Joly
TE · MIA vs NE
Kickoff Sun 4:25 PM ET
Projected points0.5ptsUsage estimate
Bates
TE · WAS vs PHI
Kickoff Sun 8:20 PM ETLatest report: Questionable · Shoulder
Projected points0.8ptsUsage estimate
1.3 if he plays · 64% to play
Toss-up
Bench
John Bates or Justin Joly: Who Should I Start in Week 8?
Toss-up. Justin Joly gets the nod over John Bates.
- Ahead by
- Level
- with Bates
- Confidence
- Lower
- John Bates may not play (about 64% to play)
Flips if
If John Bates gets a full practice in, he's the start.
Risk
Justin Joly missed his last game. The Week 8 injury report isn't out yet. John Bates is on the injury report (shoulder): check the inactives, posted about 90 minutes before kickoff. As of Sat 1:00 AM ET
Highlights
JolyToss-upTE · MIA vs NEProjected0.5pts
Helps him
- 0.9ceilingHis best weeks reach about 0.9 points.
Hurts him
- NEvs TEsEdgeNE is the 10th toughest defense for tight ends.
BatesFirst outTE · WAS vs PHIUsually 1.3−0.5pts this week
Helps him
- +0.5ptspaceMost players at his position produce more than he has, so we expect him to bounce back some.
Hurts him
- −0.7ptsinjuryHis questionable tag takes 0.7 points off his projection.
- 3%targetsHe draws only 3% of his team’s targets.
- 1.0per gameHe sees only 1.0 targets a game.
Points are what each line adds to or takes off his usual week. EdgeFrom the game around him.
Stat comparison
Every player you picked, stat by stat, most important first.
Stat
Scoring
ProjectionJoly: 0.5Bates: 0.8 (best)
Projected team pointsJoly: 18.0Bates: 23.0 (best)
Red zone targetsper gameJoly: Special teams onlyBates: 0.3
Role
Snap shareJoly: Special teams onlyBates: 43%
Usage worthptsJoly: Special teams onlyBates: 1.6
Target shareJoly: Special teams onlyBates: 3%
Targets / gameJoly: Special teams onlyBates: 1.0
Air yards shareJoly: Special teams onlyBates: 1%
Vacated targets this weekJoly: 0.0Bates: 5.9 (best)
RZ target shareJoly: Special teams onlyBates: 5%
Inside 10 target shareJoly: Special teams onlyBates: 8%
Catch rateJoly: Special teams onlyBates: 83%
Usage worth vs scoredJoly: Special teams onlyBates: Earned by usage 1.6Scored 1.3
WOPRJoly: Special teams onlyBates: 0.06
Range
FloorJoly: 0.3 (best)Bates: 0.0
CeilingJoly: 0.9Bates: 1.4 (best)
Points from TDssteadier when lowerJoly: Special teams onlyBates: 0%
Big weeks (15+ pts)Joly: 1 gameBates: 0%
Dud weeks (under 5 pts)lower is betterJoly: 1 gameBates: 100%
SteadinessJoly: 1 gameBates: Volatile±1.2 pts · 6 games
Matchup
Matchup gradevs his position · 2026, 7 gmJoly: C- (best)Bates: D+
Game scriptJoly: Expected to trailBates: Expected to lead (best)
Opp takeaways / gamelower is betterJoly: 1.0Bates: 0.4 (best)
Defense funnelJoly: NeutralBates: Neutral
Opp pass yds allowedJoly: 19th (average)Bates: 24th (soft) (best)
Starting QBJoly: Willis (Active)Bates: Daniels (Active)
Opp defender outJoly: None listedBates: Campbell (LB)
Roof / surfacegrassJoly: OpenBates: Open
Rest / scheduleJoly: NormalBates: Off a bye
Opp paceJoly: 16th (average) (best)Bates: 27th (slow)
Opp deep targets allowed / gameJoly: 0.9 (best)30th (soft)Bates: 0.411th (average)
Opp catch rate allowedJoly: 70%10th (tough)Bates: 72% (best)17th (average)
Form
Last 3 avgJoly: 1 gameBates: 0.8
Last 5 avgJoly: 1 gameBates: 0.9
vs seasonJoly: 0.0 (best)Bates: −0.5 (Cooling)
Yards per route runJoly: Special teams onlyBates: 0.66
Receiving aDOTJoly: Special teams onlyBates: 1.5
Target share trendJoly: Special teams onlyBates: Steady
Games since injuryJoly: 0Bates: None recently
Crowd
Nuvela position ranklower is betterJoly: TE95Bates: TE86 (best)
Deciding on someone else?
Choose 2 to 5 players for any week.