Quitoriano
TE · ARI @ DAL
Kickoff Sun 1:00 PM ET
Projected points2.9ptsUsage estimate
Boerkircher
TE · JAX vs IND
Kickoff Sun 1:00 PM ET
Projected points3.1pts
Toss-up
Bench
Nate Boerkircher or Teagan Quitoriano: Who Should I Start in Week 8?
Toss-up. Need a safe week? Teagan Quitoriano. Swinging for a big week? Nate Boerkircher.
- Confidence
- Lower
- The two projections come from different sources; one is a Nuvela estimate
Quitoriano's number is our own estimate because his prop lines aren't posted yet, so this call is less sure than the gap looks.
Case for Boerkircher
Quitoriano has the safer floor (1.4 to 1.3); Boerkircher has more upside (a ceiling of 5.4 to 4.9).
Flips if
Start Nate Boerkircher instead if you want more of the snaps (48% to 40%).
Risk
Quitoriano has the safer floor (1.4 to 1.3); Boerkircher has more upside (a ceiling of 5.4 to 4.9).
Highlights
QuitorianoToss-upTE · ARI @ DALUsually 5.2−2.3pts this week
Helps him
- OutBullardEdgeHe faces a Cowboys defense without defensive end Jonathan Bullard.
- 1sthighest totalEdgeHe plays in the highest scoring game on the slate.
Hurts him
- −2.6ptstrack recordHis projection also weighs his past seasons, which ran below this year’s pace.
- 1%targetsHe draws only 1% of his team’s targets.
- 0.7per gameHe sees only 0.7 targets a game.
BoerkircherFirst outTE · JAX vs INDUsually 2.9+0.2pts this week
Helps him
- +0.5ptscatchesHis lines put him at 1.5 catches, above his usual 1.0.
- 28.3team totalEdgeHis team is expected to score 28.3 points, a high scoring spot.
Hurts him
- 83%dud weeks83% of his games have been dud weeks.
- 0%big weeksHe hasn’t had a big week this season.
Points are what each line adds to or takes off his usual week. EdgeFrom the game around him.
Stat comparison
Every player you picked, stat by stat, most important first.
Stat
Scoring
ProjectionQuitoriano: 2.9Boerkircher: 3.1 (best)
TD pointsof the projectionQuitoriano: Our estimateBoerkircher: 1.0
Expected TDsthis weekQuitoriano: Our estimateBoerkircher: 0.16
Projected team pointsQuitoriano: 23.8Boerkircher: 28.3 (best)
Red zone targetsper gameQuitoriano: 0.7 (best)Boerkircher: 0.3
Role
Snap shareQuitoriano: 40%Boerkircher: 48% (best)
Usage worthptsQuitoriano: 1.8Boerkircher: 2.3 (best)
Target shareQuitoriano: 1%Boerkircher: 5% (best)
Targets / gameQuitoriano: 0.7Boerkircher: 1.3 (best)
Air yards shareQuitoriano: 2%Boerkircher: 2%
Vacated targets this weekQuitoriano: 3.3 (best)Boerkircher: 0.0
RZ target shareQuitoriano: 7% (best)Boerkircher: 6%
Inside 10 target shareQuitoriano: 6%Boerkircher: 9% (best)
Catch rateQuitoriano: 2 targetsBoerkircher: 75%
Usage worth vs scoredQuitoriano: Earned by usage 1.8Scored 5.2Boerkircher: Earned by usage 2.3Scored 2.9
WOPRQuitoriano: 0.03Boerkircher: 0.09 (best)
Range
FloorQuitoriano: 1.4 (best)Boerkircher: 1.3
CeilingQuitoriano: 4.9Boerkircher: 5.4 (best)
Points from TDssteadier when lowerQuitoriano: 77%Boerkircher: 35%
Big weeks (15+ pts)Quitoriano: 3 gamesBoerkircher: 0%
Dud weeks (under 5 pts)lower is betterQuitoriano: 3 gamesBoerkircher: 83%
SteadinessQuitoriano: 3 gamesBoerkircher: Volatile±3.3 pts · 6 games
Matchup
Matchup gradevs his position · 2026, 7 gmQuitoriano: C+Boerkircher: B- (best)
Game scriptQuitoriano: Expected to trailBoerkircher: Expected to lead (best)
Opp takeaways / gamelower is betterQuitoriano: 0.6Boerkircher: 0.4 (best)
Defense funnelQuitoriano: NeutralBoerkircher: Neutral
Opp pass yds allowedQuitoriano: 15th (average) (best)Boerkircher: 11th (average)
Starting QBQuitoriano: Brissett (Active)Boerkircher: Lawrence (Active)
Opp defender outQuitoriano: Bullard (DE)Boerkircher: Walley (CB)
Roof / surfaceQuitoriano: Retractable roofturfBoerkircher: Opengrass
Rest / scheduleQuitoriano: NormalBoerkircher: Off a bye
Opp paceQuitoriano: 9th (fast)Boerkircher: 7th (fast) (best)
Opp deep targets allowed / gameQuitoriano: 0.14th (tough)Boerkircher: 0.7 (best)23rd (soft)
Opp catch rate allowedQuitoriano: 80% (best)30th (soft)Boerkircher: 68%7th (tough)
Form
Last 3 avgQuitoriano: 5.2 (best)Boerkircher: 5.1
Last 5 avgQuitoriano: 5.2 (best)Boerkircher: 3.1
vs seasonQuitoriano: CoolingBoerkircher: +2.2 (Rising) (best)
Yards per route runQuitoriano: 0.47Boerkircher: 0.98 (best)
Receiving aDOTQuitoriano: 2 targetsBoerkircher: 4.3
Target share trendQuitoriano: SteadyBoerkircher: Steady
Crowd
Nuvela position ranklower is betterQuitoriano: TE48Boerkircher: TE44 (best)
Yards linereceivingQuitoriano: Our estimateBoerkircher: 6.5
Deciding on someone else?
Choose 2 to 5 players for any week.