Johnson
RB · CHI vs NE
FinalCHI 30 – 24 NE
Final points1.3pts
projected 6.9
Dowdle
RB · PIT vs NO (Paris)
Kickoff Sun 9:30 AM ETQQuestionable · Knee, practice Limited
Projected points6.7pts
if he plays · 66% to play
Roschon Johnson or Rico Dowdle: who should I start in Week 7?
Highlights
JohnsonRB · CHI vs NEUsually 4.5+2.5pts this week
Helps him
- +1.5ptsrush yardsHis lines put him at 27.0 rushing yards, above his usual 12.2.
- +1.0ptstouchdownsHis lines put him at 0.34 touchdowns, above his usual 0.17.
- 26.8team totalEdgeHis team was expected to score 26.8 points, a high scoring spot.
- +4.5last 3 vs avgHis last three games run 4.5 points above his season average.
Hurts him
- −0.6ptsrec yardsHis lines put him at 6.5 receiving yards, below his usual 12.5.
- NEvs RBsEdgeNE is the 12th toughest defense for running backs.
DowdleRB · PIT vs NO (Paris)Projected6.7pts
Helps him
- NOvs RBsEdgeNO is the 2nd softest defense for running backs.
Hurts him
- 20%touchesHe handles only 20% of his team’s touches, so the work is shared.
- 4.0floorA quiet week could drop to about 4.0 points.
Points are what each line adds to or takes off his usual week. EdgeFrom the game around him.
Stat comparison
Every player you picked, stat by stat, most important first.
Stat
Scoring
ProjectionJohnson: 6.9 (best)Dowdle: 6.7
TD pointsof the projectionJohnson: 2.0 (best)Dowdle: 1.6
Expected TDsthis weekJohnson: 0.34 (best)Dowdle: 0.27
Projected team pointsJohnson: 26.8 (best)Dowdle: 23.3
Goal line carriesper gameJohnson: 0.3 (best)Dowdle: 0.0
Red zone carriesper gameJohnson: 1.2 (best)Dowdle: 0.7
Red zone targetsper gameJohnson: 0.3Dowdle: 0.3
Role
Snap shareJohnson: 15%Dowdle: 37% (best)
Usage worthptsJohnson: 5.1Dowdle: 8.9 (best)
Touch shareJohnson: 8%Dowdle: 20% (best)
Target shareJohnson: 4%Dowdle: 9% (best)
Touches / gameJohnson: 5.0Dowdle: 9.7 (best)
Targets / gameJohnson: 1.7Dowdle: 3.7 (best)
Air yards shareJohnson: 2%Dowdle: Behind the line
Vacated touches this weekJohnson: 16.2 (best)Dowdle: 0.0
High value touches / gameJohnson: 1.7Dowdle: 2.3 (best)
Goal line carry shareJohnson: 8% (best)Dowdle: 0%
Red zone touches / gameJohnson: 1.5 (best)Dowdle: 1.0
Rush success rateJohnson: 41% (best)Dowdle: 23%
Breakaway rate (20+ yd runs)Johnson: 0%Dowdle: 0%
Usage worth vs scoredJohnson: Earned by usage 5.1Scored 4.5Dowdle: Earned by usage 8.9Scored 6.1
Rush yards / gameJohnson: 12.2Dowdle: 25.7 (best)
Points from rushingJohnson: 50%Dowdle: 42%
WOPRJohnson: 0.08Dowdle: 0.13 (best)
RZ target shareJohnson: 6%Dowdle: 8% (best)
Inside 10 target shareJohnson: 7%Dowdle: 14% (best)
Catch rateJohnson: 80% (best)Dowdle: 64%
Rushing points / gameJohnson: 2.2 pts / gameDowdle: 2.6 pts / game (best)
Rushing floorJohnson: 1.3 pts / gameDowdle: 2.6 pts / game (best)
Range
FloorJohnson: 2.8Dowdle: 4.0 (best)
CeilingJohnson: 14.6 (best)Dowdle: 10.4
Points from TDssteadier when lowerJohnson: 22%Dowdle: 0%
Big weeks (20+ pts)Johnson: 0%Dowdle: 3 games
Dud weeks (under 8 pts)lower is betterJohnson: 67%Dowdle: 3 games
SteadinessJohnson: Volatile±5.6 ptsDowdle: 3 games
Matchup
Matchup gradevs his position · 2026, 6 gmJohnson: C-Dowdle: A (best)
Game scriptJohnson: Expected to leadDowdle: Expected to lead
Opp takeaways / gamelower is betterJohnson: 1.2 (best)Dowdle: 1.5
Defense funnelJohnson: NeutralDowdle: Neutral
Opp rush yds allowedJohnson: 9th (tough)Dowdle: 30th (soft) (best)
Backfield roleJohnson: BackupDowdle: Backup
WeatherJohnson: No concernDowdle: Outdoor58F, 16 mph wind, 59% rain
Roof / surfaceJohnson: OpenDowdle: Openturf
Rest / scheduleJohnson: Short week (4d)Dowdle: Normal
Opp paceJohnson: 9th (fast)Dowdle: 4th (fast) (best)
Opp stuff rateJohnson: 13%29th (soft)Dowdle: 12% (best)30th (soft)
Opp yards per carry allowedJohnson: 4.118th (average)Dowdle: 4.8 (best)29th (soft)
Opp pass yds allowedJohnson: 14th (average)Dowdle: 26th (soft) (best)
Opp deep targets allowed / game1st (tough)Johnson: 0.0Dowdle: 0.0
Opp catch rate allowedJohnson: 79%20th (average)Dowdle: 92% (best)31st (soft)
Starting QBJohnson: Williams (Active)Dowdle: Rodgers (Active)
Form
Last 3 avgJohnson: 8.9 (best)Dowdle: 6.1
Last 5 avgJohnson: 5.4Dowdle: 6.1 (best)
vs seasonJohnson: +4.5 (Rising) (best)Dowdle: Rising
Yards per carryJohnson: 3.3Dowdle: 3.5 (best)
Carries / gameJohnson: 3.7Dowdle: 7.3 (best)
Yards per route runJohnson: 2.34 (best)Dowdle: 1.12
Receiving aDOTJohnson: 2.9Dowdle: −0.5
Touch share trendJohnson: RisingDowdle: Left 2 games hurt
Games since injuryJohnson: None recentlyDowdle: 1
Crowd
Started in leaguesJohnson: 44%Dowdle: Not widely started
Nuvela position ranklower is betterJohnson: RB36 (best)Dowdle: RB38
Yards linerushingJohnson: 27.0Dowdle: 28.5 (best)
Deciding on someone else?
Pick 2 to 5 players for any week.