Raridon
TE · NE @ MIA
Kickoff Sun 4:25 PM ET
Projected points6.5pts
Gesicki
TE · CIN vs TEN
Kickoff Sun 1:00 PM ET
Projected points7.1pts
Toss-up
Bench
Eli Raridon or Mike Gesicki: Who Should I Start in Week 8?
Toss-up. Eli Raridon gets the nod over Mike Gesicki.
- Confidence
- Lower
- Toss-up
Case for Gesicki
The case for Gesicki is an offense expected to score more (29.5 points to 25.0) and a safer floor (4.3 to 3.1).
Flips if
Start Mike Gesicki instead if you need a big week: he has more big weeks (17% of his games to 0%).
Risk
The risk: Gesicki has scored a touchdown in 5 straight games.
Highlights
RaridonToss-upTE · NE @ MIAUsually 7.4−0.8pts this week
Helps him
- MIAvs TEsEdgeMIA is the 6th softest defense for tight ends.
Hurts him
- −0.8ptstouchdownsHis lines put him at 0.26 touchdowns, below his usual 0.40.
- 9%targetsHe draws only 9% of his team’s targets.
- 2.7per gameHe sees only 2.7 targets a game.
GesickiFirst outTE · CIN vs TENUsually 9.9−2.8pts this week
Helps him
- 29.5team totalEdgeHis team is expected to score 29.5 points, a high scoring spot.
- 5games in a rowHe has scored a touchdown in 5 straight games.
Hurts him
- −2.8ptstouchdownsHis lines put him at 0.37 touchdowns, below his usual 0.83.
- 8%targetsHe draws only 8% of his team’s targets.
- 3.0per gameHe sees only 3.0 targets a game.
Points are what each line adds to or takes off his usual week. EdgeFrom the game around him.
Stat comparison
Every player you picked, stat by stat, most important first.
Stat
Scoring
ProjectionRaridon: 6.5Gesicki: 7.1 (best)
TD pointsof the projectionRaridon: 1.6Gesicki: 2.2 (best)
Expected TDsthis weekRaridon: 0.26Gesicki: 0.37 (best)
Projected team pointsRaridon: 25.0Gesicki: 29.5 (best)
Red zone targetsper gameRaridon: 0.8Gesicki: 0.8
Role
Snap shareRaridon: 50% (best)Gesicki: 44%
Usage worthptsRaridon: 5.2Gesicki: 5.7 (best)
Target shareRaridon: 9% (best)Gesicki: 8%
Targets / gameRaridon: 2.7Gesicki: 3.0 (best)
Air yards shareRaridon: 8%Gesicki: 12% (best)
Vacated targets this weekRaridon: 9.0 (best)Gesicki: 6.8
RZ target shareRaridon: 20% (best)Gesicki: 16%
Inside 10 target shareRaridon: 25% (best)Gesicki: 24%
Catch rateRaridon: 75% (best)Gesicki: 72%
SeparationRaridon: 3.0 yds (best)Gesicki: 2.4 yds
YAC over expectedRaridon: −0.3Gesicki: +0.1 (best)
Usage worth vs scoredRaridon: Earned by usage 5.2Scored 6.8Gesicki: Earned by usage 5.7Scored 9.9
Receiving TDs vs RZ targetsRaridon: AboveGesicki: Above
WOPRRaridon: 0.19Gesicki: 0.20 (best)
Range
FloorRaridon: 3.1Gesicki: 4.3 (best)
CeilingRaridon: 11.0Gesicki: 11.3 (best)
Points from TDssteadier when lowerRaridon: 29%Gesicki: 50%
Big weeks (15+ pts)Raridon: 0%Gesicki: 17% (best)
Dud weeks (under 5 pts)lower is betterRaridon: 40%Gesicki: 17% (best)
SteadinessRaridon: Up & down±5.4 pts · 5 gamesGesicki: Steady (best)±6.4 pts · 6 games
Matchup
Matchup gradevs his positionRaridon: A- (best)2026, 6 gmGesicki: D+2026, 7 gm
Game scriptRaridon: Expected to leadGesicki: Expected to lead (best)
Opp takeaways / gamelower is betterRaridon: 0.8 (best)Gesicki: 1.0
Defense funnelRaridon: NeutralGesicki: Neutral
Opp pass yds allowedRaridon: 18th (average)Gesicki: 23rd (soft) (best)
Starting QBRaridon: Maye (Active)Gesicki: Burrow (Active)
Roof / surfaceRaridon: OpengrassGesicki: Openturf
Rest / scheduleRaridon: 10 days restGesicki: Normal
Opp paceRaridon: 31st (slow) (best)Gesicki: 32nd (slow)
Opp deep targets allowed / gameRaridon: 0.514th (average)Gesicki: 0.6 (best)18th (average)
Opp catch rate allowedRaridon: 92% (best)32nd (soft)Gesicki: 67%5th (tough)
Form
Last 3 avgRaridon: 9.1Gesicki: 9.3 (best)
Last 5 avgRaridon: 6.7Gesicki: 8.1 (best)
vs seasonRaridon: +2.3 (Rising) (best)Gesicki: −0.6 (Steady)
Yards per route runRaridon: 2.71 (best)Gesicki: 1.43
Receiving aDOTRaridon: 8.3Gesicki: 10.2
Target share trendRaridon: SteadyGesicki: Cooling
Crowd
Started in leaguesRaridon: Not widely startedGesicki: 50%
Nuvela position ranklower is betterRaridon: TE23Gesicki: TE21 (best)
Yards linereceivingRaridon: 24.5 (best)Gesicki: 23.5
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