Brown
TE · IND @ JAX
Kickoff Sun 1:00 PM ET
Projected points0.7ptsUsage estimate
Bates
TE · WAS vs PHI
Kickoff Sun 8:20 PM ETLatest report: Questionable · Shoulder
Projected points0.8ptsUsage estimate
1.3 if he plays · 64% to play
Toss-up
Bench
John Bates or Pharaoh Brown: Who Should I Start in Week 8?
Toss-up. Pharaoh Brown gets the nod over John Bates.
- Ahead by
- Level
- with Bates
- Confidence
- Lower
- John Bates may not play (about 64% to play)
Flips if
If John Bates gets a full practice in, he's the start.
Risk
John Bates is on the injury report (shoulder): check the inactives, posted about 90 minutes before kickoff. As of Sat 1:00 AM ET
Highlights
BrownToss-upTE · IND @ JAXProjected0.7pts
Helps him
- OutJohnsonEdgeHe faces a Jaguars defense without safety Antonio Johnson.
Hurts him
- 2%targetsHe draws only 2% of his team’s targets.
- 0.5per gameHe sees only 0.5 targets a game.
BatesFirst outTE · WAS vs PHIUsually 1.3−0.5pts this week
Helps him
- +0.5ptspaceMost players at his position produce more than he has, so we expect him to bounce back some.
Hurts him
- −0.7ptsinjuryHis questionable tag takes 0.7 points off his projection.
- 3%targetsHe draws only 3% of his team’s targets.
- 1.0per gameHe sees only 1.0 targets a game.
Points are what each line adds to or takes off his usual week. EdgeFrom the game around him.
Stat comparison
Every player you picked, stat by stat, most important first.
Stat
Scoring
ProjectionBrown: 0.7Bates: 0.8 (best)
Projected team pointsBrown: 18.3Bates: 23.0 (best)
Red zone targetsper gameBrown: 0.0Bates: 0.3 (best)
Role
Snap shareBrown: 14%Bates: 43% (best)
Usage worthptsBrown: 0.7Bates: 1.6 (best)
Target shareBrown: 2%Bates: 3% (best)
Targets / gameBrown: 0.5Bates: 1.0 (best)
Air yards shareBrown: Behind the lineBates: 1%
Vacated targets this weekBrown: 3.5Bates: 5.9 (best)
RZ target shareBrown: 0%Bates: 5% (best)
Inside 10 target shareBrown: 0%Bates: 8% (best)
Catch rateBrown: 1 targetBates: 83%
Usage worth vs scoredBrown: Earned by usage 0.7Scored 0.8Bates: Earned by usage 1.6Scored 1.3
WOPRBrown: 0.02Bates: 0.06 (best)
Range
FloorBrown: 0.3 (best)Bates: 0.0
CeilingBrown: 1.2Bates: 1.4 (best)
Points from TDssteadier when lowerBrown: 0%Bates: 0%
Big weeks (15+ pts)Brown: 2 gamesBates: 0%
Dud weeks (under 5 pts)lower is betterBrown: 2 gamesBates: 100%
SteadinessBrown: 2 gamesBates: Volatile±1.2 pts · 6 games
Matchup
Matchup gradevs his positionBrown: C (best)2026, 6 gmBates: D+2026, 7 gm
Game scriptBrown: Expected to trailBates: Expected to lead (best)
Opp takeaways / gamelower is betterBrown: 1.5Bates: 0.4 (best)
Defense funnelBrown: NeutralBates: Neutral
Opp pass yds allowedBrown: 30th (soft) (best)Bates: 24th (soft)
Starting QBBrown: Jones (Active)Bates: Daniels (Active)
Opp defender outBrown: Johnson (SAF)Bates: Campbell (LB)
Roof / surfacegrassBrown: OpenBates: Open
Rest / scheduleBrown: NormalBates: Off a bye
Opp paceBrown: 23rd (slow) (best)Bates: 27th (slow)
Opp deep targets allowed / gameBrown: 0.01st (tough)Bates: 0.4 (best)11th (average)
Opp catch rate allowedBrown: 68%6th (tough)Bates: 72% (best)17th (average)
Form
Last 3 avgBrown: 2 gamesBates: 0.8
Last 5 avgBrown: 2 gamesBates: 0.9
vs seasonBrown: 0.0 (best)Bates: −0.5 (Cooling)
Yards per route runBrown: 7.00 (best)Bates: 0.66
Receiving aDOTBrown: 1 targetBates: 1.5
Target share trendBrown: 2 gamesBates: Steady
Crowd
Nuvela position ranklower is betterBrown: TE90Bates: TE86 (best)
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