New
Week8 · 2026
Starting1
Scoring
New comparison
Start · check inactives

Rice

WR · KC @ DEN

Kickoff Sun 4:25 PM ETLatest report: Limited · Hamstring

Projected points11.8pts

if he plays · 80% to play

If he sits

Royals

WR · KC @ DEN

Kickoff Sun 4:25 PM ET

Projected points6.5ptsUsage estimate

Start · check inactives

Bench

Jalen Royals or Rashee Rice: Who Should I Start in Week 8?

Start Rashee Rice. If he's inactive, start Jalen Royals.

Ahead by
+5.3pts
over Royals if he plays
Confidence
Depends on inactives
Rashee Rice may not play (about 80% to play)
Started
47%
of leagues

Royals's number is our own estimate because his prop lines aren't posted yet, so this call is less sure than the gap looks.

Flips if

If Rashee Rice is inactive, start Jalen Royals.

Risk

Rashee Rice was limited in practice (hamstring): check the inactives, posted about 90 minutes before kickoff. If he sits, start Jalen Royals. Rashee Rice missed his last 2 games (hamstring). The Week 8 injury report isn't out yet. As of Fri 2:00 PM ET

Highlights

Injuries as of Fri 2:00 PM ET
RiceStart · check inactivesWR · KC @ DENUsually 12.7−0.9pts this week

Helps him

  1. OutEllissEdgeHe faces a Broncos defense without linebacker Jonah Elliss.
  2. 15.8last weekHe caught 7 for 88 yards in Week 3 (15.8 points).

Hurts him

  1. −1.2ptsrec yardsHis lines put him at 51.5 receiving yards, below his usual 63.3.
  2. 4.2per gameHe sees only 4.2 targets a game.
  3. toughestper targetEdgeDEN allows plenty of WR chances because receivers see plenty of targets on them; per target they’re tough (1.41 pts, toughest).
RoyalsIf he sitsWR · KC @ DENUsually 2.5+4.0pts this week

Helps him

  1. +2.8ptsroleHe’s expected to play more snaps this week than he has lately.
  2. +1.9ptspaceMost players at his position produce more than he has, so we expect him to bounce back some.

Hurts him

  1. −0.5ptstrack recordHis projection also weighs his past seasons, which ran below this year’s pace.

Points are what each line adds to or takes off his usual week. EdgeFrom the game around him.

Stat comparison

Every player you picked, stat by stat, most important first.

Stat
Scoring
ProjectionRice: 11.8 (best)Royals: 6.5
TD pointsof the projectionRice: 2.0Royals: Our estimate
Expected TDsthis weekRice: 0.34Royals: Our estimate
Projected team pointsRice: 20.8Royals: 20.8
Red zone targetsper gameRice: 1.0 (best)Royals: 0.3
Role
Snap shareRice: 62% (best)Royals: 40%
Usage worthptsRice: 7.7 (best)Royals: 3.1
Target shareRice: 15% (best)Royals: 6%
Targets / gameRice: 4.3 (best)Royals: 1.8
Air yards shareRice: 15% (best)Royals: 6%
Receiving TDs vs RZ targetsRice: In lineRoyals: 2 RZ targets
WOPRRice: 0.35 (best)Royals: 0.14
RZ target shareRice: 19% (best)Royals: 8%
Catch rateRice: 76% (best)Royals: 45%
SeparationRice: 4.2 ydsRoyals: Not tracked
YAC over expectedRice: +1.7Royals: Not tracked
Usage worth vs scoredRice: Earned by usage 7.7Scored 9.5Royals: Earned by usage 3.1Scored 2.5
Vacated targets this weekRice: 3.8Royals: 3.8
Inside 10 target shareRice: 0%Royals: 18% (best)
Range
FloorRice: 7.6 (best)Royals: 3.0
CeilingRice: 18.9 (best)Royals: 11.5
Points from TDssteadier when lowerRice: 16%Royals: 40%
Big weeks (20+ pts)Rice: 29% (best)Royals: 0%
Dud weeks (under 7 pts)lower is betterRice: 0% (best)Royals: 100%
SteadinessRice: Very steady (best)±7.3 ptsRoyals: Volatile±1.8 pts · 4 games
Matchup
Matchup gradevs his position · 2026, 7 gmRice: DRoyals: D
Game scriptRice: Expected to leadRoyals: Expected to lead
Opp takeaways / gamelower is betterRice: 1.4Royals: 1.4
Defense funnelRice: NeutralRoyals: Neutral
Opp pass yds allowedRice: 17th (average)Royals: 17th (average)
Starting QBRice: Mahomes (Active)Royals: Mahomes (Active)
Opp defender outRice: Elliss (LB)Royals: Elliss (LB)
Roof / surfacegrassRice: OpenRoyals: Open
Rest / scheduleRice: NormalRoyals: Normal
Opp paceRice: 30th (slow)Royals: 30th (slow)
Opp deep targets allowed / game19th (average)Rice: 3.3Royals: 3.3
Opp catch rate allowed2nd (tough)Rice: 54%Royals: 54%
Form
Last 3 avgRice: 9.4 (best)Royals: 1.5
Last 5 avgRice: 9.5 (best)Royals: 3.0
vs seasonRice: −0.1 (best)Royals: −1.1 (Cooling)
Yards per route runRice: 2.47 (best)Royals: 0.56
Receiving aDOTRice: 7.4Royals: 5.8
Target share trendRice: Left Week 4 hurtRoyals: Steady
Games since injuryRice: 0Royals: None recently
Crowd
Started in leaguesRice: 47%Royals: Not widely started
Nuvela position ranklower is betterRice: WR22 (best)Royals: WR57
Yards linereceivingRice: 51.5Royals: Our estimate

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