London
WR · ATL vs NO
Proj pts
19.8pts
market
Collins
WR · HOU vs DAL
Proj pts
18.9pts
market
Drake London or Nico Collins: who should I start in Week 4?
Toss-up: lean Drake London over Nico Collins by 0.9. Drake London leads at 19.8. Nico Collins is the first one out, 0.9 short.
Crowd: 98% of managers started London, 64% started Collins.
Availability & news
Nico CollinsPractice: Limited
Collins (hamstring) remained limited at Thursday's practice.(rotowire, Oct 1, 2026)
Highlights
Pros
- Alpha target share30% target share
- Target volume9.3 targets/g
- Spike upside27.0 ceiling
Pros
- Favorable matchupFavorable · A+ vs WR
- High floor13.1 floor
Some recent form, opportunity and matchup figures still lean on the 2025 season (not enough games played this season yet).
Week 4 · Updated Tue 29 Sep, 6:00 AM ET
The widest gap between them, in proportion, is bust rate: London 33%, Collins 13%.
Collins (Practice: Limited): “Collins (hamstring) remained limited at Thursday's practice.” — RotoWire, Oct 1, 2026.
Latest game on the card: London 28.4, Collins 21.2 (PPR points).
Why Drake London
Start Drake London — projects 19.8, an even matchup vs NO.
Drake London projects 19.8 points on a 7.4–27.0 range. The matchup grades as neutral against NO. Usage: targets / game at 9.3. Net: start Drake London this week.
Working for London: Alpha target share (30% target share), Target volume (9.3 targets/g), Spike upside (27.0 ceiling).
Where London leads the head-to-head: Projection (19.8 vs 18.9); Ceiling (27.0 vs 23.2); Target share (30% vs 24%); Last 3 avg (14.3 vs 13.3); Boom rate (25% vs 13%); Targets / game (9.3 vs 8.0); Snap share (91% vs 77%).
Why Nico Collins
Sit Nico Collins — projects 18.9, a favorable matchup vs DAL.
Nico Collins projects 18.9 points on a 13.1–23.2 range. The matchup grades as favorable against DAL. Usage: targets / game at 8.0. Net: bench Nico Collins this week.
Working for Collins: Favorable matchup (Favorable · A+ vs WR), High floor (13.1 floor).
Where Collins leads the head-to-head: Floor (13.1 vs 7.4); Matchup grade (recency weighted) (A+ vs C-); Implied team total (25.8 vs 22.5); Last 5 avg (15.9 vs 12.4); vs season (-1.2 vs -3.4); Consistency (58% vs 36%); Bust rate (13% vs 33%); Red zone targets (19 vs 16).
Recent form
Drake London's last 5 games: PPR points 1.4, 17.8, 5.5, 8.9, 28.4 (oldest to newest).
Nico Collins's last 5 games: PPR points 16.1, 23.5, 9.9, 8.7, 21.2 (oldest to newest).
London has already beaten Collins's 18.9 projection in 1 of his 5; Collins has beaten London's 19.8 in 2 of his 5.
At least 1 of these 5 games was played before the 2026 season.
Matchup
Drake London (ATL) faces NO, kickoff Mon, Oct 5, 8:15 PM ET. The matchup is rated neutral. Betting line: implied team total 22.5, spread +2.5.
Nico Collins (HOU) faces DAL, kickoff Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET. The matchup is rated favorable. Betting line: implied team total 25.8, spread -3.0.
What flips it
London's edge is 0.9 points (19.8 to 18.9). Collins's ceiling (23.2) clears London's projection, so a big game from Collins flips it. London's floor (7.4) sits under Collins's projection, so a quiet game from London flips it too. Confidence in the call: moderate.
More start/sit comparisons from this week's PPR projections. Open a pair for the call and the reasoning.
More Drake London comparisons
- CeeDee Lamb or Drake London19.6 · 19.8
- Drake London or Garrett Wilson19.8 · 20.2
- Drake London or Parker Washington19.8 · 19.0
- Drake London or Puka Nacua19.8 · 20.9
More Nico Collins comparisons
- Nico Collins or Parker Washington18.9 · 19.0
- Nico Collins or Zay Flowers18.9 · 18.4
- CeeDee Lamb or Nico Collins19.6 · 18.9
- Davante Adams or Nico Collins17.7 · 18.9
This week's toughest calls
- Christian Watson or Tee Higgins16.8 · 16.8
- Jaylen Waddle or Matthew Golden15.3 · 15.3
- Makai Lemon or Michael Pittman10.7 · 10.7
- KC Concepcion or Mack Hollins12.1 · 12.2
- Jakobi Meyers or Romeo Doubs11.8 · 11.8
- Malik Washington or Xavier Worthy11.3 · 11.3
- More WR start/sit calls (wide receivers this week)