Judkins
RB · CLE @ PIT
Kickoff Sun 1:00 PM ET
Projected points10.5pts
Dowdle
RB · PIT vs CLE
Kickoff Sun 1:00 PM ET
Projected points8.3pts
Lean
Bench
Quinshon Judkins or Rico Dowdle: Who Should I Start in Week 8?
Lean Quinshon Judkins over Rico Dowdle.
- Ahead by
- +2.2pts
- over Dowdle
- Confidence
- Moderate
- Lean
- Started
- 78%
- of leagues
Flips if
Start Rico Dowdle instead if you want a softer run defense (4.6 yards a carry allowed to 3.6).
Risk
Quinshon Judkins has played 1 game since missing time. Rico Dowdle has played 2 games since missing time.
Highlights
JudkinsLeanRB · CLE @ PITUsually 13.3−2.7pts this week
Helps him
- 33%big weeks33% of his games have been big weeks.
Hurts him
- −1.7ptscatchesHis lines put him at 1.5 catches, below his usual 3.2.
- −1.3pts2 linesReceiving yards 11.5 (usual 18.3) and rushing yards 46.5 (usual 52.8) both sit below his usual.
- PITvs RBsEdgePIT is the 3rd toughest defense for running backs.
DowdleFirst outRB · PIT vs CLEProjected8.3pts
Helps him
- −3.5spreadEdgeHis team is expected to lead, which tends to mean more carries late.
Hurts him
- 23%touchesHe handles only 23% of his team’s touches, so the work is shared.
- CLEvs RBsEdgeCLE is the 6th toughest defense for running backs.
Points are what each line adds to or takes off his usual week. EdgeFrom the game around him.
Stat comparison
Every player you picked, stat by stat, most important first.
Stat
Scoring
ProjectionJudkins: 10.5 (best)Dowdle: 8.3
TD pointsof the projectionJudkins: 3.2 (best)Dowdle: 1.7
Expected TDsthis weekJudkins: 0.54 (best)Dowdle: 0.29
Projected team pointsJudkins: 18.0Dowdle: 21.5 (best)
Goal line carriesper gameJudkins: 0.7 (best)Dowdle: 0.0
Red zone carriesper gameJudkins: 2.0 (best)Dowdle: 1.3
Red zone targetsper gameJudkins: 0.7 (best)Dowdle: 0.3
Role
Snap shareJudkins: 59% (best)Dowdle: 39%
Usage worthptsJudkins: 14.4 (best)Dowdle: 10.1
Touch shareJudkins: 39% (best)Dowdle: 23%
Target shareJudkins: 12%Dowdle: 12%
Touches / gameJudkins: 18.2 (best)Dowdle: 11.0
Targets / gameJudkins: 3.5Dowdle: 4.3 (best)
Vacated touches this weekJudkins: 4.2 (best)Dowdle: 0.0
High value touches / gameJudkins: 4.2 (best)Dowdle: 3.5
Goal line carry shareJudkins: 80% (best)Dowdle: 0%
Red zone touches / gameJudkins: 2.7 (best)Dowdle: 1.5
Rush success rateJudkins: 31% (best)Dowdle: 26%
Breakaway rate (20+ yd runs)Judkins: 1.1% (best)Dowdle: 0%
Usage worth vs scoredJudkins: Earned by usage 14.4Scored 13.3Dowdle: Earned by usage 10.1Scored 8.3
Rush yards / gameJudkins: 52.8 (best)Dowdle: 29.5
Points from rushingJudkins: 62%Dowdle: 36%
Receiving TDs vs RZ targetsJudkins: BelowDowdle: 1 RZ target
WOPRJudkins: 0.16Dowdle: 0.18 (best)
RZ target shareJudkins: 24% (best)Dowdle: 7%
Inside 10 target shareJudkins: 43% (best)Dowdle: 11%
Catch rateJudkins: 90% (best)Dowdle: 76%
Rushing points / gameJudkins: 8.3 pts / game (best)Dowdle: 3.0 pts / game
Rushing floorJudkins: 6.0 pts / game (best)Dowdle: 3.0 pts / game
Range
FloorJudkins: 6.6 (best)Dowdle: 5.4
CeilingJudkins: 16.8 (best)Dowdle: 12.5
Points from TDssteadier when lowerJudkins: 23%Dowdle: 0%
Big weeks (20+ pts)Judkins: 33% (best)Dowdle: 0%
Dud weeks (under 8 pts)lower is betterJudkins: 17% (best)Dowdle: 75%
SteadinessJudkins: Steady (best)±7.2 pts · 6 gamesDowdle: Steady±4.5 pts · 4 games
Matchup
Matchup gradevs his position · 2026, 7 gmJudkins: DDowdle: D+ (best)
Game scriptJudkins: Expected to trailDowdle: Expected to lead (best)
Opp takeaways / gamelower is betterJudkins: 1.6Dowdle: 1.3 (best)
Defense funnelJudkins: NeutralDowdle: Neutral
Opp rush yds allowedJudkins: 7th (tough)Dowdle: 20th (average) (best)
Backfield roleJudkins: LeadDowdle: Backup
Opp defender outJudkins: Joseph-Day (DT)Dowdle: None listed
Roof / surfacegrassJudkins: OpenDowdle: Open
Rest / scheduleJudkins: NormalDowdle: Normal
Opp paceJudkins: 13th (average) (best)Dowdle: 22nd (slow)
Opp stuff rateJudkins: 23%3rd (tough)Dowdle: 23%2nd (tough)
Opp yards per carry allowedJudkins: 3.64th (tough)Dowdle: 4.6 (best)28th (soft)
Opp pass yds allowedJudkins: 13th (average) (best)Dowdle: 8th (tough)
Opp deep targets allowed / game1st (tough)Judkins: 0.0Dowdle: 0.0
Opp catch rate allowedJudkins: 78% (best)15th (average)Dowdle: 77%14th (average)
Starting QBJudkins: Watson (Active)Dowdle: Rodgers (Active)
Form
Last 3 avgJudkins: 17.7 (best)Dowdle: 9.6
Last 5 avgJudkins: 14.5 (best)Dowdle: 8.3
vs seasonJudkins: +4.4 (Rising) (best)Dowdle: +1.4
Yards per carryJudkins: 3.5Dowdle: 3.8 (best)
Carries / gameJudkins: 15.0 (best)Dowdle: 7.8
Yards per route runJudkins: 1.72 (best)Dowdle: 1.64
Receiving aDOTJudkins: −1.4Dowdle: −0.6
Touch share trendJudkins: CoolingDowdle: Left 2 games hurt
Games since injuryJudkins: 1Dowdle: 2
Crowd
Started in leaguesJudkins: 79%Dowdle: Not widely started
Nuvela position ranklower is betterJudkins: RB25 (best)Dowdle: RB29
Yards linerushingJudkins: 46.5 (best)Dowdle: 27.5
Deciding on someone else?
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