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Sit or start?
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Week8 · 2026
Starting1
Scoring
New comparison
Toss-up

Concepcion

WR · CLE @ PIT

Kickoff Sun 1:00 PM ET

Projected points11.1pts

First out

Bernard

WR · PIT vs CLE

Kickoff Sun 1:00 PM ET

Projected points10.8pts

Toss-up

Bench

Germie Bernard or KC Concepcion: Who Should I Start in Week 8?

Toss-up. KC Concepcion gets the nod over Germie Bernard.

Ahead by
+0.3pts
over Bernard
Confidence
Lower
Toss-up
Started
58%
of leagues

Case for Bernard

The case for Bernard is more of the red zone targets (20% to 17%) and an offense expected to score more (21.5 points to 18.0).

Flips if

Start Germie Bernard instead if you want an offense expected to score more (21.5 points to 18.0).

Risk

The risk: Concepcion plays in the lowest scoring game on the slate.

Highlights

Injuries as of Fri 12:00 PM ET
ConcepcionToss-upWR · CLE @ PITUsually 10.2+0.8pts this week

Helps him

  1. +1.5ptstouchdownsHis lines put him at 0.25 touchdowns, above his usual 0.00.

Hurts him

  1. −0.6ptsrec yardsHis lines put him at 46.0 receiving yards, below his usual 51.7.
  2. 7th toughestper targetEdgePIT allows plenty of WR chances because receivers see plenty of targets on them; per target they’re tough (1.60 pts, 7th toughest).
BernardFirst outWR · PIT vs CLEUsually 8.4+2.3pts this week

Helps him

  1. +2.2pts3 linesReceiving yards 44.5 (usual 36.3), touchdowns 0.28 (usual 0.14) and catches 4.5 (usual 3.9) all sit above his usual.
  2. +6.9last 3 vs avgHis last three games run 6.9 points above his season average.

Hurts him

  1. 5.4floorA quiet week could drop to about 5.4 points.

Points are what each line adds to or takes off his usual week. EdgeFrom the game around him.

Stat comparison

Every player you picked, stat by stat, most important first.

Stat
Scoring
ProjectionConcepcion: 11.1 (best)Bernard: 10.8
TD pointsof the projectionConcepcion: 1.5Bernard: 1.7 (best)
Expected TDsthis weekConcepcion: 0.25Bernard: 0.28 (best)
Projected team pointsConcepcion: 18.0Bernard: 21.5 (best)
Goal line carriesper gameConcepcion: 0.0Bernard: 0.0
Red zone carriesper gameConcepcion: 0.3 (best)Bernard: 0.0
Red zone targetsper gameConcepcion: 0.4Bernard: 0.9 (best)
Role
Snap shareConcepcion: 70% (best)Bernard: 61%
Usage worthptsConcepcion: 11.0 (best)Bernard: 9.1
Touch shareConcepcion: 12% (best)Bernard: 9%
Target shareConcepcion: 22% (best)Bernard: 15%
Touches / gameConcepcion: 5.6 (best)Bernard: 4.0
Targets / gameConcepcion: 6.4 (best)Bernard: 5.3
Air yards shareConcepcion: 22% (best)Bernard: 12%
Receiving TDs vs RZ targetsConcepcion: BelowBernard: In line
WOPRConcepcion: 0.48 (best)Bernard: 0.33
RZ target shareConcepcion: 17%Bernard: 20% (best)
Catch rateConcepcion: 67%Bernard: 73% (best)
SeparationConcepcion: 3.2 ydsBernard: 3.2 yds
YAC over expectedConcepcion: +1.3 (best)Bernard: +1.0
Usage worth vs scoredConcepcion: Earned by usage 11.0Scored 9.0Bernard: Earned by usage 9.1Scored 8.4
Rush yards / gameConcepcion: 4.9 (best)Bernard: 0.6
Points from rushingConcepcion: 5%Bernard: 1%
Vacated targets this weekConcepcion: 0.0Bernard: 9.0 (best)
High value touches / gameConcepcion: 4.4 (best)Bernard: 3.9
Goal line carry shareConcepcion: 0%Bernard: 0%
Red zone touches / gameConcepcion: 0.7Bernard: 0.9 (best)
Rush success rateConcepcion: 33% (best)Bernard: 0%
Breakaway rate (20+ yd runs)Concepcion: 0%Bernard: 0%
Inside 10 target shareConcepcion: 0%Bernard: 8% (best)
Rushing points / gameConcepcion: 0.5 pts / game (best)Bernard: 0.1 pts / game
Rushing floorConcepcion: 0.0 pts / gameBernard: 0.0 pts / game
Range
FloorConcepcion: 7.1 (best)Bernard: 5.4
CeilingConcepcion: 17.1Bernard: 18.2 (best)
Points from TDssteadier when lowerConcepcion: 0%Bernard: 10%
Big weeks (20+ pts)Concepcion: 17%Bernard: 17%
Dud weeks (under 7 pts)lower is betterConcepcion: 17% (best)Bernard: 50%
SteadinessConcepcion: Up & down (best)±6.9 pts · 6 gamesBernard: Volatile±8.9 pts · 6 games
Matchup
Matchup gradevs his position · 2026, 7 gmConcepcion: B- (best)Bernard: C+
Game scriptConcepcion: Expected to trailBernard: Expected to lead (best)
Opp takeaways / gamelower is betterConcepcion: 1.6Bernard: 1.3 (best)
Defense funnelConcepcion: NeutralBernard: Neutral
Opp pass yds allowedConcepcion: 13th (average) (best)Bernard: 8th (tough)
Starting QBConcepcion: Watson (Active)Bernard: Rodgers (Active)
Opp defender outConcepcion: Joseph-Day (DT)Bernard: None listed
Roof / surfacegrassConcepcion: OpenBernard: Open
Rest / scheduleConcepcion: NormalBernard: Normal
Opp paceConcepcion: 13th (average) (best)Bernard: 22nd (slow)
Opp deep targets allowed / gameConcepcion: 3.319th (average)Bernard: 5.0 (best)32nd (soft)
Opp catch rate allowedConcepcion: 61% (best)14th (average)Bernard: 58%6th (tough)
Opp rush yds allowedConcepcion: 7th (tough)Bernard: 20th (average) (best)
Opp stuff rateConcepcion: 23%3rd (tough)Bernard: 23%2nd (tough)
Opp yards per carry allowedConcepcion: 3.64th (tough)Bernard: 4.6 (best)28th (soft)
Form
Last 3 avgConcepcion: 10.9Bernard: 15.3 (best)
Last 5 avgConcepcion: 9.4Bernard: 10.3 (best)
vs seasonConcepcion: +1.9 (Rising)Bernard: +6.9 (Rising) (best)
Yards per carryConcepcion: 3.8Bernard: 1 carry
Carries / gameConcepcion: 1.3 (best)Bernard: 0.1
Yards per route runConcepcion: 1.91 (best)Bernard: 1.59
Receiving aDOTConcepcion: 7.6Bernard: 5.7
Target share trendConcepcion: Left Week 5 hurtBernard: Cooling
Crowd
Started in leaguesConcepcion: 59% (best)Bernard: 52%
Nuvela position ranklower is betterConcepcion: WR27 (best)Bernard: WR29
Yards linereceivingConcepcion: 46.0 (best)Bernard: 44.5

Deciding on someone else?

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