Saubert
TE · SEA vs CHI
Kickoff Mon 8:15 PM ET
Projected points2.1ptsUsage estimate
Alie-Cox
TE · IND @ JAX
Kickoff Sun 1:00 PM ET
Projected points2.3ptsUsage estimate
Toss-up
Bench
Eric Saubert or Mo Alie-Cox: Who Should I Start in Week 8?
Toss-up. Eric Saubert gets the nod over Mo Alie-Cox.
- Confidence
- Lower
- Toss-up
Case for Alie-Cox
The case for Alie-Cox is more upside (a ceiling of 4.3 to 3.8) and more of the snaps (42% to 27%).
Flips if
Start Mo Alie-Cox instead if you want more of the snaps (42% to 27%).
Risk
The risk: Saubert has been held under 6 points in 4 straight games.
Highlights
SaubertToss-upTE · SEA vs CHIUsually 1.6+0.5pts this week
Helps him
- +0.5ptspaceMost players at his position produce more than he has, so we expect him to bounce back some.
Hurts him
- 2%targetsHe draws only 2% of his team’s targets.
- 0.7per gameHe sees only 0.7 targets a game.
Alie-CoxFirst outTE · IND @ JAXUsually 1.9+0.4pts this week
Helps him
- OutJohnsonEdgeHe faces a Jaguars defense without safety Antonio Johnson.
Hurts him
- 3%targetsHe draws only 3% of his team’s targets.
- 0.9per gameHe sees only 0.9 targets a game.
Points are what each line adds to or takes off his usual week. EdgeFrom the game around him.
Stat comparison
Every player you picked, stat by stat, most important first.
Stat
Scoring
ProjectionSaubert: 2.1Alie-Cox: 2.3 (best)
Projected team pointsSaubert: 24.8 (best)Alie-Cox: 18.3
Red zone targetsper gameSaubert: 0.3 (best)Alie-Cox: 0.1
Role
Snap shareSaubert: 27%Alie-Cox: 42% (best)
Usage worthptsSaubert: 1.3Alie-Cox: 1.4 (best)
Target shareSaubert: 2%Alie-Cox: 3% (best)
Targets / gameSaubert: 0.7Alie-Cox: 0.9 (best)
Air yards shareSaubert: Behind the lineAlie-Cox: 1%
Vacated targets this weekSaubert: 1.0Alie-Cox: 3.5 (best)
RZ target shareSaubert: 7% (best)Alie-Cox: 5%
Inside 10 target shareSaubert: 0%Alie-Cox: 10% (best)
Catch rateSaubert: 60%Alie-Cox: 67% (best)
Usage worth vs scoredSaubert: Earned by usage 1.3Scored 1.6Alie-Cox: Earned by usage 1.4Scored 1.9
WOPRSaubert: 0.03Alie-Cox: 0.05 (best)
Range
FloorSaubert: 0.7 (best)Alie-Cox: 0.6
CeilingSaubert: 3.8Alie-Cox: 4.3 (best)
Points from TDssteadier when lowerSaubert: 55%Alie-Cox: 46%
Big weeks (15+ pts)Saubert: 0%Alie-Cox: 0%
Dud weeks (under 5 pts)lower is betterSaubert: 75% (best)Alie-Cox: 86%
SteadinessSaubert: Volatile (best)±3.9 pts · 4 gamesAlie-Cox: Volatile±2.7 pts · 7 games
Matchup
Matchup gradevs his positionSaubert: C2026, 7 gmAlie-Cox: C2026, 6 gm
Game scriptSaubert: Expected to lead (best)Alie-Cox: Expected to trail
Opp takeaways / gamelower is betterSaubert: 1.4 (best)Alie-Cox: 1.5
Defense funnelSaubert: NeutralAlie-Cox: Neutral
Opp pass yds allowedSaubert: 20th (average)Alie-Cox: 30th (soft) (best)
Starting QBSaubert: Darnold (Active)Alie-Cox: Jones (Active)
Opp defender outSaubert: None listedAlie-Cox: Johnson (SAF)
Roof / surfaceSaubert: OpenturfAlie-Cox: Opengrass
Rest / scheduleSaubert: NormalAlie-Cox: Normal
Opp paceSaubert: 1st (fast) (best)Alie-Cox: 23rd (slow)
Opp deep targets allowed / gameSaubert: 0.3 (best)8th (tough)Alie-Cox: 0.01st (tough)
Opp catch rate allowedSaubert: 74% (best)22nd (soft)Alie-Cox: 68%6th (tough)
Form
Last 3 avgSaubert: 0.9Alie-Cox: 3.5 (best)
Last 5 avgSaubert: 2.2Alie-Cox: 2.6 (best)
vs seasonSaubert: −0.7 (Cooling)Alie-Cox: +1.6 (Rising) (best)
Yards per route runSaubert: 0.65Alie-Cox: 0.72 (best)
Receiving aDOTSaubert: −0.4Alie-Cox: 1.8
Target share trendSaubert: RisingAlie-Cox: Steady
Crowd
Started in leaguesSaubert: No start dataAlie-Cox: 57%
Nuvela position ranklower is betterSaubert: TE55Alie-Cox: TE52 (best)
Deciding on someone else?
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