New
Week8 · 2026
Starting1
Scoring
New comparison
Toss-up

Bowman

TE · ARI @ DAL

Kickoff Sun 1:00 PM ET

Projected points0.5ptsUsage estimate

First out

Bates

TE · WAS vs PHI

Kickoff Sun 8:20 PM ETLatest report: Questionable · Shoulder

Projected points0.8ptsUsage estimate

1.3 if he plays · 64% to play

Toss-up

Bench

John Bates or Shawn Bowman: Who Should I Start in Week 8?

Toss-up. Shawn Bowman gets the nod over John Bates.

Ahead by
Level
with Bates
Confidence
Lower
John Bates may not play (about 64% to play)

Flips if

If John Bates gets a full practice in, he's the start.

Risk

John Bates is on the injury report (shoulder): check the inactives, posted about 90 minutes before kickoff. As of Sat 12:00 AM ET

Highlights

Injuries as of Sat 12:00 AM ET
BowmanToss-upTE · ARI @ DALProjected0.5pts

Helps him

  1. OutBullardEdgeHe faces a Cowboys defense without defensive end Jonathan Bullard.
  2. 1sthighest totalEdgeHe plays in the highest scoring game on the slate.

Hurts him

  1. 7th softestper targetEdgeDAL allows few TE chances because few passes go to tight ends against them; per target they’re soft (1.90 pts, 7th softest).
  2. 0.3floorA quiet week could drop to about 0.3 points.
BatesFirst outTE · WAS vs PHIUsually 1.3−0.5pts this week

Helps him

  1. +0.5ptspaceMost players at his position produce more than he has, so we expect him to bounce back some.

Hurts him

  1. −0.7ptsinjuryHis questionable tag takes 0.7 points off his projection.
  2. 3%targetsHe draws only 3% of his team’s targets.
  3. 1.0per gameHe sees only 1.0 targets a game.

Points are what each line adds to or takes off his usual week. EdgeFrom the game around him.

Stat comparison

Every player you picked, stat by stat, most important first.

Stat
Scoring
ProjectionBowman: 0.5Bates: 0.8 (best)
Projected team pointsBowman: 23.8 (best)Bates: 23.0
Red zone targetsper gameBowman: Special teams onlyBates: 0.3
Role
Snap shareBowman: Special teams onlyBates: 43%
Usage worthptsBowman: Special teams onlyBates: 1.6
Target shareBowman: Special teams onlyBates: 3%
Targets / gameBowman: Special teams onlyBates: 1.0
Air yards shareBowman: Special teams onlyBates: 1%
Vacated targets this weekBowman: 3.3Bates: 5.9 (best)
RZ target shareBowman: Special teams onlyBates: 5%
Inside 10 target shareBowman: Special teams onlyBates: 8%
Catch rateBowman: Special teams onlyBates: 83%
Usage worth vs scoredBowman: Special teams onlyBates: Earned by usage 1.6Scored 1.3
WOPRBowman: Special teams onlyBates: 0.06
Range
FloorBowman: 0.3 (best)Bates: 0.0
CeilingBowman: 0.9Bates: 1.4 (best)
Points from TDssteadier when lowerBowman: Special teams onlyBates: 0%
Big weeks (15+ pts)Bowman: 1 gameBates: 0%
Dud weeks (under 5 pts)lower is betterBowman: 1 gameBates: 100%
SteadinessBowman: 1 gameBates: Volatile±1.2 pts · 6 games
Matchup
Matchup gradevs his position · 2026, 7 gmBowman: C+ (best)Bates: D+
Game scriptBowman: Expected to trailBates: Expected to lead (best)
Opp takeaways / gamelower is betterBowman: 0.6Bates: 0.4 (best)
Defense funnelBowman: NeutralBates: Neutral
Opp pass yds allowedBowman: 15th (average)Bates: 24th (soft) (best)
Starting QBBowman: Brissett (Active)Bates: Daniels (Active)
Opp defender outBowman: Bullard (DE)Bates: Campbell (LB)
Roof / surfaceBowman: Retractable roofturfBates: Opengrass
Rest / scheduleBowman: NormalBates: Off a bye
Opp paceBowman: 9th (fast) (best)Bates: 27th (slow)
Opp deep targets allowed / gameBowman: 0.14th (tough)Bates: 0.4 (best)11th (average)
Opp catch rate allowedBowman: 80% (best)30th (soft)Bates: 72%17th (average)
Form
Last 3 avgBowman: 1 gameBates: 0.8
Last 5 avgBowman: 1 gameBates: 0.9
vs seasonBowman: 0.0 (best)Bates: −0.5 (Cooling)
Yards per route runBowman: Special teams onlyBates: 0.66
Receiving aDOTBowman: Special teams onlyBates: 1.5
Target share trendBowman: Special teams onlyBates: Steady
Crowd
Nuvela position ranklower is betterBowman: TE94Bates: TE86 (best)

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