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Week8 · 2026

Starting1

Scoring

New comparison

Toss-up

Tucker

WR · LV @ NYJ

Kickoff Sun 1:00 PM ET

Projected points10.3pts

First out

Waddle

WR · DEN vs KC

Kickoff Sun 4:25 PM ETLatest report: Limited · Chest

Projected points7.7ptsUsage estimate

9.6 if he plays · 80% to play

Toss-up

Bench

Jaylen Waddle or Tre Tucker: Who Should I Start in Week 8?

Toss-up. Tre Tucker gets the nod over Jaylen Waddle.

Ahead by: +2.6pts; over Waddle
Confidence: Lower; Jaylen Waddle may not play (about 80% to play)
Started: 83%; of leagues

Waddle's number is our own estimate because his prop lines aren't posted yet, so this call is less sure than the gap looks.

Flips if

An injury tag on Tre Tucker or a bigger role for Jaylen Waddle.

Risk

Jaylen Waddle was limited in practice (chest): check the inactives, posted about 90 minutes before kickoff. As of Fri 2:00 PM ET

Highlights

Injuries as of Fri 2:00 PM ET

TuckerToss-upWR · LV @ NYJUsually 14.3−3.9pts this week

Helps him

43%big weeks43% of his games have been big weeks.

Hurts him

−2.0ptsrec yardsHis lines put him at 47.5 receiving yards, below his usual 67.7.
−1.5ptstouchdownsHis lines put him at 0.32 touchdowns, below his usual 0.57.
−0.6ptscatchesHis lines put him at 3.5 catches, below his usual 4.1.
69%snapsHe plays only 69% of snaps, so his work comes in rotation.

WaddleFirst outWR · DEN vs KCUsually 9.1−1.4pts this week

Helps him

+1.8ptstrack recordHis projection also weighs his past seasons, which ran above this year’s pace.

Hurts him

−1.9ptsinjuryHis questionable tag takes 1.9 points off his projection.
−0.9ptspaceFew players at his position keep up numbers like his, so we expect a little less.
KCvs WRsEdgeKC is the 7th toughest defense for receivers.
66%snapsHe plays only 66% of snaps, so his work comes in rotation.

Points are what each line adds to or takes off his usual week. EdgeFrom the game around him.

Stat comparison

Every player you picked, stat by stat, most important first.

Scoring

Projection10.37.7

TD pointsof the projection1.9Our estimate

Expected TDsthis week0.32Our estimate

Projected team points22.019.8

Red zone targetsper game0.90.7

Role

Snap share69%66%

Usage worthpts12.210.9

Target share18%23%

Targets / game6.76.4

Air yards share30%37%

Receiving TDs vs RZ targetsAboveIn line

WOPR0.470.60

RZ target share15%15%

Catch rate62%58%

Separation2.6 yds3.7 yds

YAC over expected+1.6+0.5

Usage worth vs scoredEarned by usage 12.2Scored 14.3Earned by usage 10.9Scored 9.1

Vacated targets this week3.03.0

Inside 10 target share29%0%

Range

Floor5.84.7

Ceiling17.012.8

Points from TDssteadier when lower24%9%

Big weeks (20+ pts)43%14%

Dud weeks (under 7 pts)lower is better14%57%

SteadinessSteady±9.0 pts · 7 gamesUp & down±6.9 pts · 7 games

Matchup

Matchup gradevs his positionC2026, 7 gmD2026, 6 gm

Game scriptExpected to trailExpected to trail

Opp takeaways / gamelower is better1.11.7

Defense funnelNeutralNeutral

Opp pass yds allowed5th (tough)12th (average)

Starting QBCousins (Active)Nix (Active)

Roof / surfaceOpenturfOpengrass

Rest / scheduleNormalNormal

Opp pace28th (slow)24th (slow)

Opp deep targets allowed / game2.37th (tough)3.217th (average)

Opp catch rate allowed61%16th (average)57%5th (tough)

Form

Last 3 avg18.56.7

Last 5 avg14.48.2

vs season+4.2 (Rising)−2.5 (Cooling)

Yards per route run2.191.62

Receiving aDOT13.210.1

Target share trendRisingSteady

Crowd

Started in leagues84%43%

Nuvela position ranklower is betterWR31WR48

Yards linereceiving47.5Our estimate

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