Ertz
TE · PHI @ WAS
Kickoff Sun 8:20 PM ET
Projected points0.9ptsUsage estimate
Briningstool
TE · KC @ DEN
Kickoff Sun 4:25 PM ET
Projected points1.0ptsUsage estimate
Toss-up
Bench
Jake Briningstool or Zach Ertz: Who Should I Start in Week 8?
Toss-up. Zach Ertz gets the nod over Jake Briningstool.
- Confidence
- Lower
- Toss-up
Case for Briningstool
The case for Briningstool is an offense expected to score more (20.8 points to 17.5).
Flips if
Start Jake Briningstool instead if you want an offense expected to score more (20.8 points to 17.5).
Risk
The risk: Ertz caught none of his 2 targets in Week 5 (0.0 points).
Highlights
ErtzToss-upTE · PHI @ WASUsually 1.7−0.8pts this week
Helps him
- +5.0ptstrack recordHis projection also weighs his past seasons, which ran above this year’s pace.
- WASvs TEsEdgeWAS is the 2nd softest defense for tight ends.
Hurts him
- −5.3ptsroleHe’s expected to play fewer snaps this week than he has lately.
- −0.5ptspaceFew players at his position keep up numbers like his, so we expect a little less.
- 10%targetsHe draws only 10% of his team’s targets.
- 2.7per gameHe sees only 2.7 targets a game.
BriningstoolFirst outTE · KC @ DENUsually 0.3+0.7pts this week
Helps him
- +2.1ptspaceMost players at his position produce more than he has, so we expect him to bounce back some.
Hurts him
- −1.4ptsroleHe’s expected to play fewer snaps this week than he has lately.
- 1%targetsHe draws only 1% of his team’s targets.
- 0.3per gameHe sees only 0.3 targets a game.
Points are what each line adds to or takes off his usual week. EdgeFrom the game around him.
Stat comparison
Every player you picked, stat by stat, most important first.
Stat
Scoring
ProjectionErtz: 0.9Briningstool: 1.0 (best)
Projected team pointsErtz: 17.5Briningstool: 20.8 (best)
Red zone targetsper gameErtz: 0.3 (best)Briningstool: 0.0
Role
Snap shareErtz: 23% (best)Briningstool: 14%
Usage worthptsErtz: 4.3 (best)Briningstool: 0.5
Target shareErtz: 10% (best)Briningstool: 1%
Targets / gameErtz: 2.7 (best)Briningstool: 0.3
Air yards shareErtz: 10% (best)Briningstool: 1%
Vacated targets this weekErtz: 15.6 (best)Briningstool: 3.8
RZ target shareErtz: 13% (best)Briningstool: 0%
Inside 10 target shareErtz: 0%Briningstool: 0%
Catch rateErtz: 38%Briningstool: 2 targets
Usage worth vs scoredErtz: Earned by usage 4.3Scored 1.7Briningstool: Earned by usage 0.5Scored 0.3
WOPRErtz: 0.21 (best)Briningstool: 0.03
Range
FloorErtz: 0.5Briningstool: 0.5
CeilingErtz: 1.6Briningstool: 1.8 (best)
Points from TDssteadier when lowerErtz: 0%Briningstool: 0%
Big weeks (15+ pts)Ertz: 1 gameBriningstool: 0%
Dud weeks (under 5 pts)lower is betterErtz: 1 gameBriningstool: 100%
Matchup
Matchup gradevs his positionErtz: A+ (best)2026, 6 gmBriningstool: C+2026, 7 gm
Game scriptErtz: Expected to trailBriningstool: Expected to lead (best)
Opp takeaways / gamelower is betterErtz: 1.3 (best)Briningstool: 1.4
Defense funnelErtz: NeutralBriningstool: Neutral
Opp pass yds allowedErtz: 28th (soft) (best)Briningstool: 17th (average)
Starting QBErtz: McKee (Active)Briningstool: Mahomes (Active)
Opp defender outErtz: Payne (NT)Briningstool: Elliss (LB)
Roof / surfacegrassErtz: OpenBriningstool: Open
Rest / scheduleErtz: NormalBriningstool: Normal
Opp paceErtz: 12th (average) (best)Briningstool: 30th (slow)
Opp deep targets allowed / gameErtz: 0.5 (best)14th (average)Briningstool: 0.411th (average)
Opp catch rate allowedErtz: 76% (best)23rd (soft)Briningstool: 72%13th (average)
Form
Last 3 avgErtz: 1.7 (best)Briningstool: 0.0
Last 5 avgErtz: 1.7 (best)Briningstool: 0.0
vs seasonErtz: Cooling (best)Briningstool: −0.3 (Cooling)
Yards per route runErtz: 0.85 (best)Briningstool: 0.60
Receiving aDOTErtz: 7.6Briningstool: 2 targets
Target share trendErtz: SteadyBriningstool: No usage yet
Crowd
Nuvela position ranklower is betterErtz: TE82Briningstool: TE77 (best)
Deciding on someone else?
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