Conner
TE · JAX vs IND
Kickoff Sun 1:00 PM ET
Projected points1.4ptsUsage estimate
Kacmarek
TE · MIA vs NE
Kickoff Sun 4:25 PM ETLatest report: Limited · hamstring
Projected points1.0pts
Toss-up
Bench
Ethan Conner or Will Kacmarek: Who Should I Start in Week 8?
Toss-up. Ethan Conner gets the nod over Will Kacmarek.
- Ahead by
- +0.4pts
- over Kacmarek
- Confidence
- Lower
- The two projections come from different sources; one is a Nuvela estimate
Conner's number is our own estimate because his prop lines aren't posted yet, so this call is less sure than the gap looks.
Case for Kacmarek
The case for Kacmarek is a defense that allows more catches (70% of targets to 68%).
Flips if
Start Will Kacmarek instead if you want a defense that allows more catches (70% of targets to 68%).
Risk
Will Kacmarek was limited in practice: check the final injury report and the inactives, posted about 90 minutes before kickoff. Weather in Will Kacmarek's game: Outdoor · 73F, 6 mph wind, 100% rain. Check it again before kickoff. As of Fri 6:00 PM ET
Highlights
ConnerToss-upTE · JAX vs INDProjected1.4pts
Helps him
- 28.3team totalEdgeHis team is expected to score 28.3 points, a high scoring spot.
Hurts him
- 0.7floorA quiet week could drop to about 0.7 points.
KacmarekFirst outTE · MIA vs NEUsually 0.9+0.1pts this week
Helps him
- 1.6ceilingHis best weeks reach about 1.6 points.
Hurts him
- 5%targetsHe draws only 5% of his team’s targets.
- 1.0per gameHe sees only 1.0 targets a game.
EdgeFrom the game around him.
Stat comparison
Every player you picked, stat by stat, most important first.
Stat
Scoring
ProjectionConner: 1.4 (best)Kacmarek: 1.0
TD pointsof the projectionConner: Our estimateKacmarek: 0.4
Expected TDsthis weekConner: Our estimateKacmarek: 0.07
Projected team pointsConner: 28.3 (best)Kacmarek: 18.0
Red zone targetsper gameConner: No games yetKacmarek: 0.0
Role
Snap shareConner: No games yetKacmarek: 43%
Usage worthptsConner: No games yetKacmarek: 1.5
Target shareConner: No games yetKacmarek: 5%
Targets / gameConner: No games yetKacmarek: 1.0
Air yards shareConner: No games yetKacmarek: 2%
Vacated targets this weekConner: 0.0Kacmarek: 0.0
RZ target shareConner: No games yetKacmarek: 0%
Inside 10 target shareConner: No games yetKacmarek: 0%
Catch rateConner: No games yetKacmarek: 50%
Usage worth vs scoredConner: No games yetKacmarek: Earned by usage 1.5Scored 0.9
WOPRConner: No games yetKacmarek: 0.09
Range
FloorConner: 0.7 (best)Kacmarek: 0.5
CeilingConner: 2.4 (best)Kacmarek: 1.6
Points from TDssteadier when lowerConner: No games yetKacmarek: 0%
Big weeks (15+ pts)Conner: No games yetKacmarek: 0%
Dud weeks (under 5 pts)lower is betterConner: No games yetKacmarek: 100%
Matchup
Matchup gradevs his position · 2026, 7 gmConner: B- (best)Kacmarek: C-
Game scriptConner: Expected to lead (best)Kacmarek: Expected to trail
Opp takeaways / gamelower is betterConner: 0.4 (best)Kacmarek: 1.0
Defense funnelConner: NeutralKacmarek: Neutral
Opp pass yds allowedConner: 11th (average)Kacmarek: 19th (average) (best)
Starting QBConner: Lawrence (Active)Kacmarek: Willis (Active)
Opp defender outConner: Walley (CB)Kacmarek: None listed
WeatherConner: No concernKacmarek: Outdoor73F, 6 mph wind, 100% rain
Roof / surfacegrassConner: OpenKacmarek: Open
Rest / scheduleConner: Off a byeKacmarek: Normal
Opp paceConner: 7th (fast) (best)Kacmarek: 16th (average)
Opp deep targets allowed / gameConner: 0.723rd (soft)Kacmarek: 0.9 (best)30th (soft)
Opp catch rate allowedConner: 68%7th (tough)Kacmarek: 70% (best)10th (tough)
Form
Last 3 avgConner: No games yetKacmarek: 1.3
Last 5 avgConner: No games yetKacmarek: 1.1
vs seasonConner: No games yetKacmarek: +0.4 (Rising)
Yards per route runConner: No games yetKacmarek: 0.67
Receiving aDOTConner: No games yetKacmarek: 4.3
Target share trendConner: No games yetKacmarek: Cooling
Crowd
Nuvela position ranklower is betterConner: TE62 (best)Kacmarek: TE80
Yards linereceivingConner: Our estimateKacmarek: 0.5
Deciding on someone else?
Choose 2 to 5 players for any week.