Scoring

2026Week 4PPRStart 1recent form incl. 2025

#1 Start

Lawrence

QB · JAX vs CIN

Sun 1:00 PM

Proj pts

17.9pts

market

Mod Conf

Bench

Goff

QB · DET vs CAR

Sun 8:20 PM

Proj pts

16.7pts

market

Mod Conf

#1 START

Lawrence

QB · JAX vs CIN

Kickoff Sun 1:00 PM

Projected points

17.9pts

market

Moderate Confidence

BENCH

Goff

QB · DET vs CAR

Kickoff Sun 8:20 PM

Projected points

16.7pts

market

Moderate Confidence

Start Trevor Lawrence. Bench Jared Goff. Trevor Lawrence leads at 17.9. Jared Goff is the first one out, 1.2 short.

Crowd: started Lawrence 75% · Goff 80%

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Highlights

Trevor LawrenceStart

QB · JAX vs CIN

Pros

Favorable matchupFavorable · B+ vs QB
Spike upside29.4 ceiling

Jared GoffBench

QB · DET vs CAR

Pros

High-scoring spot27.0 team total
High floor16.4 floor
Heating up21.9 last 3

Cons

Tough matchupTough · D+ vs QB

Some recent form, opportunity and matchup figures still lean on the 2025 season (not enough games played this season yet).

	LawrenceStart	GoffBench
Projection	17.9	16.7
Floor	15.2	16.4
Ceiling	29.4	26.1
Pass attempts	32.9	34.0
Matchup grade(recency weighted)	B+	D+
Implied team total	24.5	27.0

	LawrenceStart	GoffBench
Pass attempts / game	32.9	34.0
Completions / game	20.1	23.1
Yards per attempt	7.2	7.9
Touchdown rate	5%	6%
Rush attempts / game	4.8	1.1
Rush yards / game	21.1	2.6
Rushing production share	26%	2%

	LawrenceStart	GoffBench
Grade vs QB(recency weighted)	B+	D+
Defense funnel	Neutral	Run
Implied total	24.5	27.0
Spread	+2.5	-3.5
Game script projection	Neutral	Favored
Opp pass yds allowed	29th	5th
Opp sacks / game	3.3	2.0
Opp takeaways / game	1.7	2.3
Opp starters out	None	None
Weather(when it matters)	not shown	not shown
Roof / surface	Open · turf	Open · grass
Rest / schedule	Normal	Normal
Opp pace	23rd	7th

Jared Goff or Trevor Lawrence? Start Trevor Lawrence — Week 4 Start/Sit Verdict