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Scoring
#1 Start

Pittman

WR · PIT vs CLE

Questionable
Thu 8:15 PM

Proj pts

9.7pts

market

Lower Conf
Bench

Harrison

WR · ARI vs NYG

Sun 1:00 PM

Proj pts

9.4pts

market

Lower Conf

Marvin Harrison Jr. or Michael Pittman: who should I start in Week 4?

Start Michael Pittman. Bench Marvin Harrison Jr. Michael Pittman leads at 9.7. Marvin Harrison Jr. is the first one out, 0.3 short.

Availability & news

  • Michael PittmanQuestionable

Highlights

Michael PittmanStart
WR · PIT vs CLE

Pros

  • Every-down role86% of snaps

Cons

  • Tough matchupTough · D- vs WR
  • Shaky floor3.6 floor
Marvin Harrison Jr.Bench
WR · ARI vs NYG

Pros

  • Favorable matchupFavorable · B+ vs WR

Cons

  • Shaky floor3.2 floor

Some recent form, opportunity and matchup figures still lean on the 2025 season (not enough games played this season yet).

PittmanStart
HarrisonBench
Projection9.79.4
Floor3.63.2
Ceiling12.014.0
Target share21%18%
Matchup grade(recency weighted)D-B+
Implied team total20.523.0

Week 4 · Updated Tue 29 Sep, 6:00 AM ET

The widest gap between them, in proportion, is last 5 avg: Pittman 5.3, Harrison 2.7.

Pittman is listed: Questionable.

Latest game on the card: Pittman 3.6, Harrison 7 (PPR points).

Why Michael Pittman

Start Michael Pittman — projects 9.7, a tough matchup vs CLE, but the role is cooling, carrying a questionable tag.

Michael Pittman projects 9.7 points on a 3.6–12.0 range. The matchup grades as tough against CLE. Usage: targets / game at 6.5. Track the questionable designation before kickoff. Net: start Michael Pittman this week.

Working for Pittman: Every-down role (86% of snaps).

Working against Pittman: Tough matchup (Tough · D- vs WR), Shaky floor (3.6 floor).

Where Pittman leads the head-to-head: Projection (9.7 vs 9.4); Floor (3.6 vs 3.2); Target share (21% vs 18%); Last 3 avg (5.2 vs 3.8); Last 5 avg (5.3 vs 2.7); vs season (-1.7 vs -5.0); Consistency (39% vs 38%); Boom rate (29% vs 27%); Targets / game (6.5 vs 6.1); Snap share (86% vs 71%); Red zone targets (18 vs 11).

Why Marvin Harrison Jr.

Sit Marvin Harrison Jr. — projects 9.4, a favorable matchup vs NYG, but the role is cooling.

Marvin Harrison Jr. projects 9.4 points on a 3.2–14.0 range. The matchup grades as favorable against NYG. Usage: targets / game at 6.1. Net: bench Marvin Harrison Jr. this week.

Working for Harrison: Favorable matchup (Favorable · B+ vs WR).

Working against Harrison: Shaky floor (3.2 floor).

Where Harrison leads the head-to-head: Ceiling (14.0 vs 12.0); Matchup grade (recency weighted) (B+ vs D-); Implied team total (23.0 vs 20.5); Bust rate (27% vs 35%); Grade vs WR (recency weighted) (B+ vs D-); Implied total (23.0 vs 20.5).

Recent form

Michael Pittman's last 5 games: PPR points 7.2, 3.6, 3.1, 8.8, 3.6 (oldest to newest).

Marvin Harrison Jr.'s last 5 games: PPR points 2.4, 0, 4.3, 0, 7 (oldest to newest).

Pittman has already beaten Harrison's 9.4 projection in 0 of his 5; Harrison has beaten Pittman's 9.7 in 0 of his 5.

At least 1 of these 5 games was played before the 2026 season.

Matchup

Michael Pittman (PIT) faces CLE, kickoff Thu 8:15 PM ET. The matchup is rated tough. Betting line: implied team total 20.5, spread -2.5.

Marvin Harrison Jr. (ARI) faces NYG, kickoff Sun 1:00 PM ET. The matchup is rated favorable. Betting line: implied team total 23.0, spread -1.5.

What flips it

Pittman's edge is 0.3 points (9.7 to 9.4). Harrison's ceiling (14) clears Pittman's projection, so a big game from Harrison flips it. Pittman's floor (3.6) sits under Harrison's projection, so a quiet game from Pittman flips it too. Confidence in the call: lower.

How to read these numbers →

More start/sit comparisons from this week's PPR projections. Open a pair for the call and the reasoning.

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