Conner
TE · JAX vs IND
Kickoff Sun 1:00 PM ET
Projected points1.4ptsUsage estimate
Hawes
TE · BUF vs BAL
Kickoff Sun 1:00 PM ET
Projected points1.6ptsUsage estimate
Toss-up
Bench
Ethan Conner or Jackson Hawes: Who Should I Start in Week 8?
Toss-up. Need a safe week? Ethan Conner. Swinging for a big week? Jackson Hawes.
- Confidence
- Lower
- Ethan Conner has under three games this season and no sample from last season
Case for Hawes
Conner has the safer floor (0.7 to 0.3); Hawes has more upside (a ceiling of 4.1 to 2.4).
Flips if
Start Jackson Hawes instead if you want an offense expected to score more (28.8 points to 28.3).
Risk
Conner has the safer floor (0.7 to 0.3); Hawes has more upside (a ceiling of 4.1 to 2.4).
Highlights
ConnerToss-upTE · JAX vs INDProjected1.4pts
Helps him
- OutWalleyEdgeHe faces a Colts defense without cornerback Justin Walley.
Hurts him
- 0.7floorA quiet week could drop to about 0.7 points.
HawesFirst outTE · BUF vs BALUsually 0.0+1.6pts this week
Helps him
- +1.1ptstrack recordHis projection also weighs his past seasons, which ran above this year’s pace.
- +0.7ptspaceMost players at his position produce more than he has, so we expect him to bounce back some.
Hurts him
- 1%targetsHe draws only 1% of his team’s targets.
- 0.2per gameHe sees only 0.2 targets a game.
Points are what each line adds to or takes off his usual week. EdgeFrom the game around him.
Stat comparison
Every player you picked, stat by stat, most important first.
Stat
Scoring
ProjectionConner: 1.4Hawes: 1.6 (best)
Projected team pointsConner: 28.3Hawes: 28.8 (best)
Red zone targetsper gameConner: No games yetHawes: 0.0
Role
Snap shareConner: No games yetHawes: 39%
Usage worthptsConner: No games yetHawes: 0.3
Target shareConner: No games yetHawes: 1%
Targets / gameConner: No games yetHawes: 0.2
Air yards shareConner: No games yetHawes: 2%
Vacated targets this weekConner: 0.0Hawes: 0.0
RZ target shareConner: No games yetHawes: 0%
Inside 10 target shareConner: No games yetHawes: 0%
Usage worth vs scoredConner: No games yetHawes: Earned by usage 0.3Scored 0.0
WOPRConner: No games yetHawes: 0.03
Range
FloorConner: 0.7 (best)Hawes: 0.3
CeilingConner: 2.4Hawes: 4.1 (best)
Big weeks (15+ pts)Conner: No games yetHawes: 0%
Dud weeks (under 5 pts)lower is betterConner: No games yetHawes: 92%
SteadinessConner: No games yetHawes: Volatile±2.7 pts
Matchup
Matchup gradevs his position · 2026, 7 gmConner: B- (best)Hawes: C
Game scriptConner: Expected to lead (best)Hawes: Expected to lead
Opp takeaways / gamelower is betterConner: 0.4 (best)Hawes: 0.9
Defense funnelConner: NeutralHawes: Pass
Opp pass yds allowedConner: 11th (average)Hawes: 15th (average) (best)
Starting QBConner: Lawrence (Active)Hawes: Allen (Active)
Opp defender outConner: Walley (CB)Hawes: Robinson (LB)
Roof / surfaceConner: OpengrassHawes: Openturf
Rest / scheduleConner: Off a byeHawes: Off a bye
Opp paceConner: 7th (fast) (best)Hawes: 17th (average)
Opp deep targets allowed / gameConner: 0.7 (best)23rd (soft)Hawes: 0.01st (tough)
Opp catch rate allowedConner: 68%7th (tough)Hawes: 76% (best)25th (soft)
Form
Last 3 avgConner: No games yetHawes: 0.0
Last 5 avgConner: No games yetHawes: 0.0
vs seasonConner: No games yetHawes: 0.0
Yards per route runConner: No games yetHawes: 0
Crowd
Nuvela position ranklower is betterConner: TE62Hawes: TE60 (best)
Deciding on someone else?
Choose 2 to 5 players for any week.