Williams
WR · DET vs MIN
Kickoff Sun 1:00 PM ET
Projected points11.0pts
Concepcion
WR · CLE @ PIT
Kickoff Sun 1:00 PM ET
Projected points11.1pts
Toss-up
Bench
Jameson Williams or KC Concepcion: Who Should I Start in Week 8?
Toss-up. Jameson Williams gets the nod over KC Concepcion.
- Confidence
- Lower
- Toss-up
- Started
- 86%
- of leagues
Case for Concepcion
The case for Concepcion is more of the targets (22% to 18%) and surer hands (67% of his targets caught to 61%).
Flips if
Start KC Concepcion instead if you want more of the targets (22% to 18%).
Risk
The risk: Williams faces the Vikings, the toughest defense for receivers.
Highlights
WilliamsToss-upWR · DET vs MINUsually 14.0−2.9pts this week
Helps him
- 89%snapsHe is on the field for 89% of snaps.
- +6.4last 3 vs avgHis last three games run 6.4 points above his season average.
Hurts him
- −1.7ptstouchdownsHis lines put him at 0.38 touchdowns, below his usual 0.67.
- −1.0ptsrec yardsHis lines put him at 51.5 receiving yards, below his usual 61.2.
- MINvs WRsEdgeMIN is the toughest defense for receivers.
ConcepcionFirst outWR · CLE @ PITUsually 10.2+0.8pts this week
Helps him
- +1.5ptstouchdownsHis lines put him at 0.25 touchdowns, above his usual 0.00.
Hurts him
- −0.6ptsrec yardsHis lines put him at 46.0 receiving yards, below his usual 51.7.
- 7th toughestper targetEdgePIT allows plenty of WR chances because receivers see plenty of targets on them; per target they’re tough (1.60 pts, 7th toughest).
Points are what each line adds to or takes off his usual week. EdgeFrom the game around him.
Stat comparison
Every player you picked, stat by stat, most important first.
Stat
Scoring
ProjectionWilliams: 11.0Concepcion: 11.1 (best)
TD pointsof the projectionWilliams: 2.3 (best)Concepcion: 1.5
Expected TDsthis weekWilliams: 0.38 (best)Concepcion: 0.25
Projected team pointsWilliams: 24.8 (best)Concepcion: 18.0
Goal line carriesper gameWilliams: 0.0Concepcion: 0.0
Red zone carriesper gameWilliams: 0.0Concepcion: 0.3 (best)
Red zone targetsper gameWilliams: 1.2 (best)Concepcion: 0.4
Role
Snap shareWilliams: 89% (best)Concepcion: 70%
Usage worthptsWilliams: 11.8 (best)Concepcion: 11.0
Touch shareWilliams: 7%Concepcion: 12% (best)
Target shareWilliams: 18%Concepcion: 22% (best)
Touches / gameWilliams: 3.8Concepcion: 5.6 (best)
Targets / gameWilliams: 6.3Concepcion: 6.4 (best)
Air yards shareWilliams: 32% (best)Concepcion: 22%
Receiving TDs vs RZ targetsWilliams: AboveConcepcion: Below
WOPRWilliams: 0.50 (best)Concepcion: 0.48
RZ target shareWilliams: 15%Concepcion: 17% (best)
Catch rateWilliams: 61%Concepcion: 67% (best)
SeparationWilliams: 2.7 ydsConcepcion: 3.2 yds (best)
YAC over expectedWilliams: +0.5Concepcion: +1.3 (best)
Usage worth vs scoredWilliams: Earned by usage 11.8Scored 14.0Concepcion: Earned by usage 11.0Scored 9.0
Rush yards / gameWilliams: 0.0Concepcion: 4.9 (best)
Points from rushingWilliams: 0%Concepcion: 5%
Vacated targets this weekWilliams: 0.0Concepcion: 0.0
High value touches / gameWilliams: 3.8Concepcion: 4.4 (best)
Goal line carry shareWilliams: 0%Concepcion: 0%
Red zone touches / gameWilliams: 1.2 (best)Concepcion: 0.7
Rush success rateWilliams: 0 carriesConcepcion: 33%
Breakaway rate (20+ yd runs)Williams: 0 carriesConcepcion: 0%
Inside 10 target shareWilliams: 18% (best)Concepcion: 0%
Rushing points / gameWilliams: 0.0 pts / gameConcepcion: 0.5 pts / game (best)
Rushing floorWilliams: 0.0 pts / gameConcepcion: 0.0 pts / game
Range
FloorWilliams: 6.4Concepcion: 7.1 (best)
CeilingWilliams: 18.6 (best)Concepcion: 17.1
Points from TDssteadier when lowerWilliams: 29%Concepcion: 0%
Big weeks (20+ pts)Williams: 22% (best)Concepcion: 17%
Dud weeks (under 7 pts)lower is betterWilliams: 18%Concepcion: 17% (best)
SteadinessWilliams: Steady (best)±8.0 ptsConcepcion: Up & down±6.9 pts · 6 games
Matchup
Matchup gradevs his positionWilliams: F2026, 6 gmConcepcion: B- (best)2026, 7 gm
Game scriptWilliams: Expected to lead (best)Concepcion: Expected to trail
Opp takeaways / gamelower is betterWilliams: 1.8Concepcion: 1.6 (best)
Defense funnelWilliams: NeutralConcepcion: Neutral
Opp pass yds allowedWilliams: 2nd (tough)Concepcion: 13th (average) (best)
Starting QBWilliams: Goff (Active)Concepcion: Watson (Active)
Opp defender outWilliams: None listedConcepcion: Joseph-Day (DT)
Roof / surfaceWilliams: DometurfConcepcion: Opengrass
Rest / scheduleWilliams: NormalConcepcion: Normal
Opp paceWilliams: 26th (slow)Concepcion: 13th (average) (best)
Opp deep targets allowed / gameWilliams: 2.37th (tough)Concepcion: 3.3 (best)19th (average)
Opp catch rate allowedWilliams: 58%8th (tough)Concepcion: 61% (best)14th (average)
Opp rush yds allowedWilliams: 10th (tough) (best)Concepcion: 7th (tough)
Opp stuff rateWilliams: 19% (best)11th (average)Concepcion: 23%3rd (tough)
Opp yards per carry allowedWilliams: 4.1 (best)12th (average)Concepcion: 3.64th (tough)
Form
Last 3 avgWilliams: 20.3 (best)Concepcion: 10.9
Last 5 avgWilliams: 15.0 (best)Concepcion: 9.4
vs seasonWilliams: +6.4 (Rising) (best)Concepcion: +1.9 (Rising)
Yards per carryWilliams: 0 carriesConcepcion: 3.8
Carries / gameWilliams: 0.0Concepcion: 1.3 (best)
Yards per route runWilliams: 1.79Concepcion: 1.91 (best)
Receiving aDOTWilliams: 14.9Concepcion: 7.6
Target share trendWilliams: SteadyConcepcion: Left Week 5 hurt
Crowd
Started in leaguesWilliams: 87% (best)Concepcion: 59%
Nuvela position ranklower is betterWilliams: WR27Concepcion: WR26 (best)
Yards linereceivingWilliams: 51.5 (best)Concepcion: 46.0
Deciding on someone else?
Choose 2 to 5 players for any week.