Judkins
RB · CLE @ PIT
Kickoff Sun 1:00 PM ET
Projected points10.5pts
McLaughlin
RB · CLE @ PIT
Kickoff Sun 1:00 PM ET
Projected points4.7ptsUsage estimate
Lean
Bench
Jaleel McLaughlin or Quinshon Judkins: Who Should I Start in Week 8?
Lean Quinshon Judkins over Jaleel McLaughlin.
- Ahead by
- +5.8pts
- over McLaughlin
- Confidence
- Moderate
- The two projections come from different sources; one is a Nuvela estimate
- Started
- 78%
- of leagues
McLaughlin's number is our own estimate because his prop lines aren't posted yet, so this call is less sure than the gap looks.
Flips if
An injury tag on Quinshon Judkins or a bigger role for Jaleel McLaughlin.
Risk
Quinshon Judkins has played 1 game since missing time.
Highlights
JudkinsLeanRB · CLE @ PITUsually 13.3−2.7pts this week
Helps him
- 33%big weeks33% of his games have been big weeks.
Hurts him
- −1.7ptscatchesHis lines put him at 1.5 catches, below his usual 3.2.
- −1.3pts2 linesReceiving yards 11.5 (usual 18.3) and rushing yards 46.5 (usual 52.8) both sit below his usual.
- PITvs RBsEdgePIT is the 3rd toughest defense for running backs.
McLaughlinFirst outRB · CLE @ PITUsually 3.1+1.6pts this week
Helps him
- +0.7ptstrack recordHis projection also weighs his past seasons, which ran above this year’s pace.
- +0.7ptspaceMost players at his position produce more than he has, so we expect him to bounce back some.
Hurts him
- 5%touchesHe handles only 5% of his team’s touches, so the work is shared.
Points are what each line adds to or takes off his usual week. EdgeFrom the game around him.
Stat comparison
Every player you picked, stat by stat, most important first.
Stat
Scoring
ProjectionJudkins: 10.5 (best)McLaughlin: 4.7
TD pointsof the projectionJudkins: 3.2McLaughlin: Our estimate
Expected TDsthis weekJudkins: 0.54McLaughlin: Our estimate
Projected team pointsJudkins: 18.0McLaughlin: 18.0
Goal line carriesper gameJudkins: 0.7 (best)McLaughlin: 0.0
Red zone carriesper gameJudkins: 2.0 (best)McLaughlin: 0.0
Red zone targetsper gameJudkins: 0.7 (best)McLaughlin: 0.2
Role
Snap shareJudkins: 59% (best)McLaughlin: 18%
Usage worthptsJudkins: 14.4 (best)McLaughlin: 2.5
Touch shareJudkins: 39% (best)McLaughlin: 5%
Target shareJudkins: 12% (best)McLaughlin: 4%
Touches / gameJudkins: 18.2 (best)McLaughlin: 2.5
Targets / gameJudkins: 3.5 (best)McLaughlin: 1.0
Air yards shareJudkins: Behind the lineMcLaughlin: 0.4%
Vacated touches this weekJudkins: 4.2McLaughlin: 4.2
High value touches / gameJudkins: 4.2 (best)McLaughlin: 0.7
Goal line carry shareJudkins: 80% (best)McLaughlin: 0%
Red zone touches / gameJudkins: 2.7 (best)McLaughlin: 0.2
Rush success rateJudkins: 31%McLaughlin: 55% (best)
Breakaway rate (20+ yd runs)Judkins: 1.1%McLaughlin: 9.1% (best)
Usage worth vs scoredJudkins: Earned by usage 14.4Scored 13.3McLaughlin: Earned by usage 2.5Scored 3.1
Rush yards / gameJudkins: 52.8 (best)McLaughlin: 12.0
Points from rushingJudkins: 62%McLaughlin: 71%
Receiving TDs vs RZ targetsJudkins: BelowMcLaughlin: 1 RZ target
WOPRJudkins: 0.16 (best)McLaughlin: 0.06
RZ target shareJudkins: 24% (best)McLaughlin: 6%
Inside 10 target shareJudkins: 43% (best)McLaughlin: 0%
Catch rateJudkins: 90% (best)McLaughlin: 67%
Rushing points / gameJudkins: 8.3 pts / game (best)McLaughlin: 2.2 pts / game
Rushing floorJudkins: 6.0 pts / game (best)McLaughlin: 1.3 pts / game
Range
FloorJudkins: 6.6 (best)McLaughlin: 2.8
CeilingJudkins: 16.8 (best)McLaughlin: 7.3
Points from TDssteadier when lowerJudkins: 23%McLaughlin: 32%
Big weeks (20+ pts)Judkins: 33%McLaughlin: 1 game
Dud weeks (under 8 pts)lower is betterJudkins: 17%McLaughlin: 1 game
SteadinessJudkins: Steady±7.2 pts · 6 gamesMcLaughlin: 1 game
Matchup
Matchup gradevs his position · 2026, 7 gmJudkins: DMcLaughlin: D
Game scriptJudkins: Expected to trailMcLaughlin: Expected to trail
Opp takeaways / gamelower is betterJudkins: 1.6McLaughlin: 1.6
Defense funnelJudkins: NeutralMcLaughlin: Neutral
Opp rush yds allowedJudkins: 7th (tough)McLaughlin: 7th (tough)
Backfield roleJudkins: LeadMcLaughlin: Backup
Opp defender outJudkins: Joseph-Day (DT)McLaughlin: Joseph-Day (DT)
Roof / surfacegrassJudkins: OpenMcLaughlin: Open
Rest / scheduleJudkins: NormalMcLaughlin: Normal
Opp paceJudkins: 13th (average)McLaughlin: 13th (average)
Opp stuff rate3rd (tough)Judkins: 23%McLaughlin: 23%
Opp yards per carry allowed4th (tough)Judkins: 3.6McLaughlin: 3.6
Opp pass yds allowedJudkins: 13th (average)McLaughlin: 13th (average)
Opp deep targets allowed / game1st (tough)Judkins: 0.0McLaughlin: 0.0
Opp catch rate allowed15th (average)Judkins: 78%McLaughlin: 78%
Starting QBJudkins: Watson (Active)McLaughlin: Watson (Active)
Form
Last 3 avgJudkins: 17.7 (best)McLaughlin: 3.2
Last 5 avgJudkins: 14.5 (best)McLaughlin: 3.7
vs seasonJudkins: +4.4 (Rising) (best)McLaughlin: +0.1 (Steady)
Yards per carryJudkins: 3.5McLaughlin: 6.5 (best)
Carries / gameJudkins: 15.0 (best)McLaughlin: 1.8
Yards per route runJudkins: 1.72 (best)McLaughlin: 0.48
Receiving aDOTJudkins: −1.4McLaughlin: 0.8
Touch share trendJudkins: CoolingMcLaughlin: Steady
Games since injuryJudkins: 1McLaughlin: None recently
Crowd
Started in leaguesJudkins: 79%McLaughlin: Not widely started
Nuvela position ranklower is betterJudkins: RB25 (best)McLaughlin: RB53
Yards linerushingJudkins: 46.5McLaughlin: Our estimate
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