Sadiq
TE · NYJ vs LV
Kickoff Sun 1:00 PM ET
Projected points4.2pts
Mallory
TE · IND @ JAX
Kickoff Sun 1:00 PM ET
Projected points4.0ptsUsage estimate
Toss-up
Bench
Kenyon Sadiq or Will Mallory: Who Should I Start in Week 8?
Toss-up. Kenyon Sadiq gets the nod over Will Mallory.
- Ahead by
- +0.2pts
- over Mallory
- Confidence
- Lower
- The two projections come from different sources; one is a Nuvela estimate
Mallory's number is our own estimate because his prop lines aren't posted yet, so this call is less sure than the gap looks.
Flips if
An injury tag on Kenyon Sadiq or a bigger role for Will Mallory.
Risk
Will Mallory has played 2 games since missing time, so his recent numbers lean on his 2025 games.
Highlights
SadiqToss-upTE · NYJ vs LVUsually 6.1−1.9pts this week
Helps him
- LVvs TEsEdgeLV is the 5th softest defense for tight ends.
Hurts him
- −2.1pts3 linesCatches 1.5 (usual 2.3), receiving yards 16.5 (usual 23.4) and touchdowns 0.18 (usual 0.29) all sit below his usual.
- 3.6per gameHe sees only 3.6 targets a game.
- 42%snapsHe plays only 42% of snaps, so his work comes in rotation.
MalloryFirst outTE · IND @ JAXUsually 1.5+2.4pts this week
Helps him
- +1.4ptspaceMost players at his position produce more than he has, so we expect him to bounce back some.
- +1.0ptsroleHe’s expected to play more snaps this week than he has lately.
- +0.5ptsrecent workHis work has picked up in his last few games.
Hurts him
- −0.5ptstrack recordHis projection also weighs his past seasons, which ran below this year’s pace.
Points are what each line adds to or takes off his usual week. EdgeFrom the game around him.
Stat comparison
Every player you picked, stat by stat, most important first.
Stat
Scoring
ProjectionSadiq: 4.2 (best)Mallory: 4.0
TD pointsof the projectionSadiq: 1.1Mallory: Our estimate
Expected TDsthis weekSadiq: 0.18Mallory: Our estimate
Projected team pointsSadiq: 23.5 (best)Mallory: 18.3
Red zone targetsper gameSadiq: 0.1Mallory: 0.5 (best)
Role
Snap shareSadiq: 42%Mallory: 43% (best)
Usage worthptsSadiq: 5.9Mallory: 8.0 (best)
Target shareSadiq: 13%Mallory: 15% (best)
Targets / gameSadiq: 3.6Mallory: 4.5 (best)
Air yards shareSadiq: 10%Mallory: 21% (best)
Vacated targets this weekSadiq: 0.5Mallory: 3.5 (best)
RZ target shareSadiq: 4%Mallory: 25% (best)
Inside 10 target shareSadiq: 0%Mallory: 0%
Catch rateSadiq: 64% (best)Mallory: 22%
SeparationSadiq: 4.7 yds (best)Mallory: 3.0 yds
YAC over expectedSadiq: +0.02Mallory: +0.4 (best)
Usage worth vs scoredSadiq: Earned by usage 5.9Scored 6.1Mallory: Earned by usage 8.0Scored 2.0
WOPRSadiq: 0.26Mallory: 0.33 (best)
Range
FloorSadiq: 1.7 (best)Mallory: 1.3
CeilingSadiq: 7.8 (best)Mallory: 7.6
Points from TDssteadier when lowerSadiq: 28%Mallory: 0%
Big weeks (15+ pts)Sadiq: 17% (best)Mallory: 0%
Dud weeks (under 5 pts)lower is betterSadiq: 67% (best)Mallory: 100%
SteadinessSadiq: Volatile±9.0 pts · 6 gamesMallory: Volatile (best)±1.9 pts · 4 games
Matchup
Matchup gradevs his positionSadiq: A- (best)2026, 7 gmMallory: C2026, 6 gm
Game scriptSadiq: Expected to lead (best)Mallory: Expected to trail
Opp takeaways / gamelower is betterSadiq: 1.7Mallory: 1.5 (best)
Defense funnelSadiq: NeutralMallory: Neutral
Opp pass yds allowedSadiq: 22nd (soft)Mallory: 30th (soft) (best)
Starting QBSadiq: Smith (Active)Mallory: Jones (Active)
Opp defender outSadiq: Johnson (DE)Mallory: Johnson (SAF)
Roof / surfaceSadiq: OpenturfMallory: Opengrass
Rest / scheduleSadiq: NormalMallory: Normal
Opp paceSadiq: 9th (fast) (best)Mallory: 23rd (slow)
Opp deep targets allowed / gameSadiq: 0.4 (best)11th (average)Mallory: 0.01st (tough)
Opp catch rate allowedSadiq: 82% (best)31st (soft)Mallory: 68%6th (tough)
Form
Last 3 avgSadiq: 1.4Mallory: 2 games
Last 5 avgSadiq: 5.5Mallory: 2 games
vs seasonSadiq: −4.7 (Cooling)Mallory: 0.0 (best)
Yards per route runSadiq: 1.76 (best)Mallory: 0.47
Receiving aDOTSadiq: 5.4Mallory: 10.9
Target share trendSadiq: SteadyMallory: 2 games
Games since injurySadiq: None recentlyMallory: 2
Crowd
Nuvela position ranklower is betterSadiq: TE35 (best)Mallory: TE37
Yards linereceivingSadiq: 16.5Mallory: Our estimate
Deciding on someone else?
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