Harvey
RB · DEN vs KC
Kickoff Sun 4:25 PM ETLatest report: Limited · Knee
Projected points7.7pts
if he plays · 80% to play
McLaughlin
RB · CLE @ PIT
Kickoff Sun 1:00 PM ET
Projected points4.7ptsUsage estimate
Start if active
Bench
Jaleel McLaughlin or RJ Harvey: Who Should I Start in Week 8?
Lean RJ Harvey over Jaleel McLaughlin.
- Ahead by
- +3.0pts
- over McLaughlin if he plays
- Confidence
- Moderate
- RJ Harvey may not play (about 80% to play)
- Started
- 53%
- of leagues
McLaughlin's number is our own estimate because his prop lines aren't posted yet, so this call is less sure than the gap looks.
Flips if
If RJ Harvey is ruled out before Jaleel McLaughlin's game starts, start Jaleel McLaughlin.
Risk
RJ Harvey was limited in practice (knee): check the inactives, posted about 90 minutes before kickoff. As of Fri 2:00 PM ET
Highlights
HarveyStart if activeRB · DEN vs KCUsually 11.2−3.6pts this week
Helps him
- 14.0last weekHe ran for 6 yards, caught 2 for 54 and scored last week (14.0 points).
Hurts him
- −2.1pts3 linesRushing yards 7.5 (usual 14.5), catches 3.5 (usual 4.2) and touchdowns 0.21 (usual 0.33) all sit below his usual.
- −1.5ptsrec yardsHis lines put him at 21.5 receiving yards, below his usual 36.2.
- 19%touchesHe handles only 19% of his team’s touches, so the work is shared.
- KCvs RBsEdgeKC is the 9th toughest defense for running backs.
McLaughlinFirst outRB · CLE @ PITUsually 3.1+1.6pts this week
Helps him
- +0.7ptstrack recordHis projection also weighs his past seasons, which ran above this year’s pace.
- +0.7ptspaceMost players at his position produce more than he has, so we expect him to bounce back some.
Hurts him
- 5%touchesHe handles only 5% of his team’s touches, so the work is shared.
Points are what each line adds to or takes off his usual week. EdgeFrom the game around him.
Stat comparison
Every player you picked, stat by stat, most important first.
Stat
Scoring
ProjectionHarvey: 7.7 (best)McLaughlin: 4.7
TD pointsof the projectionHarvey: 1.3McLaughlin: Our estimate
Expected TDsthis weekHarvey: 0.21McLaughlin: Our estimate
Projected team pointsHarvey: 19.8 (best)McLaughlin: 18.0
Goal line carriesper gameHarvey: 0.2 (best)McLaughlin: 0.0
Red zone carriesper gameHarvey: 0.2 (best)McLaughlin: 0.0
Red zone targetsper gameHarvey: 0.7 (best)McLaughlin: 0.2
Role
Snap shareHarvey: 39% (best)McLaughlin: 18%
Usage worthptsHarvey: 9.6 (best)McLaughlin: 2.5
Touch shareHarvey: 19% (best)McLaughlin: 5%
Target shareHarvey: 16% (best)McLaughlin: 4%
Touches / gameHarvey: 8.2 (best)McLaughlin: 2.5
Targets / gameHarvey: 4.7 (best)McLaughlin: 1.0
Air yards shareHarvey: Behind the lineMcLaughlin: 0.4%
Vacated touches this weekHarvey: 2.6McLaughlin: 4.2 (best)
High value touches / gameHarvey: 4.3 (best)McLaughlin: 0.7
Goal line carry shareHarvey: 11% (best)McLaughlin: 0%
Red zone touches / gameHarvey: 0.8 (best)McLaughlin: 0.2
Rush success rateHarvey: 46%McLaughlin: 55% (best)
Breakaway rate (20+ yd runs)Harvey: 0%McLaughlin: 9.1% (best)
Usage worth vs scoredHarvey: Earned by usage 9.6Scored 11.2McLaughlin: Earned by usage 2.5Scored 3.1
Rush yards / gameHarvey: 14.5 (best)McLaughlin: 12.0
Points from rushingHarvey: 22%McLaughlin: 71%
Receiving TDs vs RZ targetsHarvey: In lineMcLaughlin: 1 RZ target
WOPRHarvey: 0.16 (best)McLaughlin: 0.06
RZ target shareHarvey: 19% (best)McLaughlin: 6%
Inside 10 target shareHarvey: 13% (best)McLaughlin: 0%
Catch rateHarvey: 89% (best)McLaughlin: 67%
Rushing points / gameHarvey: 2.5 pts / game (best)McLaughlin: 2.2 pts / game
Rushing floorHarvey: 1.9 pts / game (best)McLaughlin: 1.3 pts / game
Range
FloorHarvey: 5.4 (best)McLaughlin: 2.8
CeilingHarvey: 11.4 (best)McLaughlin: 7.3
Points from TDssteadier when lowerHarvey: 18%McLaughlin: 32%
Big weeks (20+ pts)Harvey: 0%McLaughlin: 1 game
Dud weeks (under 8 pts)lower is betterHarvey: 17%McLaughlin: 1 game
SteadinessHarvey: Steady±6.4 pts · 6 gamesMcLaughlin: 1 game
Matchup
Matchup gradevs his positionHarvey: D+ (best)2026, 6 gmMcLaughlin: D2026, 7 gm
Game scriptHarvey: Expected to trail (best)McLaughlin: Expected to trail
Opp takeaways / gamelower is betterHarvey: 1.7McLaughlin: 1.6 (best)
Defense funnelHarvey: NeutralMcLaughlin: Neutral
Opp rush yds allowedHarvey: 13th (average) (best)McLaughlin: 7th (tough)
Backfield roleHarvey: BackupMcLaughlin: Backup
Opp defender outHarvey: None listedMcLaughlin: Joseph-Day (DT)
Roof / surfacegrassHarvey: OpenMcLaughlin: Open
Rest / scheduleHarvey: NormalMcLaughlin: Normal
Opp paceHarvey: 24th (slow)McLaughlin: 13th (average) (best)
Opp stuff rateHarvey: 21% (best)9th (tough)McLaughlin: 23%3rd (tough)
Opp yards per carry allowedHarvey: 3.42nd (tough)McLaughlin: 3.6 (best)4th (tough)
Opp pass yds allowedHarvey: 12th (average)McLaughlin: 13th (average) (best)
Opp deep targets allowed / game1st (tough)Harvey: 0.0McLaughlin: 0.0
Opp catch rate allowedHarvey: 79% (best)17th (average)McLaughlin: 78%15th (average)
Starting QBHarvey: Nix (Active)McLaughlin: Watson (Active)
Form
Last 3 avgHarvey: 9.8 (best)McLaughlin: 3.2
Last 5 avgHarvey: 11.9 (best)McLaughlin: 3.7
vs seasonHarvey: −1.5 (Cooling)McLaughlin: +0.1 (Steady) (best)
Yards per carryHarvey: 3.6McLaughlin: 6.5 (best)
Carries / gameHarvey: 4.0 (best)McLaughlin: 1.8
Yards per route runHarvey: 2.89 (best)McLaughlin: 0.48
Receiving aDOTHarvey: −2.8McLaughlin: 0.8
Touch share trendHarvey: SteadyMcLaughlin: Steady
Crowd
Started in leaguesHarvey: 53%McLaughlin: Not widely started
Nuvela position ranklower is betterHarvey: RB32 (best)McLaughlin: RB53
Yards linerushingHarvey: 7.5McLaughlin: Our estimate
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