St. Brown
WR · DET vs MIN
Kickoff Sun 1:00 PM ET
Projected points17.7pts
Brown
WR · NE @ MIA
Kickoff Sun 4:25 PM ETLatest report: DNP · Knee
Projected points12.3pts
if he plays · 46% to play
Start
Bench
A.J. Brown or Amon-Ra St. Brown: Who Should I Start in Week 8?
Start Amon-Ra St. Brown over A.J. Brown.
- Ahead by
- +12.1pts
- over Brown
- Confidence
- High
- A.J. Brown may not play (about 46% to play)
- Started
- 98%
- of leagues
Flips if
An injury tag on Amon-Ra St. Brown or a bigger role for A.J. Brown.
Risk
A.J. Brown missed practice (knee): check the inactives, posted about 90 minutes before kickoff. Weather in A.J. Brown's game: Outdoor · 73F, 6 mph wind, 100% rain. Check it again before kickoff. As of Fri 2:00 PM ET
Highlights
St. BrownStartWR · DET vs MINUsually 21.4−3.7pts this week
Helps him
- 32%targetsHe draws 32% of his team’s targets.
- 11.3per gameHe sees 11.3 targets a game.
- 2.7red zoneHe gets 2.7 red zone targets a game, a real path to touchdowns.
Hurts him
- −1.6ptstouchdownsHis lines put him at 0.56 touchdowns, below his usual 0.83.
- −1.2ptscatchesHis lines put him at 6.5 catches, below his usual 7.7.
- −1.0ptsrec yardsHis lines put him at 77.5 receiving yards, below his usual 87.5.
- MINvs WRsEdgeMIN is the toughest defense for receivers.
BrownFirst outWR · NE @ MIAUsually 6.4+5.9pts this week
Helps him
- +2.9ptstouchdownsHis lines put him at 0.49 touchdowns, above his usual 0.00.
- +1.5ptsrec yardsHis lines put him at 48.5 receiving yards, above his usual 33.7.
- +1.5ptscatchesHis lines put him at 4.5 catches, above his usual 3.0.
Hurts him
- MIAvs WRsEdgeMIA is the 4th toughest defense for receivers.
Points are what each line adds to or takes off his usual week. EdgeFrom the game around him.
Stat comparison
Every player you picked, stat by stat, most important first.
Stat
Scoring
ProjectionSt. Brown: 17.7 (best)Brown: 12.3
TD pointsof the projectionSt. Brown: 3.4 (best)Brown: 2.9
Expected TDsthis weekSt. Brown: 0.56 (best)Brown: 0.49
Projected team pointsSt. Brown: 24.8Brown: 25.0 (best)
Red zone targetsper gameSt. Brown: 2.7 (best)Brown: 1.0
Role
Snap shareSt. Brown: 87% (best)Brown: 70%
Usage worthptsSt. Brown: 20.7 (best)Brown: 11.7
Target shareSt. Brown: 32% (best)Brown: 22%
Targets / gameSt. Brown: 11.3 (best)Brown: 6.7
Air yards shareSt. Brown: 35%Brown: 36% (best)
Receiving TDs vs RZ targetsSt. Brown: AboveBrown: Below
WOPRSt. Brown: 0.73 (best)Brown: 0.56
RZ target shareSt. Brown: 35% (best)Brown: 30%
Catch rateSt. Brown: 68% (best)Brown: 45%
SeparationSt. Brown: 2.7 yds (best)Brown: 2.1 yds
YAC over expectedSt. Brown: −1.1Brown: −1.1
Usage worth vs scoredSt. Brown: Earned by usage 20.7Scored 21.4Brown: Earned by usage 11.7Scored 6.4
Vacated targets this weekSt. Brown: 0.0Brown: 9.0 (best)
Inside 10 target shareSt. Brown: 27% (best)Brown: 17%
Range
FloorSt. Brown: 11.8 (best)Brown: 6.8
CeilingSt. Brown: 27.5 (best)Brown: 20.3
Points from TDssteadier when lowerSt. Brown: 23%Brown: 0%
Big weeks (20+ pts)St. Brown: 46%Brown: 3 games
Dud weeks (under 7 pts)lower is betterSt. Brown: 4%Brown: 3 games
SteadinessSt. Brown: Very steady±9.5 ptsBrown: 3 games
Matchup
Matchup gradevs his position · 2026, 6 gmSt. Brown: FBrown: D- (best)
Game scriptSt. Brown: Expected to leadBrown: Expected to lead (best)
Opp takeaways / gamelower is betterSt. Brown: 1.8Brown: 0.8 (best)
Defense funnelSt. Brown: NeutralBrown: Neutral
Opp pass yds allowedSt. Brown: 2nd (tough)Brown: 18th (average) (best)
Starting QBSt. Brown: Goff (Active)Brown: Maye (Active)
WeatherSt. Brown: IndoorsBrown: Outdoor73F, 6 mph wind, 100% rain
Roof / surfaceSt. Brown: DometurfBrown: Opengrass
Rest / scheduleSt. Brown: NormalBrown: 10 days rest
Opp paceSt. Brown: 26th (slow) (best)Brown: 31st (slow)
Opp deep targets allowed / gameSt. Brown: 2.3 (best)7th (tough)Brown: 2.01st (tough)
Opp catch rate allowedSt. Brown: 58%8th (tough)Brown: 72% (best)31st (soft)
Form
Last 3 avgSt. Brown: 17.5 (best)Brown: 6.4
Last 5 avgSt. Brown: 19.9 (best)Brown: 6.4
vs seasonSt. Brown: −3.9 (Cooling)Brown: Rising (best)
Yards per route runSt. Brown: 2.46 (best)Brown: 1.46
Receiving aDOTSt. Brown: 8.9Brown: 13.4
Target share trendSt. Brown: SteadyBrown: Steady
Crowd
Started in leaguesSt. Brown: 99% (best)Brown: 83%
Nuvela position ranklower is betterSt. Brown: WR6 (best)Brown: WR19
Yards linereceivingSt. Brown: 77.5 (best)Brown: 48.5
Deciding on someone else?
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