilingAllen: 5.8Gadsden: 7.2 (best)
Points from TDssteadier when lowerAllen: 40%Gadsden: 21%
Big weeks (15+ pts)Allen: 14% (best)Gadsden: 0%
Dud weeks (under 5 pts)lower is betterAllen: 86%Gadsden: 60% (best)
SteadinessAllen: Volatile±6.3 pts · 7 gamesGadsden: Volatile (best)±4.7 pts · 5 games
Matchup
Matchup gradevs his positionAllen: D-2026, 6 gmGadsden: D-2026, 7 gm
Game scriptAllen: Expected to lead (best)Gadsden: Expected to trail
Opp takeaways / gamelower is betterAllen: 1.7Gadsden: 0.9 (best)
Defense funnelAllen: NeutralGadsden: Neutral
Opp pass yds allowedAllen: 7th (tough) (best)Gadsden: 4th (tough)
Starting QBAllen: Stafford (Active)Gadsden: Herbert (Active)
Roof / surfaceturfAllen: DomeGadsden: Dome
Rest / scheduleAllen: NormalGadsden: Off a bye
Opp paceAllen: 15th (average)Gadsden: 3rd (fast) (best)
Opp deep targets allowed / gameAllen: 0.514th (average)Gadsden: 0.6 (best)18th (average)
Opp catch rate allowedAllen: 74% (best)21st (average)Gadsden: 59%2nd (tough)
Form
Last 3 avgAllen: 7.5 (best)Gadsden: 4.5
Last 5 avgAllen: 5.3 (best)Gadsden: 4.7
vs seasonAllen: +3.1 (Rising) (best)Gadsden: −0.3 (Steady)
Yards per route runAllen: 1.28 (best)Gadsden: 0.97
Receiving aDOTAllen: 5.9Gadsden: 7.8
Target share trendAllen: SteadyGadsden: Steady
Crowd
Nuvela position ranklower is betterAllen: TE38Gadsden: TE36 (best)
Yards linereceivingAllen: Our estimateGadsden: 15.5
Deciding on someone else?
Choose 2 to 5 players for any week.