McMillan
WR · CAR @ GB
FinalGB 27 – 19 CAR
Final points11.8pts
projected 15.7
Egbuka
WR · TB vs ATL
Out · FootRuled out
Projected points—
Emeka Egbuka or Tetairoa McMillan: Who Should I Start in Week 8?
Nuvela’s call
We started Tetairoa McMillan over Emeka Egbuka.
Highlights
McMillanStartWR · CAR @ GBUsually 16.2−0.5pts this week
Helps him
- +0.7ptstouchdownsHis lines put him at 0.45 touchdowns, above his usual 0.33.
- 26%targetsHe draws 26% of his team’s targets.
- 9.0per gameHe sees 9.0 targets a game.
- 24.2ceilingHis best weeks reach about 24.2 points.
Hurts him
- −1.2ptsrec yardsHis lines put him at 73.0 receiving yards, below his usual 85.2.
- −0.5ptscatchesHis lines put him at 5.5 catches, below his usual 6.0.
- 6th toughestper targetEdgeGB allows plenty of WR chances because receivers see plenty of targets on them; per target they’re tough (1.73 pts, 6th toughest).
Points are what each line adds to or takes off his usual week. EdgeFrom the game around him.
Stat comparison
Every player you picked, stat by stat, most important first.
Stat
Scoring
ProjectionMcMillan: 15.7Egbuka: Ruled out
TD pointsof the projectionMcMillan: 2.7Egbuka: Ruled out
Expected TDsthis weekMcMillan: 0.45Egbuka: Ruled out
Projected team pointsMcMillan: 22.0Egbuka: 23.3 (best)
Red zone targetsper gameMcMillan: 1.2 (best)Egbuka: 1.0
Role
Snap shareMcMillan: 82%Egbuka: 86% (best)
Usage worthptsMcMillan: 15.8 (best)Egbuka: 14.5
Target shareMcMillan: 26%Egbuka: 26%
Targets / gameMcMillan: 9.0 (best)Egbuka: 8.2
Air yards shareMcMillan: 31%Egbuka: 35% (best)
Receiving TDs vs RZ targetsMcMillan: AboveEgbuka: Above
WOPRMcMillan: 0.59Egbuka: 0.65 (best)
RZ target shareMcMillan: 23%Egbuka: 27% (best)
Catch rateMcMillan: 67% (best)Egbuka: 57%
SeparationMcMillan: 2.6 ydsEgbuka: 3.2 yds (best)
YAC over expectedMcMillan: −0.6Egbuka: −0.2 (best)
Usage worth vs scoredMcMillan: Earned by usage 15.8Scored 16.2Egbuka: Earned by usage 14.5Scored 11.8
Vacated targets this weekMcMillan: 3.0 (best)Egbuka: 1.0
Inside 10 target shareMcMillan: 33%Egbuka: 50% (best)
Range
FloorMcMillan: 8.8Egbuka: Ruled out
CeilingMcMillan: 24.2Egbuka: Ruled out
Points from TDssteadier when lowerMcMillan: 12%Egbuka: 25%
Big weeks (20+ pts)McMillan: 14% (best)Egbuka: 4%
Dud weeks (under 7 pts)lower is betterMcMillan: 18% (best)Egbuka: 34%
SteadinessMcMillan: Up & down±12.2 ptsEgbuka: Steady (best)±5.8 pts
Matchup
Matchup gradevs his position · 2026, 7 gmMcMillan: B+ (best)Egbuka: B-
Game scriptMcMillan: Expected to trailEgbuka: Expected to lead (best)
Opp takeaways / gamelower is betterMcMillan: 1.9Egbuka: 1.3 (best)
Defense funnelMcMillan: NeutralEgbuka: Neutral
Opp pass yds allowedMcMillan: 9th (tough)Egbuka: 29th (soft) (best)
Starting QBMcMillan: Young (Active)Egbuka: Mayfield (Active)
Opp defender outMcMillan: Franklin (OLB)Egbuka: None listed
WeatherMcMillan: No concernEgbuka: Outdoor73F, 10 mph wind, 100% rain
Roof / surfacegrassMcMillan: OpenEgbuka: Open
Rest / scheduleMcMillan: Short week (4d)Egbuka: Normal
Opp paceMcMillan: 19th (average) (best)Egbuka: 21st (average)
Opp deep targets allowed / gameMcMillan: 2.15th (tough)Egbuka: 4.7 (best)30th (soft)
Opp catch rate allowedMcMillan: 65% (best)23rd (soft)Egbuka: 64%22nd (soft)
Form
Last 3 avgMcMillan: 22.6 (best)Egbuka: 12.8
Last 5 avgMcMillan: 17.3 (best)Egbuka: 12.0
vs seasonMcMillan: +6.4 (Rising) (best)Egbuka: +0.9 (Rising)
Yards per route runMcMillan: 2.42 (best)Egbuka: 1.32
Receiving aDOTMcMillan: 10.8Egbuka: 9.7
Target share trendMcMillan: CoolingEgbuka: Rising
Games since injuryMcMillan: None recentlyEgbuka: 0
Crowd
Started in leaguesMcMillan: 95% (best)Egbuka: 63%
Nuvela position ranklower is betterMcMillan: WR10Egbuka: Ruled out
Yards linereceivingMcMillan: 73.0Egbuka: Ruled out
Deciding on someone else?
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