Kelce
TE · KC @ DEN
Kickoff Sun 4:25 PM ETLatest report: Limited · Ankle
Projected points11.1pts
if he plays · 80% to play
Pitts
TE · ATL @ TB
Kickoff Sun 1:00 PM ET
Projected points8.8pts
Start if active
Bench
Kyle Pitts or Travis Kelce: Who Should I Start in Week 8?
Lean Travis Kelce over Kyle Pitts.
- Ahead by
- +2.3pts
- over Pitts if he plays
- Confidence
- Moderate
- Travis Kelce may not play (about 80% to play)
- Started
- 80%
- of leagues
Flips if
If Travis Kelce is ruled out before Kyle Pitts's game starts, start Kyle Pitts.
Risk
Travis Kelce was limited in practice (ankle): check the inactives, posted about 90 minutes before kickoff. Weather in Kyle Pitts's game: Outdoor · 73F, 10 mph wind, 100% rain. Check it again before kickoff. As of Fri 2:00 PM ET
Highlights
KelceStart if activeTE · KC @ DENUsually 11.7−0.6pts this week
Helps him
- +0.5ptscatchesHis lines put him at 4.5 catches, above his usual 4.0.
Hurts him
- −1.1ptsrec yardsHis lines put him at 46.5 receiving yards, below his usual 57.2.
- −4.7last 3 vs avgHis last three games run 4.7 points below his season average.
PittsFirst outTE · ATL @ TBUsually 9.0−0.2pts this week
Helps him
- +1.4pts2 linesReceiving yards 35.5 (usual 27.3) and catches 3.5 (usual 2.9) both sit above his usual.
- TBvs TEsEdgeTB is the 8th softest defense for tight ends.
- +8.1last 3 vs avgHis last three games run 8.1 points above his season average.
- 3games in a rowHe has scored a touchdown in 3 straight games.
Hurts him
- −1.7ptstouchdownsHis lines put him at 0.29 touchdowns, below his usual 0.57.
Points are what each line adds to or takes off his usual week. EdgeFrom the game around him.
Stat comparison
Every player you picked, stat by stat, most important first.
Stat
Scoring
ProjectionKelce: 11.1 (best)Pitts: 8.8
TD pointsof the projectionKelce: 2.0 (best)Pitts: 1.7
Expected TDsthis weekKelce: 0.33 (best)Pitts: 0.29
Projected team pointsKelce: 20.8 (best)Pitts: 20.5
Red zone targetsper gameKelce: 0.5Pitts: 0.9 (best)
Role
Snap shareKelce: 78% (best)Pitts: 59%
Usage worthptsKelce: 9.4 (best)Pitts: 6.7
Target shareKelce: 19% (best)Pitts: 13%
Targets / gameKelce: 5.8 (best)Pitts: 3.9
Air yards shareKelce: 20% (best)Pitts: 11%
Vacated targets this weekKelce: 3.8 (best)Pitts: 0.0
RZ target shareKelce: 12%Pitts: 24% (best)
Inside 10 target shareKelce: 0%Pitts: 36% (best)
Catch rateKelce: 69%Pitts: 74% (best)
SeparationKelce: 3.8 yds (best)Pitts: 2.7 yds
YAC over expectedKelce: +3.0 (best)Pitts: +2.0
Usage worth vs scoredKelce: Earned by usage 9.4Scored 11.7Pitts: Earned by usage 6.7Scored 9.0
Receiving TDs vs RZ targetsKelce: AbovePitts: Above
WOPRKelce: 0.43 (best)Pitts: 0.29
Range
FloorKelce: 6.8 (best)Pitts: 3.4
CeilingKelce: 17.6 (best)Pitts: 15.2
Points from TDssteadier when lowerKelce: 17%Pitts: 38%
Big weeks (15+ pts)Kelce: 17%Pitts: 29% (best)
Dud weeks (under 5 pts)lower is betterKelce: 17% (best)Pitts: 43%
SteadinessKelce: Steady (best)±7.4 pts · 6 gamesPitts: Volatile±8.5 pts · 7 games
Matchup
Matchup gradevs his position · 2026, 7 gmKelce: C+Pitts: B (best)
Game scriptKelce: Expected to lead (best)Pitts: Expected to trail
Opp takeaways / gamelower is betterKelce: 1.4 (best)Pitts: 1.7
Defense funnelKelce: NeutralPitts: Neutral
Opp pass yds allowedKelce: 17th (average) (best)Pitts: 14th (average)
Starting QBKelce: Mahomes (Active)Pitts: Penix (Active)
Opp defender outKelce: Elliss (LB)Pitts: None listed
WeatherKelce: No concernPitts: Outdoor73F, 10 mph wind, 100% rain
Roof / surfacegrassKelce: OpenPitts: Open
Rest / scheduleKelce: NormalPitts: Normal
Opp paceKelce: 30th (slow)Pitts: 14th (average) (best)
Opp deep targets allowed / gameKelce: 0.411th (average)Pitts: 0.6 (best)18th (average)
Opp catch rate allowedKelce: 72% (best)13th (average)Pitts: 70%12th (average)
Form
Last 3 avgKelce: 7.1Pitts: 17.1 (best)
Last 5 avgKelce: 12.0Pitts: 12.1 (best)
vs seasonKelce: −4.7 (Cooling)Pitts: +8.1 (Rising) (best)
Yards per route runKelce: 2.21 (best)Pitts: 1.41
Receiving aDOTKelce: 6.3Pitts: 5.0
Target share trendKelce: RisingPitts: Steady
Crowd
Started in leaguesKelce: 81% (best)Pitts: 80%
Nuvela position ranklower is betterKelce: TE6 (best)Pitts: TE14
Yards linereceivingKelce: 46.5 (best)Pitts: 35.5
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