Smith-Njigba
WR · SEA vs CHI
Kickoff Mon 8:15 PM ET
Projected points21.9pts
Nacua
WR · LA vs LAC
Kickoff Sun 4:05 PM ET
Projected points21.6pts
Toss-up
Bench
Jaxon Smith-Njigba or Puka Nacua: Who Should I Start in Week 8?
Toss-up. Jaxon Smith-Njigba gets the nod over Puka Nacua.
- Ahead by
- +0.3pts
- over Nacua
- Confidence
- Lower
- Toss-up
- Started
- 99%
- of leagues
Case for Nacua
The case for Nacua is an offense expected to score more (25.8 points to 24.8) and more targets (12.4 a game to 11.1).
Flips if
Start Puka Nacua instead if you want more room to get open (3.4 yards of separation to 2.6 yards).
Risk
The risk: Nacua has scored 10+ points in 5 straight games.
Highlights
Smith-NjigbaToss-upWR · SEA vs CHIUsually 28.0−6.2pts this week
Helps him
- 3games in a rowHe has scored 20+ points in 3 straight games.
Hurts him
- −2.6ptstouchdownsHis lines put him at 0.71 touchdowns, below his usual 1.14.
- −2.5ptsrec yardsHis lines put him at 99.0 receiving yards, below his usual 123.9.
- −0.8ptscatchesHis lines put him at 7.5 catches, below his usual 8.3.
- 5th softestper targetEdgeCHI allows few WR chances because few passes go to receivers against them; per target they’re soft (1.99 pts, 5th softest).
NacuaFirst outWR · LA vs LACUsually 22.7−1.1pts this week
Helps him
- +0.8ptstouchdownsHis lines put him at 0.74 touchdowns, above his usual 0.60.
Hurts him
- −1.5ptscatchesHis lines put him at 7.5 catches, below his usual 9.0.
- −0.5ptsrec yardsHis lines put him at 92.0 receiving yards, below his usual 97.0.
- 4th softestper targetEdgeLAC allows few WR chances because few passes go to receivers against them; per target they’re soft (1.84 pts, 4th softest).
Points are what each line adds to or takes off his usual week. EdgeFrom the game around him.
Stat comparison
Every player you picked, stat by stat, most important first.
Stat
Scoring
ProjectionSmith-Njigba: 21.9 (best)Nacua: 21.6
TD pointsof the projectionSmith-Njigba: 4.3Nacua: 4.4 (best)
Expected TDsthis weekSmith-Njigba: 0.71Nacua: 0.74 (best)
Projected team pointsSmith-Njigba: 24.8Nacua: 25.8 (best)
Goal line carriesper gameSmith-Njigba: 0.0Nacua: 0.2 (best)
Red zone carriesper gameSmith-Njigba: 0.0Nacua: 0.6 (best)
Red zone targetsper gameSmith-Njigba: 1.7 (best)Nacua: 1.4
Role
Snap shareSmith-Njigba: 84%Nacua: 84%
Usage worthptsSmith-Njigba: 20.0Nacua: 21.9 (best)
Touch shareSmith-Njigba: 17%Nacua: 18% (best)
Target shareSmith-Njigba: 37% (best)Nacua: 31%
Touches / gameSmith-Njigba: 8.7Nacua: 10.0 (best)
Targets / gameSmith-Njigba: 11.1Nacua: 12.4 (best)
Air yards shareSmith-Njigba: 51% (best)Nacua: 40%
Receiving TDs vs RZ targetsSmith-Njigba: AboveNacua: Above
WOPRSmith-Njigba: 0.92 (best)Nacua: 0.76
RZ target shareSmith-Njigba: 41% (best)Nacua: 27%
Catch rateSmith-Njigba: 74% (best)Nacua: 73%
SeparationSmith-Njigba: 2.6 ydsNacua: 3.4 yds (best)
