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Week8 · 2026

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Scoring

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Kelce

TE · KC @ DEN

Kickoff Sun 4:25 PM ETLatest report: Limited · Ankle

Projected points11.1pts

if he plays · 80% to play

First out

Freiermuth

TE · PIT vs CLE

Kickoff Sun 1:00 PM ET

Projected points6.5pts

Start if active

Bench

Pat Freiermuth or Travis Kelce: Who Should I Start in Week 8?

Lean Travis Kelce over Pat Freiermuth.

Ahead by: +4.6pts; over Freiermuth if he plays
Confidence: Moderate; Travis Kelce may not play (about 80% to play)
Started: 80%; of leagues

Flips if

If Travis Kelce is ruled out before Pat Freiermuth's game starts, start Pat Freiermuth.

Risk

Travis Kelce was limited in practice (ankle): check the inactives, posted about 90 minutes before kickoff. As of Fri 12:00 PM ET

Highlights

Injuries as of Fri 12:00 PM ET

KelceStart if activeTE · KC @ DENUsually 11.7−0.6pts this week

Helps him

+0.5ptscatchesHis lines put him at 4.5 catches, above his usual 4.0.
17.6ceilingHis best weeks reach about 17.6 points.

Hurts him

−1.1ptsrec yardsHis lines put him at 46.5 receiving yards, below his usual 57.2.
−4.7last 3 vs avgHis last three games run 4.7 points below his season average.

FreiermuthFirst outTE · PIT vs CLEUsually 9.6−3.2pts this week

Helps him

29%big weeks29% of his games have been big weeks.
10.9ceilingHis best weeks reach about 10.9 points.

Hurts him

−1.9ptstouchdownsHis lines put him at 0.25 touchdowns, below his usual 0.57.
−0.8ptscatchesHis lines put him at 2.5 catches, below his usual 3.3.
9th toughestper targetEdgeCLE allows plenty of TE chances because tight ends see plenty of targets on them; per target they’re tough (1.71 pts, 9th toughest).
3.2floorA quiet week could drop to about 3.2 points.

Points are what each line adds to or takes off his usual week. EdgeFrom the game around him.

Stat comparison

Every player you picked, stat by stat, most important first.

Scoring

Projection11.16.5

TD pointsof the projection2.01.5

Expected TDsthis week0.330.25

Projected team points20.821.5

Red zone targetsper game0.50.7

Role

Snap share78%67%

Usage worthpts9.48.3

Target share19%14%

Targets / game5.84.7

Air yards share20%15%

Vacated targets this week3.89.0

RZ target share12%17%

Inside 10 target share0%25%

Catch rate69%70%

Separation3.8 yds2.8 yds

YAC over expected+3.0+0.5

Usage worth vs scoredEarned by usage 9.4Scored 11.7Earned by usage 8.3Scored 9.6

Receiving TDs vs RZ targetsAboveAbove

WOPR0.430.33

Range

Floor6.83.2

Ceiling17.610.9

Points from TDssteadier when lower17%36%

Big weeks (15+ pts)17%29%

Dud weeks (under 5 pts)lower is better17%29%

SteadinessSteady±7.4 pts · 6 gamesUp & down±6.8 pts · 7 games

Matchup

Matchup gradevs his position · 2026, 7 gmC+C+

Game scriptExpected to leadExpected to lead

Opp takeaways / gamelower is better1.41.3

Defense funnelNeutralNeutral

Opp pass yds allowed17th (average)8th (tough)

Starting QBMahomes (Active)Rodgers (Active)

Opp defender outElliss (LB)None listed

Roof / surfacegrassOpenOpen

Rest / scheduleNormalNormal

Opp pace30th (slow)22nd (slow)

Opp deep targets allowed / game0.411th (average)0.723rd (soft)

Opp catch rate allowed72%13th (average)68%8th (tough)

Form

Last 3 avg7.19.5

Last 5 avg12.08.9

vs season−4.7 (Cooling)−0.1 (Steady)

Yards per route run2.211.08

Receiving aDOT6.38.4

Target share trendRisingSteady

Crowd

Started in leagues81%49%

Nuvela position ranklower is betterTE6TE22

Yards linereceiving46.524.5

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