Allen
WR · IND @ JAX
Kickoff Sun 1:00 PM ET
Projected points11.6pts
Waddle
WR · DEN vs KC
Kickoff Sun 4:25 PM ETLatest report: Limited · Chest
Projected points7.7ptsUsage estimate
9.6 if he plays · 80% to play
Lean
Bench
Jaylen Waddle or Keenan Allen: Who Should I Start in Week 8?
Lean Keenan Allen over Jaylen Waddle.
- Ahead by
- +3.9pts
- over Waddle
- Confidence
- Moderate
- Jaylen Waddle may not play (about 80% to play)
- Started
- 58%
- of leagues
Waddle's number is our own estimate because his prop lines aren't posted yet, so this call is less sure than the gap looks.
Flips if
An injury tag on Keenan Allen or a bigger role for Jaylen Waddle.
Risk
Jaylen Waddle was limited in practice (chest): check the inactives, posted about 90 minutes before kickoff. As of Fri 2:00 PM ET
Highlights
AllenLeanWR · IND @ JAXUsually 10.1+1.4pts this week
Helps him
- +1.2pts2 linesCatches 5.5 (usual 4.8) and touchdowns 0.25 (usual 0.17) both sit above his usual.
- JAXvs WRsEdgeJAX is the 4th softest defense for receivers.
Hurts him
- 18.3team totalEdgeHis team is expected to score only 18.3 points.
WaddleFirst outWR · DEN vs KCUsually 9.1−1.4pts this week
Helps him
- +1.8ptstrack recordHis projection also weighs his past seasons, which ran above this year’s pace.
Hurts him
- −1.9ptsinjuryHis questionable tag takes 1.9 points off his projection.
- −0.9ptspaceFew players at his position keep up numbers like his, so we expect a little less.
- KCvs WRsEdgeKC is the 7th toughest defense for receivers.
- 66%snapsHe plays only 66% of snaps, so his work comes in rotation.
Points are what each line adds to or takes off his usual week. EdgeFrom the game around him.
Stat comparison
Every player you picked, stat by stat, most important first.
Stat
Scoring
ProjectionAllen: 11.6 (best)Waddle: 7.7
TD pointsof the projectionAllen: 1.5Waddle: Our estimate
Expected TDsthis weekAllen: 0.25Waddle: Our estimate
Projected team pointsAllen: 18.3Waddle: 19.8 (best)
Red zone targetsper gameAllen: 0.7Waddle: 0.7
Role
Snap shareAllen: 59%Waddle: 66% (best)
Usage worthptsAllen: 11.4 (best)Waddle: 10.9
Target shareAllen: 21%Waddle: 23% (best)
Targets / gameAllen: 7.2 (best)Waddle: 6.4
Air yards shareAllen: 20%Waddle: 37% (best)
Receiving TDs vs RZ targetsAllen: In lineWaddle: In line
WOPRAllen: 0.45Waddle: 0.60 (best)
RZ target shareAllen: 20% (best)Waddle: 15%
Catch rateAllen: 67% (best)Waddle: 58%
SeparationAllen: 2.4 ydsWaddle: 3.7 yds (best)
YAC over expectedAllen: +0.4Waddle: +0.5 (best)
Usage worth vs scoredAllen: Earned by usage 11.4Scored 10.1Waddle: Earned by usage 10.9Scored 9.1
Vacated targets this weekAllen: 3.5 (best)Waddle: 3.0
Inside 10 target shareAllen: 40% (best)Waddle: 0%
Range
FloorAllen: 7.4 (best)Waddle: 4.7
CeilingAllen: 19.1 (best)Waddle: 12.8
Points from TDssteadier when lowerAllen: 10%Waddle: 9%
Big weeks (20+ pts)Allen: 0%Waddle: 14% (best)
Dud weeks (under 7 pts)lower is betterAllen: 33% (best)Waddle: 57%
SteadinessAllen: Steady (best)±6.3 pts · 6 gamesWaddle: Up & down±6.9 pts · 7 games
Matchup
Matchup gradevs his position · 2026, 6 gmAllen: A (best)Waddle: D
Game scriptAllen: Expected to trailWaddle: Expected to trail (best)
Opp takeaways / gamelower is betterAllen: 1.5 (best)Waddle: 1.7
Defense funnelAllen: NeutralWaddle: Neutral
Opp pass yds allowedAllen: 30th (soft) (best)Waddle: 12th (average)
Starting QBAllen: Jones (Active)Waddle: Nix (Active)
Opp defender outAllen: None listedWaddle: Norman-Lott (DT)
Roof / surfacegrassAllen: OpenWaddle: Open
Rest / scheduleAllen: NormalWaddle: Normal
Opp paceAllen: 23rd (slow) (best)Waddle: 24th (slow)
Opp deep targets allowed / gameAllen: 4.0 (best)27th (soft)Waddle: 3.217th (average)
Opp catch rate allowedAllen: 65% (best)24th (soft)Waddle: 57%5th (tough)
Form
Last 3 avgAllen: 10.6 (best)Waddle: 6.7
Last 5 avgAllen: 10.3 (best)Waddle: 8.2
vs seasonAllen: +0.5 (Steady) (best)Waddle: −2.5 (Cooling)
Yards per route runAllen: 1.71 (best)Waddle: 1.62
Receiving aDOTAllen: 7.4Waddle: 10.1
Target share trendAllen: SteadyWaddle: Steady
Crowd
Started in leaguesAllen: 58% (best)Waddle: 43%
Nuvela position ranklower is betterAllen: WR23 (best)Waddle: WR48
Yards linereceivingAllen: 45.5Waddle: Our estimate
Deciding on someone else?
Choose 2 to 5 players for any week.