Judkins
RB · CLE @ PIT
Kickoff Sun 1:00 PM ET
Projected points10.5pts
Holani
RB · SEA vs CHI
Kickoff Mon 8:15 PM ET
Projected points5.0ptsUsage estimate
Lean
Bench
George Holani or Quinshon Judkins: Who Should I Start in Week 8?
Lean Quinshon Judkins over George Holani.
- Ahead by
- +5.5pts
- over Holani
- Confidence
- Moderate
- The two projections come from different sources; one is a Nuvela estimate
- Started
- 78%
- of leagues
Holani's number is our own estimate because his prop lines aren't posted yet, so this call is less sure than the gap looks.
Flips if
Start George Holani instead if you want an offense expected to score more (24.8 points to 18.0).
Risk
Quinshon Judkins has played 1 game since missing time.
Highlights
JudkinsLeanRB · CLE @ PITUsually 13.3−2.7pts this week
Helps him
- 33%big weeks33% of his games have been big weeks.
Hurts him
- −1.7ptscatchesHis lines put him at 1.5 catches, below his usual 3.2.
- −1.3pts2 linesReceiving yards 11.5 (usual 18.3) and rushing yards 46.5 (usual 52.8) both sit below his usual.
- PITvs RBsEdgePIT is the 3rd toughest defense for running backs.
HolaniFirst outRB · SEA vs CHIUsually 5.1−0.1pts this week
Helps him
- +0.6ptspaceMost players at his position produce more than he has, so we expect him to bounce back some.
- −3.0spreadEdgeHis team is expected to lead, which tends to mean more carries late.
Hurts him
- −1.1ptstrack recordHis projection also weighs his past seasons, which ran below this year’s pace.
- 14%touchesHe handles only 14% of his team’s touches, so the work is shared.
- 3rd softestper carryEdgeCHI allows few RB chances because teams throw on them; per carry or target they’re soft (0.85 pts, 3rd softest).
Points are what each line adds to or takes off his usual week. EdgeFrom the game around him.
Stat comparison
Every player you picked, stat by stat, most important first.
Stat
Scoring
ProjectionJudkins: 10.5 (best)Holani: 5.0
TD pointsof the projectionJudkins: 3.2Holani: Our estimate
Expected TDsthis weekJudkins: 0.54Holani: Our estimate
Projected team pointsJudkins: 18.0Holani: 24.8 (best)
Goal line carriesper gameJudkins: 0.7Holani: 0.7
Red zone carriesper gameJudkins: 2.0 (best)Holani: 1.3
Red zone targetsper gameJudkins: 0.7 (best)Holani: 0.3
Role
Snap shareJudkins: 59% (best)Holani: 40%
Usage worthptsJudkins: 14.4 (best)Holani: 7.1
Touch shareJudkins: 39% (best)Holani: 14%
Target shareJudkins: 12% (best)Holani: 7%
Touches / gameJudkins: 18.2 (best)Holani: 6.9
Targets / gameJudkins: 3.5 (best)Holani: 2.0
Vacated touches this weekJudkins: 4.2Holani: 11.7 (best)
High value touches / gameJudkins: 4.2 (best)Holani: 2.4
Goal line carry shareJudkins: 80% (best)Holani: 36%
Red zone touches / gameJudkins: 2.7 (best)Holani: 1.6
Rush success rateJudkins: 31%Holani: 33% (best)
Breakaway rate (20+ yd runs)Judkins: 1.1% (best)Holani: 0%
Usage worth vs scoredJudkins: Earned by usage 14.4Scored 13.3Holani: Earned by usage 7.1Scored 5.1
Rush yards / gameJudkins: 52.8 (best)Holani: 15.4
Points from rushingJudkins: 62%Holani: 47%
Receiving TDs vs RZ targetsJudkins: BelowHolani: 2 RZ targets
WOPRJudkins: 0.16 (best)Holani: 0.10
RZ target shareJudkins: 24% (best)Holani: 7%
Inside 10 target shareJudkins: 43% (best)Holani: 0%
Catch rateJudkins: 90% (best)Holani: 86%
Rushing points / gameJudkins: 8.3 pts / game (best)Holani: 2.4 pts / game
Rushing floorJudkins: 6.0 pts / game (best)Holani: 2.3 pts / game
Range
FloorJudkins: 6.6 (best)Holani: 3.0
CeilingJudkins: 16.8 (best)Holani: 7.9
Points from TDssteadier when lowerJudkins: 23%Holani: 17%
Big weeks (20+ pts)Judkins: 33% (best)Holani: 0%
Dud weeks (under 8 pts)lower is betterJudkins: 17% (best)Holani: 71%
SteadinessJudkins: Steady (best)±7.2 pts · 6 gamesHolani: Steady±3.2 pts · 7 games
Matchup
Matchup gradevs his position · 2026, 7 gmJudkins: DHolani: C- (best)
Game scriptJudkins: Expected to trailHolani: Expected to lead (best)
Opp takeaways / gamelower is betterJudkins: 1.6Holani: 1.4 (best)
Defense funnelJudkins: NeutralHolani: Neutral
Opp rush yds allowedJudkins: 7th (tough) (best)Holani: 3rd (tough)
Backfield roleJudkins: LeadHolani: Committee
Opp defender outJudkins: Joseph-Day (DT)Holani: None listed
Roof / surfaceJudkins: OpengrassHolani: Openturf
Rest / scheduleJudkins: NormalHolani: Normal
Opp paceJudkins: 13th (average)Holani: 1st (fast) (best)
Opp stuff rateJudkins: 23%3rd (tough)Holani: 18% (best)18th (average)
Opp yards per carry allowedJudkins: 3.64th (tough)Holani: 4.3 (best)21st (average)
Opp pass yds allowedJudkins: 13th (average)Holani: 20th (average) (best)
Opp deep targets allowed / gameJudkins: 0.01st (tough)Holani: 0.1 (best)24th (soft)
Opp catch rate allowedJudkins: 78%15th (average)Holani: 84% (best)25th (soft)
Starting QBJudkins: Watson (Active)Holani: Darnold (Active)
Form
Last 3 avgJudkins: 17.7 (best)Holani: 5.5
Last 5 avgJudkins: 14.5 (best)Holani: 6.0
vs seasonJudkins: +4.4 (Rising) (best)Holani: +0.4 (Steady)
Yards per carryJudkins: 3.5 (best)Holani: 3.0
Carries / gameJudkins: 15.0 (best)Holani: 5.1
Yards per route runJudkins: 1.72 (best)Holani: 1.00
Receiving aDOTJudkins: −1.4Holani: −0.3
Touch share trendJudkins: CoolingHolani: Steady
Games since injuryJudkins: 1Holani: None recently
Crowd
Started in leaguesJudkins: 79%Holani: Not widely started
Nuvela position ranklower is betterJudkins: RB25 (best)Holani: RB47
Yards linerushingJudkins: 46.5Holani: Our estimate
Deciding on someone else?
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