YAC over expectedSmith-Njigba: +0.5Nacua: +1.9 (best)
Usage worth vs scoredSmith-Njigba: Earned by usage 20.0Scored 28.0Nacua: Earned by usage 21.9Scored 22.7
Rush yards / gameSmith-Njigba: 4.1Nacua: 4.2 (best)
Points from rushingSmith-Njigba: 1%Nacua: 7%
Vacated targets this weekSmith-Njigba: 1.0Nacua: 12.2 (best)
High value touches / gameSmith-Njigba: 8.3Nacua: 9.2 (best)
Goal line carry shareSmith-Njigba: 0%Nacua: 9% (best)
Red zone touches / gameSmith-Njigba: 1.7Nacua: 2.0 (best)
Rush success rateSmith-Njigba: 100% (best)Nacua: 60%
Breakaway rate (20+ yd runs)Smith-Njigba: 0%Nacua: 0%
Inside 10 target shareSmith-Njigba: 46% (best)Nacua: 25%
Rushing points / gameSmith-Njigba: 0.4 pts / gameNacua: 1.6 pts / game (best)
Rushing floorSmith-Njigba: 0.0 pts / gameNacua: 0.5 pts / game (best)
Range
FloorSmith-Njigba: 16.2 (best)Nacua: 13.0
CeilingSmith-Njigba: 32.8Nacua: 33.6 (best)
Points from TDssteadier when lowerSmith-Njigba: 25%Nacua: 16%
Big weeks (20+ pts)Smith-Njigba: 75% (best)Nacua: 60%
Dud weeks (under 7 pts)lower is betterSmith-Njigba: 4%Nacua: 0% (best)
SteadinessSmith-Njigba: Very steady (best)±9.9 ptsNacua: Very steady±10.4 pts · 5 games
Matchup
Matchup gradevs his positionSmith-Njigba: C+2026, 7 gmNacua: C+2026, 6 gm
Game scriptSmith-Njigba: Expected to leadNacua: Expected to lead (best)
Opp takeaways / gamelower is betterSmith-Njigba: 1.4 (best)Nacua: 1.7
Defense funnelSmith-Njigba: NeutralNacua: Neutral
Opp pass yds allowedSmith-Njigba: 20th (average) (best)Nacua: 7th (tough)
Starting QBSmith-Njigba: Darnold (Active)Nacua: Stafford (Active)
Roof / surfaceturfSmith-Njigba: OpenNacua: Dome
Rest / scheduleSmith-Njigba: NormalNacua: Normal
Opp paceSmith-Njigba: 1st (fast) (best)Nacua: 15th (average)
Opp deep targets allowed / gameSmith-Njigba: 3.3 (best)19th (average)Nacua: 2.01st (tough)
Opp catch rate allowedSmith-Njigba: 60%11th (average)Nacua: 69% (best)30th (soft)
Opp rush yds allowedSmith-Njigba: 3rd (tough)Nacua: 21st (average) (best)
Opp stuff rateSmith-Njigba: 18%18th (average)Nacua: 16% (best)21st (average)
Opp yards per carry allowedSmith-Njigba: 4.3 (best)21st (average)Nacua: 4.220th (average)
Form
Last 3 avgSmith-Njigba: 26.5 (best)Nacua: 24.5
Last 5 avgSmith-Njigba: 25.5 (best)Nacua: 22.7
vs seasonSmith-Njigba: −1.5 (Steady)Nacua: +1.8 (Rising) (best)
Yards per carrySmith-Njigba: 3 carriesNacua: 4.2
Carries / gameSmith-Njigba: 0.4Nacua: 1.0 (best)
Yards per route runSmith-Njigba: 4.21 (best)Nacua: 2.89
Receiving aDOTSmith-Njigba: 10.4Nacua: 8.9
Target share trendSmith-Njigba: RisingNacua: Steady
Crowd
Started in leaguesSmith-Njigba: 100%Nacua: 100%
Nuvela position ranklower is betterSmith-Njigba: WR1 (best)Nacua: WR2
Yards linereceivingSmith-Njigba: 99.0 (best)Nacua: 92.0
Deciding on someone else?
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