Adkins
TE · DEN vs KC
Kickoff Sun 4:25 PM ET
Projected points3.0ptsUsage estimate
Boerkircher
TE · JAX vs IND
Kickoff Sun 1:00 PM ET
Projected points3.1pts
Toss-up
Bench
Nate Adkins or Nate Boerkircher: Who Should I Start in Week 8?
Toss-up. Nate Adkins gets the nod over Nate Boerkircher.
- Confidence
- Lower
- The two projections come from different sources; one is a Nuvela estimate
Adkins's number is our own estimate because his prop lines aren't posted yet, so this call is less sure than the gap looks.
Case for Boerkircher
The case for Boerkircher is an offense expected to score more (28.3 points to 19.8) and a safer floor (1.3 to 0.8).
Flips if
Start Nate Boerkircher instead if you need a safe week: he has a safer floor (1.3 to 0.8).
Risk
The risk: Boerkircher caught 2 for 8 yards and a touchdown in Week 6 (8.8 points).
Highlights
AdkinsToss-upTE · DEN vs KCUsually 2.9+0.0pts this week
Helps him
- KCvs TEsEdgeKC is the 3rd softest defense for tight ends.
Hurts him
- 2%targetsHe draws only 2% of his team’s targets.
- 0.7per gameHe sees only 0.7 targets a game.
BoerkircherFirst outTE · JAX vs INDUsually 2.9+0.2pts this week
Helps him
- +0.5ptscatchesHis lines put him at 1.5 catches, above his usual 1.0.
- 28.3team totalEdgeHis team is expected to score 28.3 points, a high scoring spot.
Hurts him
- 83%dud weeks83% of his games have been dud weeks.
- 0%big weeksHe hasn’t had a big week this season.
Points are what each line adds to or takes off his usual week. EdgeFrom the game around him.
Stat comparison
Every player you picked, stat by stat, most important first.
Stat
Scoring
ProjectionAdkins: 3.0Boerkircher: 3.1 (best)
TD pointsof the projectionAdkins: Our estimateBoerkircher: 1.0
Expected TDsthis weekAdkins: Our estimateBoerkircher: 0.16
Projected team pointsAdkins: 19.8Boerkircher: 28.3 (best)
Red zone targetsper gameAdkins: 0.4 (best)Boerkircher: 0.3
Role
Snap shareAdkins: 32%Boerkircher: 48% (best)
Usage worthptsAdkins: 1.6Boerkircher: 2.3 (best)
Target shareAdkins: 2%Boerkircher: 5% (best)
Targets / gameAdkins: 0.7Boerkircher: 1.3 (best)
Air yards shareAdkins: 2%Boerkircher: 2%
Vacated targets this weekAdkins: 3.0 (best)Boerkircher: 0.0
RZ target shareAdkins: 12% (best)Boerkircher: 6%
Inside 10 target shareAdkins: 25% (best)Boerkircher: 9%
Catch rateAdkins: 80% (best)Boerkircher: 75%
Usage worth vs scoredScored 2.9Adkins: Earned by usage 1.6Boerkircher: Earned by usage 2.3
Receiving TDs vs RZ targetsAdkins: AboveBoerkircher: 2 RZ targets
WOPRAdkins: 0.05Boerkircher: 0.09 (best)
Range
FloorAdkins: 0.8Boerkircher: 1.3 (best)
CeilingAdkins: 6.2 (best)Boerkircher: 5.4
Points from TDssteadier when lowerAdkins: 58%Boerkircher: 35%
Big weeks (15+ pts)Adkins: 0%Boerkircher: 0%
Dud weeks (under 5 pts)lower is betterAdkins: 67% (best)Boerkircher: 83%
SteadinessAdkins: Volatile±5.5 pts · 6 gamesBoerkircher: Volatile (best)±3.3 pts · 6 games
Matchup
Matchup gradevs his positionAdkins: A (best)2026, 6 gmBoerkircher: B-2026, 7 gm
Game scriptAdkins: Expected to trailBoerkircher: Expected to lead (best)
Opp takeaways / gamelower is betterAdkins: 1.7Boerkircher: 0.4 (best)
Defense funnelAdkins: NeutralBoerkircher: Neutral
Opp pass yds allowedAdkins: 12th (average) (best)Boerkircher: 11th (average)
Starting QBAdkins: Nix (Active)Boerkircher: Lawrence (Active)
Opp defender outAdkins: None listedBoerkircher: Walley (CB)
Roof / surfacegrassAdkins: OpenBoerkircher: Open
Rest / scheduleAdkins: NormalBoerkircher: Off a bye
Opp paceAdkins: 24th (slow)Boerkircher: 7th (fast) (best)
Opp deep targets allowed / gameAdkins: 0.8 (best)29th (soft)Boerkircher: 0.723rd (soft)
Opp catch rate allowedAdkins: 70% (best)11th (average)Boerkircher: 68%7th (tough)
Form
Last 3 avgAdkins: 0.0Boerkircher: 5.1 (best)
Last 5 avgAdkins: 1.6Boerkircher: 3.1 (best)
vs seasonAdkins: −2.9 (Cooling)Boerkircher: +2.2 (Rising) (best)
Yards per route runAdkins: 1.25 (best)Boerkircher: 0.98
Receiving aDOTAdkins: 6.0Boerkircher: 4.3
Target share trendAdkins: No usage yetBoerkircher: Steady
Crowd
Nuvela position ranklower is betterAdkins: TE47Boerkircher: TE44 (best)
Yards linereceivingAdkins: Our estimateBoerkircher: 6.5
Deciding on someone else?
Choose 2 to 5 players for any week.